América Mineiro vs Vila Nova – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

08/10/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Mineirão (Belo Horizonte).

Serie B Superbet - Round 31
Referee: Holanda L. (Bra)
Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.74	1.28
Ball Possession
65%	35%
Total shots
17	8
Shots on target
4	4
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
7	2
Passes
87% (367/424)	73% (171/235)
Yellow Cards
2	4
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.74	1.28
xG on target (xGOT)
0.90	1.11
Total shots
17	8
Shots on target
4	4
Shots off target
11	4
Blocked Shots
2	0
Shots inside the Box
9	3
Shots outside the Box
8	5
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
7	2
Touches in opposition box
26	7
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
20	11
Passes
87% (367/424)	73% (171/235)
Long passes
50% (11/22)	36% (20/55)
Passes in final third
78% (115/148)	52% (33/63)
Crosses
31% (10/32)	22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.08	0.21
Throw-ins
24	17
Fouls
11	20
Tackles
43% (3/7)	50% (8/16)
Duels won
48	45
Clearances
13	34
Interceptions
12	11
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	3
xGOT faced
1.11	0.90
Goals prevented
0.11	-0.10

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', Walisson Maia 🟨,
10', Pedro Romano 🟨,
11', Andre Luis 🟨,
20', Yago Souza 🟨,
34', 0 - 1, Joao Vieira (Pen),
42', Igor Henrique 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Fabinho ↓, Stenio ↑,
51', 1 - 1, Felipe Amaral ⚽,
53', Kaua Diniz 🟨,
60', Walisson Maia 🟥,
60', Igor Henrique ↓, Jean Mota ↑,
64', Maguinho ↓, Jhosefer ↑,
64', Yago Souza ↓, Ortiz C. ↑,
66', Ralf ↓, Thalys ↑,
66', Guilherme Parede ↓, Bruno Xavier ↑,
70', Felipe Amaral ↓, Miqueias ↑,
70', Willian Bigode ↓, Rafa Silva ↑,
82', Pedro Romano ↓, Higor ↑,
82', Junior Todinho ↓, Andre Luis ↑,

Chances of winning

América Mineiro
47.5%

Draw
29.5%

Vila Nova
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

28.5%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

27.9%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for América Mineiro have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Vila Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

América Mineiro - Vila Nova Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.95)	3.14 ↓ (3.25)	3.99 ↑ (3.85)	7.4% (8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for América Mineiro - Vila Nova?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. América MG (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

DC - América MG (1.21) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - América MG (2.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - América MG (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - América MG (1.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: América Mineiro will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. América MG (votes: 7 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 14 and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América MG won 3.
América MG is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Vila Nova has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, América MG is the team to beat.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, América MG won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:5. (average 1.4:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, América MG won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 2:0.3).

How many head-to-head matches has América Mineiro won against Vila Nova?

América Mineiro has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Vila Nova won against América Mineiro?

Vila Nova has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between América Mineiro - Vila Nova were as follows:

13.06.2025 Vila Nova - América Mineiro 0:3

25.08.2024 Vila Nova - América Mineiro 1:0

08.05.2024 América Mineiro - Vila Nova 3:1

Latest results of América Mineiro

04.10.2025 Ferroviária - América Mineiro 1:3 ✺

29.09.2025 América Mineiro - Volta Redonda 2:1 ✺

25.09.2025 Atlético Goianiense - América Mineiro 1:0 ✺

21.09.2025 América Mineiro - Coritiba 1:0 ✺

13.09.2025 Paysandu - América Mineiro 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Vila Nova

02.10.2025 Vila Nova - Criciúma 1:1 ✺

28.09.2025 Grêmio Novorizontino - Vila Nova 1:1 ✺

24.09.2025 Vila Nova - Cuiabá 2:2 ✺

21.09.2025 Athletico Paranaense - Vila Nova 2:0 ✺

13.09.2025 Vila Nova - Remo 1:1 ✺

Brazilian Serie B Table

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Avai	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Ceara	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Sport Recife	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Goias	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Nautico	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	CRB	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Criciuma	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Vila Nova FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Juventude	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Ponte Preta	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Fortaleza	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Atletico GO	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	America MG	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Botafogo SP	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Londrina	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Sao Bernardo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Cuiaba	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Operario-PR	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Novorizontino	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Athletic Club	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
      Promotion ~ Serie B Superbet (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
      Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )