Result
2:1
18/01/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group F - Round 20
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 16', 1 - 0, Gerbaudo M. ⚽,
- 29', 2 - 0, Zini A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 89', 2 - 1, Muro A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Ancona
46.5% | Draw
28% | Atletico Ascoli
25.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ancona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ancona's performance.Atletico Ascoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atletico Ascoli might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ancona than the current prediction. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atletico Ascoli than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Ancona - Atletico Ascoli Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.95 ↓
(2.2) |
3.24 ↓
(3.33) |
3.55 ↑
(2.86) |
10.2%
(10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: ) and 6).
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- Ancona may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Ancona might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ancona won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ancona won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Ancona won against Atletico Ascoli?
Ancona has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atletico Ascoli won against Ancona?
Atletico Ascoli has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ancona - Atletico Ascoli were as follows:
22.10.2025
Ancona
-
Atletico Ascoli
1:0
21.09.2025
Atletico Ascoli
-
Ancona
1:2
30.03.2025
Ancona
-
Atletico Ascoli
0:2
Latest results of Atletico Ascoli
Italian Serie D - Group F Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ancona | 26 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 49:16 | 33 | 61 |
| 2 | Ostiamare | 26 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 53:17 | 36 | 60 |
| 3 | Teramo | 26 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 51:22 | 29 | 58 |
| 4 | L Aquila | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 48:33 | 15 | 47 |
| 5 | Atletico Ascoli | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 47:27 | 20 | 45 |
| 6 | Vigor Senigallia | 26 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 28:25 | 3 | 40 |
| 7 | Giulianova | 26 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 33:27 | 6 | 39 |
| 8 | Notaresco Calcio | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 29:24 | 5 | 38 |
| 9 | Fossombrone | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 20:24 | -4 | 33 |
| 10 | Unipomezia | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 32:34 | -2 | 32 |
| 11 | Maceratese | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 35:38 | -3 | 30 |
| 12 | Sora | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 33:39 | -6 | 30 |
| 13 | Termoli | 26 | 5 | 12 | 9 | 22:26 | -4 | 27 |
| 14 | Recanatese | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 28:48 | -20 | 21 |
| 15 | Calcio Chieti | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23:47 | -24 | 21 |
| 16 | San Marino Calcio | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 22:47 | -25 | 20 |
| 17 | Sammaurese | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 27:57 | -30 | 18 |
| 18 | Castelfidardo | 26 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 22:51 | -29 | 15 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )
Relegation
