Ajaccio vs Amiens – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
04/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 29
  • Referee: Millot B. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.740.65
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
149
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
82
Passes
78% (305/393)73% (230/317)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.740.65
xG on target (xGOT)
1.370.22
Total shots
149
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
82
Blocked Shots
26
Shots inside the Box
64
Shots outside the Box
85
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
82
Touches in opposition box
1510
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1412
Passes
78% (305/393)73% (230/317)
Long passes
45% (30/67)42% (23/55)
Passes in final third
63% (80/127)53% (46/87)
Crosses
25% (7/28)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.960.20
Fouls
1214
Tackles
46% (6/13)77% (10/13)
Duels won
5244
Clearances Total
2340
Interceptions
174
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
0.221.37
Goals prevented
-0.78-0.63

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 10', Monconduit T. 🟨,
  • 18', Mbaye M. 🟨,
  • 23', 1 - 0, Kante A. ,
  • 28', Kouassi A. 🟨,
  • 31', 1 - 1, Mbaye M. ,
  • 40', Huard M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 64', Kante A. , Toure B. ,
  • 75', Monconduit T. , Fofana I. ,
  • 76', Kaiboue K. 🟨,
  • 78', 2 - 1, Junior Pereira da Silva E. ,
  • 83', Mbaye M. , Lutin R. ,
  • 83', Kaiboue K. , Rafii Y. ,
  • 84', Lobry V. , Manitu M. ,
  • 87', Mafouta L. , Chibozo A. ,

Chances of winning


Ajaccio
43.2%
Draw
31.7%
Amiens
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.5% 29.4% 24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8% 28% 23%

Ajaccio - Amiens Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.17
(2.01)
2.95
(3.18)
3.73
(3.89)
6.8%
(6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Ajaccio - Amiens?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Ajaccio will win (votes: 13 - 61.9%). Amiens will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 23.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ajaccio: 41.1%82.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Ajaccio (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Amiens (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 11 and 12).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 2.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Ajaccio will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Ajaccio: Chegra I. (Inactive) Jacob V. (Leg Injury) Touzghar Y. (Arm Injury)
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:9 (average 1:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Ajaccio won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:4 (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ajaccio - Amiens were as follows:
    19.10.2024 Amiens - Ajaccio 3:1
    24.02.2024 Ajaccio - Amiens 0:0
    26.09.2023 Amiens - Ajaccio 0:0
    Latest results of Ajaccio
    28.03.2025 Martigues - Ajaccio 2:0
    14.03.2025 Ajaccio - Red Star 2:1
    07.03.2025 Grenoble - Ajaccio 2:2
    03.03.2025 Ajaccio - Dunkerque 1:2
    22.02.2025 Metz - Ajaccio 0:1
    Latest results of Amiens
    28.03.2025 Clermont - Amiens 1:1
    14.03.2025 Amiens - Caen 2:1
    07.03.2025 Red Star - Amiens 2:0
    01.03.2025 Amiens - Metz 1:2
    21.02.2025 Rodez - Amiens 1:1
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes19125233:171641
    2Red Star19105427:161135
    3St Etienne19104536:251134
    4Dunkerque1996435:211433
    5Reims1995535:231232
    6Le Mans1988323:18532
    7Guingamp1985631:30129
    8Pau FC1976627:31-427
    9Annecy1974824:20425
    10Montpellier1974819:20-125
    11Rodez1958622:27-523
    12Clermont1957720:23-322
    13Grenoble1956819:25-621
    14Nancy19631017:26-921
    15Boulogne19541019:29-1019
    16Amiens19531122:30-818
    17Laval19361014:28-1415
    18Bastia19351111:25-1414

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National