Ajaccio vs Amiens – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
04/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 29
  • Referee: Millot B. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.740.65
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
149
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
82
Passes
78% (305/393)73% (230/317)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.740.65
xG on target (xGOT)
1.370.22
Total shots
149
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
82
Blocked Shots
26
Shots inside the Box
64
Shots outside the Box
85
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
82
Touches in opposition box
1510
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1412
Passes
78% (305/393)73% (230/317)
Long passes
45% (30/67)42% (23/55)
Passes in final third
63% (80/127)53% (46/87)
Crosses
25% (7/28)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.960.20
Fouls
1214
Tackles
46% (6/13)77% (10/13)
Duels won
5244
Clearances Total
2340
Interceptions
174
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
0.221.37
Goals prevented
-0.78-0.63

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 10', Monconduit T. 🟨,
  • 18', Mbaye M. 🟨,
  • 23', 1 - 0, Kante A. ,
  • 28', Kouassi A. 🟨,
  • 31', 1 - 1, Mbaye M. ,
  • 40', Huard M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 64', Kante A. , Toure B. ,
  • 75', Monconduit T. , Fofana I. ,
  • 76', Kaiboue K. 🟨,
  • 78', 2 - 1, Junior Pereira da Silva E. ,
  • 83', Mbaye M. , Lutin R. ,
  • 83', Kaiboue K. , Rafii Y. ,
  • 84', Lobry V. , Manitu M. ,
  • 87', Mafouta L. , Chibozo A. ,

Chances of winning


Ajaccio
43.2%
Draw
31.7%
Amiens
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.5% 29.4% 24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8% 28% 23%

Ajaccio - Amiens Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.17
(2.01)
2.95
(3.18)
3.73
(3.89)
6.8%
(6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Ajaccio - Amiens?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Ajaccio will win (votes: 13 - 61.9%). Amiens will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 23.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ajaccio: 41.1%82.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Ajaccio (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Amiens (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 11 and 12).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 2.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Ajaccio will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Ajaccio: Chegra I. (Inactive) Jacob V. (Leg Injury) Touzghar Y. (Arm Injury)
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:9 (average 1:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Ajaccio won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:4 (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ajaccio - Amiens were as follows:
    19.10.2024 Amiens - Ajaccio 3:1
    24.02.2024 Ajaccio - Amiens 0:0
    26.09.2023 Amiens - Ajaccio 0:0
    Latest results of Ajaccio
    28.03.2025 Martigues - Ajaccio 2:0
    14.03.2025 Ajaccio - Red Star 2:1
    07.03.2025 Grenoble - Ajaccio 2:2
    03.03.2025 Ajaccio - Dunkerque 1:2
    22.02.2025 Metz - Ajaccio 0:1
    Latest results of Amiens
    28.03.2025 Clermont - Amiens 1:1
    14.03.2025 Amiens - Caen 2:1
    07.03.2025 Red Star - Amiens 2:0
    01.03.2025 Amiens - Metz 1:2
    21.02.2025 Rodez - Amiens 1:1
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes17105230:161435
    2St Etienne1793535:251030
    3Le Mans1786322:17530
    4Reims1785432:201229
    5Red Star1685321:15629
    6Dunkerque1776429:191027
    7Pau FC1775523:25-226
    8Montpellier1774618:16225
    9Guingamp1765625:30-523
    10Annecy1764721:18322
    11Grenoble1756619:21-221
    12Rodez1756618:23-521
    13Clermont1747616:21-519
    14Amiens1753921:26-518
    15Nancy1753915:22-718
    16Boulogne1744918:26-816
    17Laval1736813:22-915
    18Bastia1615108:22-148

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National