Vila Nova vs América Mineiro: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Serie B Vila Nova - América Mineiro
Result
0:3
13/06/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie B Superbet - Round 12
  • Referee: Batista E. (Bra)
Vila Nova - América Mineiro - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.351.49
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
89
Shots on target
15
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
69% (200/288)82% (326/397)
Yellow Cards
33
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.351.49
xG on target (xGOT)
0.191.31
Total shots
89
Shots on target
15
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
55
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
1018
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1819
Passes
69% (200/288)82% (326/397)
Long passes
40% (21/53)54% (25/46)
Passes in final third
53% (45/85)70% (77/110)
Crosses
33% (4/12)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.420.59
Throw-ins
2022
Fouls
1918
Tackles
62% (8/13)64% (7/11)
Duels won
4653
Clearances
1628
Interceptions
69
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
1.310.19
Goals prevented
-1.690.19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 21', Junior Todinho 🟨,
  • 25', Tiago Pagnussat 🟨,
  • 27', Willian Bigode 🟨,
  • 43', Felipe Amaral 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 46', Felipe Amaral , Kaua Diniz ,
  • 60', 0 - 1, Willian Bigode , Miqueias (A),
  • 62', Tiago Pagnussat 🟨,
  • 66', Guilherme Parede , Walisson Maia ,
  • 73', Gabriel Poveda , Dodo ,
  • 76', Miqueias 🟨,
  • 79', 0 - 2, Willian Bigode (Pen),
  • 82', Andre Luis , Vinicius Paiva ,
  • 82', Elias , Igor Inocencio ,
  • 82', Willian Formiga , Higor ,
  • 87', Willian Bigode , David Lopes ,
  • 90+4', 0 - 3, Fabinho , Figueiredo (A),
  • 90+5', Fabinho , Elizari F. ,
  • 90+5', Figueiredo , Yago Santos ,

Chances of winning


Vila Nova
46%
Draw
30.7%
América Mineiro
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.3% 29.4% 28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7% 28.5% 27.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vila Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • América Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • Vila Nova - América Mineiro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (2.19)
    3.04
    (3.15)
    3.96
    (3.28)
    7.3%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Vila Nova - América Mineiro?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Vila Nova (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Vila Nova will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vila Nova won 1.
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • In this match, Vila Nova is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Vila Nova: Emerson Urso (Inactive)
    • There will not play in América MG: Ale (Inactive) Fabinho (Inactive) Guilherme Pato (Inactive) Mariano (Yellow Cards) Stenio (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Vila Nova: Arilson (Inactive) Guilherme Parede (Knee Injury) Marcondes (Knee Injury) Mauricio Kozlinski (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in América MG: Ricardo Silva (Inactive)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Vila Nova won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.6:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Vila Nova won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vila Nova - América Mineiro were as follows:
    25.08.2024 Vila Nova - América Mineiro 1:0
    08.05.2024 América Mineiro - Vila Nova 3:1
    Latest results of Vila Nova
    09.06.2025 Criciúma - Vila Nova 1:0
    26.05.2025 Cuiabá - Vila Nova 1:0
    22.05.2025 Vila Nova - Cruzeiro 0:3
    Latest results of América Mineiro
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goias1492318:11729
    2Coritiba1483313:6727
    3Novorizontino1475218:10826
    4Avai1465319:13623
    5Remo1465317:13423
    6CRB1463514:12221
    7Cuiaba1463515:16-121
    8America MG1462616:16020
    9Athletico-PR1462618:19-120
    10Chapecoense-SC1461717:14319
    11Vila Nova FC1461711:14-319
    12Atletico GO1446414:13118
    13Ferroviaria1446414:14018
    14Operario-PR1452716:17-117
    15Criciuma1444616:15116
    16Botafogo SP1444612:17-516
    17Volta Redonda143567:12-514
    18Amazonas1435612:19-714
    19Paysandu PA143479:15-613
    20Athletic Club14401013:23-1012

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )

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