Result
4:2
06/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 26
- Referee: Abed K. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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France | beIN Connect, Free |
Match Stats
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|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 0.95 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
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| 6 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (421/507) | 65% (175/270) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 0.95 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 1.42 | 1.52 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
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| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
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| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
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| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
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| 7 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
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| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
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| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 27 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
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| 9 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (421/507) | 65% (175/270) |
| Long passes |
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| 35% (18/51) | 38% (26/68) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 66% (112/169) | 56% (44/78) |
| Crosses |
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| 36% (10/28) | 39% (7/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 1.52 | 0.49 |
| Throw ins |
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| 17 | 28 |
| Fouls |
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| 18 | 9 |
| Tackles |
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| 73% (8/11) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
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| 41 | 53 |
| Clearances |
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| 17 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
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| 9 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
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| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 1.52 | 1.42 |
| Goals prevented |
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| -0.48 | -1.58 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 10', 0 - 1, Sane I. ⚽, Kaiboue K. (A),
- 23', Burlet V. 🟨,
- 25', El Farissi A. 🟨,
- 31', Binet N. 🟨,
- 36', Alvero S. 🟥,
- 37', Bultel J. ↓, Moco Z. ↑,
- 42', 1 - 1, Fatou C. ⚽, Thiam D. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 46', Kandil N. ↓, Leautey A. ↑,
- 46', Kaiboue K. ↓, Monconduit T. ↑,
- 58', 2 - 1, Roussillon J. (Own goal),
- 59', Sane I. ↓, Ntamack S. ↑,
- 66', Averlant T. ↓, Hamache I. ↑,
- 68', El Farissi A. ↓, Fatar N. ↑,
- 68', Fatou C. ↓, Lecolier M. ↑,
- 73', 2 - 2, Ntamack S. ⚽,
- 77', 3 - 2, Fatar N. ⚽, Lecolier M. (A),
- 78', Duflos S. ↓, Platret A. ↑,
- 82', Fofana I. 🟨,
- 83', Kore Y. ↓, Mlakar J. ↑,
- 85', Monconduit T. 🟨,
- 90+6', 4 - 2, Fatar N. ⚽, Platret A. (A),
Chances of winning
Boulogne 44.4% | Draw 29.9% | Amiens 25.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Boulogne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Amiens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boulogne than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amiens than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Boulogne - Amiens Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.11 ↓ (2.13) |
3.15 ↓ (3.28) |
3.65 ↑ (3.28) |
6.6% (8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Boulogne - Amiens?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Boulogne will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Amiens will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Boulogne: 30.4% – 86.2%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 16 in the zone Ligue 2 (Relegation)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boulogne won 3.
- Boulogne has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Amiens is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Boulogne might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Boulogne: Boiteau L.
(Inactive)
Keita S.
(Inactive)
Uriev A.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Amiens: Appiah A.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Lo A.
(Injury)
Lobry V.
(Knee Injury)
Manitu M.
(Inactive)
Monconduit T.
(Inactive)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Boulogne won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:8. (average 1.3:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Boulogne won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Boulogne won against Amiens?
Boulogne has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Amiens won against Boulogne?
Amiens has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Boulogne - Amiens were as follows:
03.10.2025
Amiens
-
Boulogne
0:1
Latest results of Boulogne
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 28 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 49:28 | 21 | 57 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 50:29 | 21 | 53 |
| 3 | Le Mans | 28 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 41:29 | 12 | 50 |
| 4 | Red Star | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 32:27 | 5 | 47 |
| 5 | Reims | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 41:26 | 15 | 46 |
| 6 | Rodez | 28 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 35:33 | 2 | 44 |
| 7 | Montpellier | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 33:25 | 8 | 42 |
| 8 | Dunkerque | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 43:34 | 9 | 39 |
| 9 | Annecy | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 35:34 | 1 | 39 |
| 10 | Guingamp | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 38:40 | -2 | 39 |
| 11 | Pau FC | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 40:44 | -4 | 39 |
| 12 | Boulogne | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 30:38 | -8 | 34 |
| 13 | Grenoble | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 26:33 | -7 | 30 |
| 14 | Clermont | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 30:37 | -7 | 28 |
| 15 | Nancy | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 24:40 | -16 | 28 |
| 16 | Amiens | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 33:50 | -17 | 23 |
| 17 | Laval | 28 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 23 |
| 18 | Bastia | 28 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 15:31 | -16 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National