Tombense vs América Mineiro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:3
08/04/2026 at 20:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Sul-Sudeste - Round 3

Match Stats

Ball possession
42%58%
Total shots
1217
Shots on target
79
Corner kicks
15
Yellow cards
63
Total shots
1217
Shots on target
79
Shots off target
58
Corner kicks
15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Alan Mineiro ,
  • 7', Wesley 🟨,
  • 24', Dyego 🟨,
  • 30', Artur 🟨,
  • 32', Wanderson 🟨,
  • 38', Breno Roma 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 3)
  • 46', Alan Mineiro , Joao Vitor ,
  • 46', Jupi , Sousa Rocha Leandro J. ,
  • 49', 1 - 1, Paulo Victor ,
  • 60', 1 - 2, Paulinho ,
  • 63', Almeida da Silva K. D. , Diego Leandro ,
  • 66', 2 - 2, Luiz Felipe ,
  • 67', Sousa Rocha Leandro J. 🟨,
  • 68', 🟨,
  • 72', Cesar 🟨,
  • 73', Elizari F. , Jhonatan Lima ,
  • 73', Thauan , Yarlen ,
  • 73', Luiz Felipe , Silvano ,
  • 75', Leo Alaba , Samuel ,
  • 84', 3 - 2, Sousa Rocha Leandro J. ,
  • 90', 🟨,
  • 90+3', 3 - 3, Paulinho ,

Chances of winning


Tombense
47.1%
Draw
26.9%
América Mineiro
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.4% 28.8% 36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9% 29.2% 36.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tombense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tombense's performance.
  • América Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and América Mineiro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (-12.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tombense that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+10.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that América Mineiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Tombense - América Mineiro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.94
    (2.6)
    3.39
    (3.1)
    3.5
    (2.44)
    9.8%
    (11.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Tombense - América Mineiro?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tombense (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DC - Tombense (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Tombense will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tombense (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tombense won 2.
    • Recent performances by Tombense have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • América MG's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Tombense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Tombense has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Tombense won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tombense won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tombense - América Mineiro were as follows:
    08.02.2025 Tombense - América Mineiro 1:0
    02.03.2024 Tombense - América Mineiro 0:1
    04.03.2023 América Mineiro - Tombense 3:1
    Latest results of Tombense
    04.04.2026 Vitória ES - Tombense 0:1
    25.03.2026 Tombense - Avaí 3:2
    11.03.2026 Confiança - Tombense 2:0
    28.02.2026 URT - Tombense 3:1
    Latest results of América Mineiro
    Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Novorizontino32104:137
    2SER Caxias32103:127
    3Chapecoense-SC32014:316
    4Sampaio Correa FE31205:325
    5Tombense31116:604
    6Cianorte30213:5-22


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Volta Redonda32105:237
    2Operario-PR31201:015
    3America MG30215:6-12
    4Avai30125:7-21
    5Sao Bernardo30123:5-21
    6Juventude30030:5-50

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