Result
1:1
08/10/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 31
- Referee: Holanda L. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 1.28 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
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| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (367/424) | 73% (171/235) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 1.28 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 1.11 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
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| 11 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (367/424) | 73% (171/235) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (11/22) | 36% (20/55) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 78% (115/148) | 52% (33/63) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (10/32) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.21 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 43% (3/7) | 50% (8/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
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| 12 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.90 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.11 | -0.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 10', Walisson Maia 🟨,
- 10', Pedro Romano 🟨,
- 11', Andre Luis 🟨,
- 20', Yago Souza 🟨,
- 34', 0 - 1, Joao Vieira (Pen),
- 42', Igor Henrique 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Fabinho ↓, Stenio ↑,
- 51', 1 - 1, Felipe Amaral ⚽,
- 53', Kaua Diniz 🟨,
- 60', Walisson Maia 🟥,
- 60', Igor Henrique ↓, Jean Mota ↑,
- 64', Maguinho ↓, Jhosefer ↑,
- 64', Yago Souza ↓, Ortiz C. ↑,
- 66', Ralf ↓, Thalys ↑,
- 66', Guilherme Parede ↓, Bruno Xavier ↑,
- 70', Felipe Amaral ↓, Miqueias ↑,
- 70', Willian Bigode ↓, Rafa Silva ↑,
- 82', Pedro Romano ↓, Higor ↑,
- 82', Junior Todinho ↓, Andre Luis ↑,
Chances of winning
América Mineiro
47.5% | Draw
29.5% | Vila Nova
23% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for América Mineiro have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Vila Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
América Mineiro - Vila Nova Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.98 ↑
(1.95) |
3.14 ↓
(3.25) |
3.99 ↑
(3.85) |
7.4%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for América Mineiro - Vila Nova?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. América MG (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
América Mineiro will win
(10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 14 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América MG won 3.
- América MG is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Vila Nova has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, América MG is the team to beat.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, América MG won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:5. (average 1.4:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, América MG won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 2:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has América Mineiro won against Vila Nova?
América Mineiro has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vila Nova won against América Mineiro?
Vila Nova has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between América Mineiro - Vila Nova were as follows:
13.06.2025
Vila Nova
-
América Mineiro
0:3
25.08.2024
Vila Nova
-
América Mineiro
1:0
08.05.2024
América Mineiro
-
Vila Nova
3:1
Latest results of América Mineiro
Latest results of Vila Nova
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coritiba | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 34:21 | 13 | 56 |
| 2 | Novorizontino | 33 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 36:27 | 9 | 54 |
| 3 | Criciuma | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 42:29 | 13 | 53 |
| 4 | Goias | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 36:29 | 7 | 52 |
| 5 | Chapecoense-SC | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 44:31 | 13 | 51 |
| 6 | Remo | 32 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 39:31 | 8 | 51 |
| 7 | Athletico-PR | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 45:42 | 3 | 49 |
| 8 | Cuiaba | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 38:35 | 3 | 49 |
| 9 | CRB | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 38:33 | 5 | 47 |
| 10 | Atletico GO | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 35:33 | 2 | 45 |
| 11 | Avai | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 40:34 | 6 | 44 |
| 12 | Vila Nova FC | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 32:33 | -1 | 43 |
| 13 | Operario-PR | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 32:36 | -4 | 39 |
| 14 | America MG | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 34:39 | -5 | 37 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 37:44 | -7 | 37 |
| 16 | Ferroviaria | 32 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 36:42 | -6 | 37 |
| 17 | Volta Redonda | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 22:34 | -12 | 34 |
| 18 | Botafogo SP | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 27:47 | -20 | 33 |
| 19 | Amazonas | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33:48 | -15 | 32 |
| 20 | Paysandu PA | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 28:40 | -12 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
