Result
2:1
04/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 29
- Referee: Millot B. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.74 | 0.65 |
Ball Possession |
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56% | 44% |
Total shots |
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14 | 9 |
Shots on target |
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4 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
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8 | 2 |
Passes |
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78% (305/393) | 73% (230/317) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.74 | 0.65 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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1.37 | 0.22 |
Total shots |
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14 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 1 |
Shots off target |
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8 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
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2 | 6 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
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8 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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1 | 1 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
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8 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
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15 | 10 |
Offsides |
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2 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
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14 | 12 |
Passes |
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78% (305/393) | 73% (230/317) |
Long passes |
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45% (30/67) | 42% (23/55) |
Passes in final third |
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63% (80/127) | 53% (46/87) |
Crosses |
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25% (7/28) | 20% (2/10) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.96 | 0.20 |
Fouls |
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12 | 14 |
Tackles |
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46% (6/13) | 77% (10/13) |
Duels won |
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52 | 44 |
Clearances Total |
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23 | 40 |
Interceptions |
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17 | 4 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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0 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
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0.22 | 1.37 |
Goals prevented |
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-0.78 | -0.63 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 10', Monconduit T. 🟨,
- 18', Mbaye M. 🟨,
- 23', 1 - 0, Kante A. ⚽,
- 28', Kouassi A. 🟨,
- 31', 1 - 1, Mbaye M. ⚽,
- 40', Huard M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 64', Kante A. ↓, Toure B. ↑,
- 75', Monconduit T. ↓, Fofana I. ↑,
- 76', Kaiboue K. 🟨,
- 78', 2 - 1, Junior Pereira da Silva E. ⚽,
- 83', Mbaye M. ↓, Lutin R. ↑,
- 83', Kaiboue K. ↓, Rafii Y. ↑,
- 84', Lobry V. ↓, Manitu M. ↑,
- 87', Mafouta L. ↓, Chibozo A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ajaccio 43.2% | Draw 31.7% | Amiens 25.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ajaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)Amiens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ajaccio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amiens than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Ajaccio - Amiens Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.17 ↑ (2.01) |
2.95 ↓ (3.18) |
3.73 ↓ (3.89) |
6.8% (6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Ajaccio - Amiens?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Ajaccio will win (votes: 13 - 61.9%). Amiens will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 23.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ajaccio: 41.1% – 82.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Ajaccio (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Amiens (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 11 and 12).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 2.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Ajaccio will have a poor advantage in this game.
- There will not play in Ajaccio: Chegra I.
(Inactive)
Jacob V.
(Leg Injury)
Touzghar Y.
(Arm Injury)
- Last 9 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:9 (average 1:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Ajaccio won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:4 (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Ajaccio won against Amiens?
Ajaccio has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Amiens won against Ajaccio?
Amiens has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ajaccio - Amiens were as follows:
19.10.2024
Amiens
-
Ajaccio
3:1
24.02.2024
Ajaccio
-
Amiens
0:0
26.09.2023
Amiens
-
Ajaccio
0:0
Latest results of Ajaccio
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Grenoble | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Le Mans | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Nancy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | St Etienne | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Amiens | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Bastia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Clermont | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Guingamp | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Montpellier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Reims | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Troyes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Laval | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Pau FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Rodez | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Annecy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Dunkerque | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Red Star | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National