Ajaccio vs Amiens – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Michel Moretti Stadium (Ajaccio).

Ligue 2 - Round 29
Referee: Millot B. (Fra)
Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.74	0.65
Ball Possession
56%	44%
Total shots
14	9
Shots on target
4	1
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
8	2
Passes
78% (305/393)	73% (230/317)
Yellow Cards
2	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.74	0.65
xG on target (xGOT)
1.37	0.22
Total shots
14	9
Shots on target
4	1
Shots off target
8	2
Blocked Shots
2	6
Shots inside the Box
6	4
Shots outside the Box
8	5
Hit the Woodwork
1	1
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
8	2
Touches in opposition box
15	10
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
14	12
Passes
78% (305/393)	73% (230/317)
Long passes
45% (30/67)	42% (23/55)
Passes in final third
63% (80/127)	53% (46/87)
Crosses
25% (7/28)	20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.96	0.20
Fouls
12	14
Tackles
46% (6/13)	77% (10/13)
Duels won
52	44
Clearances Total
23	40
Interceptions
17	4
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
0	2
xGOT faced
0.22	1.37
Goals prevented
-0.78	-0.63

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', Monconduit T. 🟨,
18', Mbaye M. 🟨,
23', 1 - 0, Kante A. ⚽,
28', Kouassi A. 🟨,
31', 1 - 1, Mbaye M. ⚽,
40', Huard M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
64', Kante A. ↓, Toure B. ↑,
75', Monconduit T. ↓, Fofana I. ↑,
76', Kaiboue K. 🟨,
78', 2 - 1, Junior Pereira da Silva E. ⚽,
83', Mbaye M. ↓, Lutin R. ↑,
83', Kaiboue K. ↓, Rafii Y. ↑,
84', Lobry V. ↓, Manitu M. ↑,
87', Mafouta L. ↓, Chibozo A. ↑,

Chances of winning

Ajaccio
43.2%

Draw
31.7%

Amiens
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

29.4%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

28%

23%

Ajaccio - Amiens Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (2.01)	2.95 ↓ (3.18)	3.73 ↓ (3.89)	6.8% (6.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Ajaccio - Amiens?

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Ajaccio will win (votes: 13 - 61.9%). Amiens will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 23.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ajaccio: 41.1% – 82.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ajaccio will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 11 and 12).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 2.
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Ajaccio will have a poor advantage in this game.
There will not play in Ajaccio: Chegra I. (Inactive) Jacob V. (Leg Injury) Touzghar Y. (Arm Injury)
Last 9 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:9 (average 1:1).
Including matches at home between the teams Ajaccio won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:4 (average 1.5:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Ajaccio won against Amiens?

Ajaccio has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Amiens won against Ajaccio?

Amiens has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Ajaccio - Amiens were as follows:

19.10.2024 Amiens - Ajaccio 3:1

24.02.2024 Ajaccio - Amiens 0:0

26.09.2023 Amiens - Ajaccio 0:0

Latest results of Ajaccio

28.03.2025 Martigues - Ajaccio 2:0 ✺

14.03.2025 Ajaccio - Red Star 2:1 ✺

07.03.2025 Grenoble - Ajaccio 2:2 ✺

03.03.2025 Ajaccio - Dunkerque 1:2 ✺

22.02.2025 Metz - Ajaccio 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Amiens

28.03.2025 Clermont - Amiens 1:1 ✺

14.03.2025 Amiens - Caen 2:1 ✺

07.03.2025 Red Star - Amiens 2:0 ✺

01.03.2025 Amiens - Metz 1:2 ✺

21.02.2025 Rodez - Amiens 1:1 ✺

French Ligue 2 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Troyes	22	12	5	5	34:22	12	41
2	Reims	22	11	6	5	37:23	14	39
3	Le Mans	22	10	9	3	27:19	8	39
4	St Etienne	22	11	4	7	37:27	10	37
5	Red Star	22	10	7	5	30:22	8	37
6	Dunkerque	22	9	7	6	35:23	12	34
7	Pau FC	22	9	7	6	33:33	0	34
8	Guingamp	22	9	6	7	33:33	0	33
9	Annecy	22	9	5	8	28:22	6	32
10	Montpellier	22	9	4	9	24:22	2	31
11	Rodez	22	7	9	6	28:30	-2	30
12	Grenoble	22	6	8	8	24:29	-5	26
13	Nancy	22	7	4	11	20:30	-10	25
14	Boulogne	22	6	5	11	23:33	-10	23
15	Clermont	22	5	7	10	24:30	-6	22
16	Amiens	22	6	4	12	27:35	-8	22
17	Laval	22	3	8	11	15:30	-15	17
18	Bastia	22	3	7	12	11:27	-16	16

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