Grêmio Novorizontino vs Athletic Club – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

19/04/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi (Novo Horizonte).

Serie B - Round 5
Referee: Ferreira J. (Bra)
Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.74	0.71
Ball possession
63%	37%
Total shots
20	7
Shots on target
7	2
Big chances
1	2
Corner kicks
11	1
Passes
90% (454/502)	82% (250/305)
Yellow cards
1	4
Red cards
0	2
Expected goals (xG)
1.74	0.71
xG on target (xGOT)
1.57	1.21
Total shots
20	7
Shots on target
7	2
Shots off target
5	4
Blocked shots
8	1
Shots inside the box
11	5
Shots outside the box
9	2
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Headed goals
1	0
Big chances
1	2
Corner kicks
11	1
Touches in opposition box
32	8
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	1
Free kicks
16	10
Passes
90% (454/502)	82% (250/305)
Long passes
79% (33/42)	41% (25/61)
Passes in final third
87% (178/205)	61% (34/56)
Crosses
17% (7/41)	29% (2/7)
Expected assists (xA)
2.05	0.39
Throw ins
18	15
Fouls
11	15
Tackles
57% (4/7)	50% (6/12)
Duels won
42	33
Clearances
12	34
Interceptions
4	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper saves
1	5
xGOT faced
1.21	1.57
Goals prevented
0.21	-0.43

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Tavinho ⚽, Robson (A),
22', 1 - 1, Belezi ⚽,
33', Belezi 🟥,
37', Vera D. ↓, Gabriel Indio ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Bruninho ↓, Joao Miguel ↑,
53', Jota 🟨,
54', Jhonatan Silva 🟨,
54', Diogo Batista 🟨,
55', Jhonatan Silva 🟨,
59', Jota ↓, Cabezas G. ↑,
60', Diego Galo ↓, Vinicius Paiva ↑,
61', Ivan Alvarino ↓, Juninho ↑,
64', 2 - 1, Robson ⚽,
70', Tavares R. ↓, Samuel Otusanya ↑,
71', Kauan Rodrigues ↓, Marcelo Henrique ↑,
77', Robson ↓, Carlao ↑,
78', Romulo ↓, Ortiz C. ↑,
83', Carlao 🟨,
90+3', Tavinho ↓, Helio Borges ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Grêmio Novorizontino
57.2%

Draw
26.8%

Athletic Club
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

27.1%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57%

28.9%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio Novorizontino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Athletic Club has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Grêmio Novorizontino - Athletic Club Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.72)	3.47 ↑ (3.4)	5.82 ↑ (4.75)	6.9% (8.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Grêmio Novorizontino - Athletic Club?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Novorizontino will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Athletic will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Novorizontino: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Novorizontino (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Now, both teams are in good form.
Novorizontino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Novorizontino is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Novorizontino: Jordi (Inactive) Marlon (Inactive) Maykon Jesus (Inactive)
There will not play in Athletic: Rodrigo Gelado (Inactive) Sidimar (Inactive)
There are questionable in Novorizontino: Dantas (Injury) Nicolas Careca (Injury)
There are questionable in Athletic: Jhonatan Luiz (Inactive)
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Novorizontino won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).
Including home match between the teams, Novorizontino won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio Novorizontino won against Athletic Club?

Grêmio Novorizontino has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Athletic Club won against Grêmio Novorizontino?

Athletic Club has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio Novorizontino - Athletic Club were as follows:

19.09.2025 Grêmio Novorizontino - Athletic Club 1:0

17.05.2025 Athletic Club - Grêmio Novorizontino 0:2

Latest results of Grêmio Novorizontino

15.04.2026 Operário Ferroviario - Grêmio Novorizontino 1:1 ✺

12.04.2026 América Mineiro - Grêmio Novorizontino 0:3 ✺

09.04.2026 Grêmio Novorizontino - São Bernardo 1:0 ✺

05.04.2026 Grêmio Novorizontino - CRB Maceio 1:1 ✺

31.03.2026 Juventude - Grêmio Novorizontino 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Athletic Club

12.04.2026 CRB Maceio - Athletic Club 2:3 ✺

05.04.2026 Athletic Club - América Mineiro 1:1 ✺

01.04.2026 Criciúma - Athletic Club 1:1 ✺

22.03.2026 Athletic Club - Ponte Preta 2:1 ✺

17.03.2026 Sport Recife - Athletic Club 1:3 ✺

Brazilian Serie B Table

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Vila Nova FC	6	3	3	0	11:8	3	12
2	Fortaleza	6	3	2	1	6:7	-1	11
3	Sao Bernardo	6	3	1	2	8:5	3	10
4	Criciuma	6	3	1	2	8:6	2	10
5	Juventude	6	3	1	2	5:4	1	10
6	Ceara	6	2	4	0	8:5	3	10
7	Sport Recife	6	2	4	0	6:4	2	10
8	Nautico	6	3	0	3	4:6	-2	9
9	Operario-PR	6	2	3	1	4:3	1	9
10	Botafogo SP	6	2	2	2	9:6	3	8
11	Avai	6	2	2	2	7:6	1	8
12	Novorizontino	6	2	2	2	7:6	1	8
13	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	8:8	0	8
14	Atletico GO	6	2	1	3	7:8	-1	7
15	Ponte Preta	6	2	1	3	5:6	-1	7
16	Goias	6	2	1	3	6:8	-2	7
17	Cuiaba	6	1	4	1	3:3	0	7
18	Londrina	6	1	2	3	7:8	-1	5
19	CRB	6	0	2	4	6:11	-5	2
20	America MG	6	0	2	4	3:10	-7	2

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      Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
      Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )