Result
2:0
08/02/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 24
- Referee: Vergoote J. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DAZN |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belgium | DAZN Pro League 1, Sporza, Sporza |
 Bolivia | DAZN |
 Brazil | DAZN Brasil |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Ecuador | DAZN |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 Paraguay | DAZN |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Taiwan | DAZN |
 United-kingdom | DAZN |
 Uruguay | DAZN |
 Usa | DAZN USA |
 Venezuela | DAZN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.61 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (351/409) | 84% (311/371) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.61 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 0.19 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (351/409) | 84% (311/371) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 65% (31/48) | 56% (19/34) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (107/138) | 74% (82/111) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (4/28) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.80 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 8 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (13/20) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.19 | 1.80 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.19 | -0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 8', El Ouahdi Z. 🟨,
- 41', da Costa C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', da Costa C. ↓, Kanate I. ↑,
- 54', Kayembe J. 🟨,
- 64', Medina Y. ↓, Sor Y. ↑,
- 64', Ito J. ↓, Steuckers J. ↑,
- 64', Sikan D. ↓, Cvetkovic M. ↑,
- 64', Degreef T. ↓, Hazard T. ↑,
- 69', 1 - 0, Sor Y. ⚽, Karetsas K. (A),
- 76', Sardella K. ↓, Bertaccini A. ↑,
- 76', Verschaeren Y. ↓, Camara I. ↑,
- 79', Bibout A. ↓, Mirisola R. ↑,
- 84', 2 - 0, Mirisola R. ⚽, Steuckers J. (A),
Chances of winning
Genk
48.7% | Draw
26.9% | Anderlecht
24.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Genk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)Anderlecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Anderlecht might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genk than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Genk that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anderlecht than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Anderlecht could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Genk - Anderlecht Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.95 ↓
(2.14) |
3.49 ↓
(3.6) |
3.87 ↑
(3.15) |
5.7%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Genk - Anderlecht?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Genk (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Genk will win
(18 of 21 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.74% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Genk will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Genk (votes: 7 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Genk won 3.
- Genk is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Anderlecht is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Genk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Genk could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Genk: Adedeji-Sternberg N.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Anderlecht: Augustinsson L.
(Hamstring Injury)
De Cat N.
(Yellow Cards)
Huerta Valera C. S.
(Groin Injury)
Stroeykens M.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Genk: Sor Y.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Genk won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:22. (average 1.5:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Genk won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:11. (average 1.7:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Genk won against Anderlecht?
Genk has won 8 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Anderlecht won against Genk?
Anderlecht has won 3 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Genk - Anderlecht were as follows:
04.12.2025
Genk
-
Anderlecht
1:3
14.09.2025
Anderlecht
-
Genk
1:1
25.05.2025
Genk
-
Anderlecht
2:1
06.04.2025
Anderlecht
-
Genk
1:2
22.12.2024
Genk
-
Anderlecht
2:0
Latest results of Anderlecht
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG ✔ | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 43:15 | 28 | 56 |
| 2 | St. Truiden ✔ | 26 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 44:29 | 15 | 54 |
| 3 | Club Brugge KV ✔ | 26 | 17 | 2 | 7 | 49:31 | 18 | 53 |
| 4 | Anderlecht | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 34:32 | 2 | 40 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 34:29 | 5 | 39 |
| 6 | Gent | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 41:38 | 3 | 36 |
| 7 | Genk | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 36:40 | -4 | 35 |
| 8 | St. Liege | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 24:33 | -9 | 34 |
| 9 | Westerlo | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 34:38 | -4 | 34 |
| 10 | Charleroi | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 35:35 | 0 | 33 |
| 11 | Antwerp | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 29:30 | -1 | 30 |
| 12 | Waregem | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 36:42 | -6 | 29 |
| 13 | Leuven | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 28:37 | -9 | 28 |
| 14 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 34:40 | -6 | 27 |
| 15 | RAAL La Louviere | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 21:30 | -9 | 25 |
| 16 | Dender | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 21:44 | -23 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Royale Union SG is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
St. Truiden is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
Club Brugge KV is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
