Amkar Perm vs Chernomorets Novorossiysk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Russian Cup Amkar Perm - Chernomorets Novorossiysk
Result
4:3 penalties
24/09/2024 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • RUSSIA: Russian Cup - Regions Path - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
russiaRussiaSportbox.ru

Match Stats

Red Cards
10
Yellow Cards
32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Promoshkin D. ,
  • 16', 1 - 1, Rodionov I. ,
  • 22', 🟨,
  • 23', 2 - 1, Dibirgadzhiev D. ,
  • 35', 3 - 1, Dibirgadzhiev D. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Tegues D. , Ivanov E. ,
  • 48', Fomin D. 🟨,
  • 57', Dibirgadzhiev D. , Maltsev L. ,
  • 65', Radzhabov A. 🟥,
  • 69', Promoshkin D. , Pridyuk A. ,
  • 73', Burykin K. 🟨,
  • 75', 🟨,
  • 80', Bubnov A. , Akhatov D. ,
  • 80', Antonov A. , Uridia M. ,
  • 80', Bezchasnyuk A. , Cherov V. ,
  • 85', Musalov M. , Krasilnichenko O. ,
  • 85', 3 - 2, Bocharov A. (Own goal),
  • 88', 🟨,
  • 89', 3 - 3, Fomin D. ,
  • Penalties (4 - 3)
  • 1, Uridia M. (Pen),
  • 1, Stepanov A. (Pen),
  • 2, Rodionov I. (Pen),
  • 2, Kolesnichenko K. (Pen),
  • 3, Cherov V. (Pen),
  • 3, Burykin K. (Pen),
  • 4, Nikiforov N. (Pen),
  • 4, Akhatov D. (Pen),
  • 5, Ivanov E. (Pen),
  • 5, (Pen),

Chances of winning


Amkar Perm
26%
Draw
27.5%
Chernomorets Novorossiysk
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.3% 29.4% 35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2% 29.3% 35.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Amkar Perm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Amkar Perm's form might have worsened.
  • Chernomorets Novorossiysk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chernomorets Novorossiysk's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amkar Perm than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Amkar Perm, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chernomorets Novorossiysk than the current prediction. (-11.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chernomorets Novorossiysk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Amkar Perm - Chernomorets Novorossiysk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.55
    (2.61)
    3.36
    (3.14)
    1.99
    (2.61)
    8.2%
    (8.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Amkar is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Chernomorets is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Chernomorets could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Chernomorets will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Amkar Perm
    21.09.2024 Amkar Perm - Ural 2 1:0
    14.09.2024 Dynamo Kirov - Amkar Perm 1:1
    07.09.2024 Rubin 2 Kazan - Amkar Perm 2:0
    03.09.2024 Amkar Perm - Torpedo Miass 1:0
    Russian Cup Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWWLLPts
    1Zenit220005:16
    2Rubin Kazan210012:33
    3Orenburg210012:33
    4Akhmat Grozny200022:40


    Group B
    PlWWLLPts
    1Krylya Sovetov210103:24
    2Krasnodar210015:23
    3Dynamo Moscow210013:63
    4Sochi201013:42


    Group C
    PlWWLLPts
    1Dynamo Makhachkala211002:15
    2Spartak Moscow210103:14
    3Pari NN210011:13
    4FK Rostov200020:30


    Group D
    PlWWLLPts
    1Akron Togliatti211003:25
    2CSKA Moscow210103:24
    3Lokomotiv Moscow210013:23
    4Baltika200021:40

          Promotion ~ Russian Cup (Play Offs: )
          Promotion ~ Russian Cup (Regions Path ~ Play Offs: )