Result
6:3
01/02/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 20
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 18', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 32', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (5 - 2)
- 50', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 61', 3 - 1, ⚽,
- 81', 4 - 1, ⚽,
- 83', 🟥,
- 86', 4 - 2, ⚽,
- 90+1', 4 - 3, ⚽,
- 90+7', 5 - 3, ⚽,
- 90+9', 6 - 3, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Aretxabaleta
51.5% | Draw
26.1% | Añorga
22.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aretxabaleta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aretxabaleta's form might have worsened.Añorga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aretxabaleta than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aretxabaleta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Añorga than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Aretxabaleta - Añorga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.77 ↑
(1.6) |
3.48 ↓
(3.8) |
4.06 ↓
(4.8) |
10%
(9.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
- Aretxabaleta is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Añorga has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Aretxabaleta is the team to beat.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Aretxabaleta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Aretxabaleta won against Añorga?
Aretxabaleta has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Añorga won against Aretxabaleta?
Añorga has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aretxabaleta - Añorga were as follows:
21.09.2025
Añorga
-
Aretxabaleta
1:2
Latest results of Aretxabaleta
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portugalete | 24 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 52:17 | 35 | 60 |
| 2 | Leioa | 24 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 35:23 | 12 | 45 |
| 3 | Lagun Onak | 24 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 36:22 | 14 | 41 |
| 4 | Touring KE | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 31:20 | 11 | 41 |
| 5 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 31:30 | 1 | 40 |
| 6 | San Ignacio | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 24:18 | 6 | 38 |
| 7 | Derio | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 37:29 | 8 | 37 |
| 8 | Alaves C | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 38:27 | 11 | 36 |
| 9 | UD Aretxabaleta | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 41:40 | 1 | 35 |
| 10 | Durango | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 24:21 | 3 | 33 |
| 11 | Real Sociedad C | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 26:28 | -2 | 33 |
| 12 | Santurtzi | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 24:32 | -8 | 27 |
| 13 | Eibar C | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 28:38 | -10 | 26 |
| 14 | Zamudio | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 27:39 | -12 | 25 |
| 15 | Pasaia | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 16:30 | -14 | 24 |
| 16 | Anorga | 24 | 7 | 3 | 14 | 23:43 | -20 | 24 |
| 17 | Zarautz KE | 24 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 20:43 | -23 | 21 |
| 18 | SD Deusto | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 17:30 | -13 | 18 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
