Result
2:1
04/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 29
- Referee: Millot B. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 0.65 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (305/393) | 73% (230/317) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 0.65 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.22 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (305/393) | 73% (230/317) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (30/67) | 42% (23/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (80/127) | 53% (46/87) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (7/28) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 46% (6/13) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 44 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 23 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 17 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.22 | 1.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.78 | -0.63 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 10', Monconduit T. 🟨,
- 18', Mbaye M. 🟨,
- 23', 1 - 0, Kante A. ⚽,
- 28', Kouassi A. 🟨,
- 31', 1 - 1, Mbaye M. ⚽,
- 40', Huard M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 64', Kante A. ↓, Toure B. ↑,
- 75', Monconduit T. ↓, Fofana I. ↑,
- 76', Kaiboue K. 🟨,
- 78', 2 - 1, Junior Pereira da Silva E. ⚽,
- 83', Mbaye M. ↓, Lutin R. ↑,
- 83', Kaiboue K. ↓, Rafii Y. ↑,
- 84', Lobry V. ↓, Manitu M. ↑,
- 87', Mafouta L. ↓, Chibozo A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ajaccio
43.2% | Draw
31.7% | Amiens
25.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ajaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)Amiens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ajaccio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amiens than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Ajaccio - Amiens Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.17 ↑
(2.01) |
2.95 ↓
(3.18) |
3.73 ↓
(3.89) |
6.8%
(6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Ajaccio - Amiens?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Ajaccio will win (votes: 13 - 61.9%). Amiens will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 23.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ajaccio: 41.1% – 82.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Ajaccio (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Amiens (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 11 and 12).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 2.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Ajaccio will have a poor advantage in this game.
- There will not play in Ajaccio: Chegra I.
(Inactive)
Jacob V.
(Leg Injury)
Touzghar Y.
(Arm Injury)
- Last 9 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:9 (average 1:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Ajaccio won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:4 (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Ajaccio won against Amiens?
Ajaccio has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Amiens won against Ajaccio?
Amiens has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ajaccio - Amiens were as follows:
19.10.2024
Amiens
-
Ajaccio
3:1
24.02.2024
Ajaccio
-
Amiens
0:0
26.09.2023
Amiens
-
Ajaccio
0:0
Latest results of Ajaccio
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nancy | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Troyes | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Clermont | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
| 4 | St Etienne | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 4 |
| 5 | Red Star | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Montpellier | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Reims | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Pau FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Amiens | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Le Mans | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Annecy | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 | Laval | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5:5 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Dunkerque | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5:7 | -2 | 2 |
| 14 | Rodez | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:5 | -4 | 2 |
| 15 | Bastia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 16 | Grenoble | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 1 |
| 17 | Guingamp | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 1 |
| 18 | Boulogne | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
