Result
0:3
13/06/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 12
- Referee: Batista E. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 1.49 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (200/288) | 82% (326/397) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 1.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.19 | 1.31 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (200/288) | 82% (326/397) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (21/53) | 54% (25/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (45/85) | 70% (77/110) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (4/12) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 0.59 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.19 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.69 | 0.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 21', Junior Todinho 🟨,
- 25', Tiago Pagnussat 🟨,
- 27', Willian Bigode 🟨,
- 43', Felipe Amaral 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', Felipe Amaral ↓, Kaua Diniz ↑,
- 60', 0 - 1, Willian Bigode ⚽, Miqueias (A),
- 62', Tiago Pagnussat 🟨,
- 66', Guilherme Parede ↓, Walisson Maia ↑,
- 73', Gabriel Poveda ↓, Dodo ↑,
- 76', Miqueias 🟨,
- 79', 0 - 2, Willian Bigode (Pen),
- 82', Andre Luis ↓, Vinicius Paiva ↑,
- 82', Elias ↓, Igor Inocencio ↑,
- 82', Willian Formiga ↓, Higor ↑,
- 87', Willian Bigode ↓, David Lopes ↑,
- 90+4', 0 - 3, Fabinho ⚽, Figueiredo (A),
- 90+5', Fabinho ↓, Elizari F. ↑,
- 90+5', Figueiredo ↓, Yago Santos ↑,
Chances of winning
Vila Nova
46% | Draw
30.7% | América Mineiro
23.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vila Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)América Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+4%)
Vila Nova - América Mineiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.03 ↓
(2.19) |
3.04 ↓
(3.15) |
3.96 ↑
(3.28) |
7.3%
(7.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Vila Nova - América Mineiro?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Vila Nova (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Vila Nova will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vila Nova won 1.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- In this match, Vila Nova is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Vila Nova: Emerson Urso
(Inactive)
- There will not play in América MG: Ale
(Inactive)
Fabinho
(Inactive)
Guilherme Pato
(Inactive)
Mariano
(Yellow Cards)
Stenio
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Vila Nova: Arilson
(Inactive)
Guilherme Parede
(Knee Injury)
Marcondes
(Knee Injury)
Mauricio Kozlinski
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in América MG: Ricardo Silva
(Inactive)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Vila Nova won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.6:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vila Nova won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Vila Nova won against América Mineiro?
Vila Nova has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has América Mineiro won against Vila Nova?
América Mineiro has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vila Nova - América Mineiro were as follows:
25.08.2024
Vila Nova
-
América Mineiro
1:0
08.05.2024
América Mineiro
-
Vila Nova
3:1
Latest results of Vila Nova
Latest results of América Mineiro
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Goias | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 23:13 | 10 | 36 |
| 2 | Coritiba | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 18:11 | 7 | 33 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 22:12 | 10 | 31 |
| 4 | Chapecoense-SC | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 21:16 | 5 | 26 |
| 5 | Remo | 17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 19:15 | 4 | 26 |
| 6 | Cuiaba | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 19:20 | -1 | 25 |
| 7 | Avai | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 20:18 | 2 | 25 |
| 8 | Vila Nova FC | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 15:16 | -1 | 24 |
| 9 | Athletico-PR | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 21:23 | -2 | 23 |
| 10 | Criciuma | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 20:17 | 3 | 23 |
| 11 | CRB | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 16:16 | 0 | 22 |
| 12 | Atletico GO | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 18:17 | 1 | 22 |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 17 | 7 | 0 | 10 | 20:24 | -4 | 21 |
| 14 | America MG | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 17:21 | -4 | 20 |
| 15 | Operario-PR | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18:20 | -2 | 19 |
| 16 | Paysandu PA | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 16:19 | -3 | 18 |
| 17 | Ferroviaria | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 17:21 | -4 | 18 |
| 18 | Volta Redonda | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 10:16 | -6 | 18 |
| 19 | Botafogo SP | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 12:20 | -8 | 18 |
| 20 | Amazonas | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16:23 | -7 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
