Chernomorets Novorossiysk vs Rodina Moscow – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

02/05/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Centralnyy (Novorossiysk).

FNL - Round 32
Referee: Zaika M. (Rus)
Where to Watch on TV:


Russia	Match! Premier

Match Stats


Ball possession
52%	48%
Total shots
9	8
Shots on target
2	7
Corner kicks
5	2
Yellow cards
2	2
Total shots
9	8
Shots on target
2	7
Shots off target
7	1
Corner kicks
5	2
Free kicks
17	11

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Maksimenko A. ⚽,
15', 0 - 2, Timoshenko I. ⚽,
25', Tarba Z. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Zhilkin G. ↓, Antonov A. ↑,
52', Dyatlov I. 🟨,
60', Abdusalamov M. ↓, Bakaev S. ↑,
61', Egorychev A. ↓, Ushatov K. ↑,
63', 0 - 3, Reyna Y. ⚽,
66', Syshchenko M. ↓, Suslov K. ↑,
67', Tarba Z. ↓, Krachkovskii A. ↑,
68', Bakaev S. 🟨,
70', Reyna Y. ↓, Koryan A. ↑,
80', 1 - 3, Khubulov A. (Penalty Awarded),
80', Magomedov Z. ↓, Konovalov I. ↑,
80', Timoshenko I. ↓, Gharibyan A. ↑,
82', Maksimenko A. ↓, Musaev L. ↑,
84', Zhigulev I. ↓, Antsiperov D. ↑,
87', Khubulov A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Chernomorets Novorossiysk
16.6%

Draw
25.3%

Rodina Moscow
58.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.1%

27.2%

52.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20%

27%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chernomorets Novorossiysk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Rodina Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rodina Moscow's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chernomorets Novorossiysk than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rodina Moscow than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rodina Moscow, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Rodina Moscow Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.73 ↑ (4.72)	3.76 ↑ (3.49)	1.64 ↓ (1.8)	5.3% (5.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

Preview Facts

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chernomorets won 1.
Chernomorets has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Rodina is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, Rodina is the team to beat.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Chernomorets won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.7:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Chernomorets won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Chernomorets Novorossiysk won against Rodina Moscow?

Chernomorets Novorossiysk has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Rodina Moscow won against Chernomorets Novorossiysk?

Rodina Moscow has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Rodina Moscow were as follows:

21.07.2025 Rodina Moscow - Chernomorets Novorossiysk 1:1

17.11.2024 Rodina Moscow - Chernomorets Novorossiysk 0:1

01.09.2024 Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Rodina Moscow 2:2

12.11.2023 Rodina Moscow - Chernomorets Novorossiysk 4:0

01.11.2023 Rodina Moscow - Chernomorets Novorossiysk 3:0

Latest results of Chernomorets Novorossiysk

26.04.2026 Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Sokol Saratov 0:1 ✺

22.04.2026 Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Chernomorets Novorossiysk 4:0 ✺

18.04.2026 Ufa - Chernomorets Novorossiysk 1:0 ✺

11.04.2026 Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Spartak Kostroma 1:2 ✺

03.04.2026 Chelyabinsk - Chernomorets Novorossiysk 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Rodina Moscow

26.04.2026 Rodina Moscow - Ufa 1:0 ✺

22.04.2026 Rotor - Rodina Moscow 2:0 ✺

18.04.2026 Rodina Moscow - Volga Ulyanovsk 0:0 ✺

13.04.2026 Fakel - Rodina Moscow 1:3 ✺

05.04.2026 Sokol Saratov - Rodina Moscow 1:3 ✺

Russian FNL Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Fakel Voronezh	32	19	7	6	41:22	19	64
2	Rodina Moscow	32	17	11	4	52:27	25	62
3	Ural	31	17	7	7	48:28	20	58
4	R. Volgograd	31	14	10	7	40:23	17	52
5	Kamaz	32	12	13	7	46:31	15	49
6	S. Kostroma	32	12	12	8	45:39	6	48
7	Yenisey	32	12	10	10	36:34	2	46
8	Shinnik Yaroslavl	31	10	13	8	30:25	5	43
9	Chelyabinsk	32	10	13	9	40:36	4	43
10	Torpedo Moscow	32	11	9	12	35:38	-3	42
11	Neftekhimik	32	10	12	10	38:37	1	42
12	Arsenal Tula	31	8	14	9	39:37	2	38
13	Ulyanovsk	32	9	9	14	33:43	-10	36
14	SKA Khabarovsk	31	8	11	12	32:45	-13	35
15	Ufa	31	7	10	14	30:37	-7	31
16	Chernomorets Novorossijsk	32	7	8	17	33:48	-15	29
17	FK Chayka	32	5	7	20	30:69	-39	22
18	Saratov	32	4	10	18	14:43	-29	22

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )
      Relegation