Result
2:1
02/05/2025 at 07:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Estoril, clay - Quarter-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 69% | 64% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 68% (50/74) | 79% (44/56) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 55% (18/33) | 28% (9/32) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 43% (3/7) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 21% (12/56) | 32% (24/74) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 72% (23/32) | 45% (15/33) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 43% (3/7) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 19 | 29 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 23 | 54 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 25% (1/4) | 68% (13/19) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 64% (68/107) | 60% (53/88) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 40% (35/88) | 36% (39/107) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 53% (103/195) | 47% (92/195) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 81% (13/16) | 73% (11/15) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 19% (3/16) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 55% (17/31) | 45% (14/31) |
Chances of winning
Andrea Pellegrino
33.8% | Nicolas Jarry
66.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Andrea Pellegrino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Andrea Pellegrino's form might have worsened.Nicolas Jarry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nicolas Jarry's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Pellegrino than the current prediction. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Jarry than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Andrea Pellegrino - Nicolas Jarry Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.77 ↑
(2.34) |
|
1.42 ↓
(1.53) |
6.7%
(8.1%) | |
Preview Facts
- Pellegrino is ranked ATP: 237. Jarry is ranked ATP: 57.
- Pellegrino is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Jarry has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Jarry may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Jarry could have a small edge in this match.
- In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Andrea Pellegrino won against Nicolas Jarry?
Andrea Pellegrino has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nicolas Jarry won against Andrea Pellegrino?
Nicolas Jarry has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Andrea Pellegrino - Nicolas Jarry were as follows:
Latest results of Andrea Pellegrino
Latest results of Nicolas Jarry
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Auger-Aliassime F. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Lajovic D. (Alt) | Pellegrino A. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Tien L. | Elias G. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Rocha H. (WC) | Jarry N. (7) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Giron M. (4) | Bye | |
| 6 | Vukic A. | Moreno De Alboran N. (Alt) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Faria J. | Zapata Miralles B. (LL) | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | De Jong J. | Fonseca J. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Kecmanovic M. (5) | Struff J-L. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Coppejans K. (Alt) | Yevseyev D. (LL) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Zeppieri G. (Q) | Fucsovics M. | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Borges N. (3) | |
| 13 | Martinez P. (6) | Vatutin A. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Nardi L. | Kovacevic A. | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Hanfmann Y. (Alt) | Fonio G. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | Michelsen A. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Auger-Aliassime F. (1) | Pellegrino A. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Elias G. | Jarry N. (7) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Giron M. (4) | Vukic A. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Zapata Miralles B. | De Jong J. | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Kecmanovic M. (5) | Yevseyev D. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Fucsovics M. | Borges N. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Vatutin A. | Nardi L. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Fonio G. | Michelsen A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Pellegrino A. | Jarry N. (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Vukic A. | Zapata Miralles B. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Kecmanovic M. (5) | Borges N. (3) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Nardi L. | Michelsen A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Pellegrino A. | Vukic A. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Kecmanovic M. (5) | Michelsen A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Pellegrino A. | Michelsen A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
