Result
2:1
18/01/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 18
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
Chances of winning
Aretxabaleta
45% | Draw
27.5% | Zarautz KE
27.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aretxabaleta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aretxabaleta's form might have worsened.Zarautz KE has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zarautz KE's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aretxabaleta than the current prediction. (+8.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aretxabaleta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zarautz KE than the current prediction. (-8.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zarautz KE, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Aretxabaleta - Zarautz KE Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.02 ↑
(1.75) |
3.3 ↑
(3.1) |
3.3 ↓
(4.4) |
10.3%
(12.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 14).
- Aretxabaleta has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Zarautz has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Aretxabaleta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Aretxabaleta is considered a favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Aretxabaleta won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Aretxabaleta won against Zarautz KE?
Aretxabaleta has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zarautz KE won against Aretxabaleta?
Zarautz KE has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aretxabaleta - Zarautz KE were as follows:
06.09.2025
Zarautz KE
-
Aretxabaleta
1:0
Latest results of Aretxabaleta
Latest results of Zarautz KE
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portugalete | 33 | 23 | 6 | 4 | 68:28 | 40 | 75 |
| 2 | Leioa | 33 | 18 | 7 | 8 | 48:31 | 17 | 61 |
| 3 | Touring KE | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 46:33 | 13 | 57 |
| 4 | Derio | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 53:40 | 13 | 55 |
| 5 | Lagun Onak | 33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 51:32 | 19 | 54 |
| 6 | Alaves C | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 56:38 | 18 | 53 |
| 7 | Real Sociedad C | 33 | 16 | 4 | 13 | 46:38 | 8 | 52 |
| 8 | San Ignacio | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 35:26 | 9 | 52 |
| 9 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 33 | 15 | 6 | 12 | 40:40 | 0 | 51 |
| 10 | UD Aretxabaleta | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 53:60 | -7 | 42 |
| 11 | Durango | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 31:35 | -4 | 41 |
| 12 | Santurtzi | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 31:41 | -10 | 39 |
| 13 | Pasaia | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 26:43 | -17 | 36 |
| 14 | Anorga | 33 | 11 | 4 | 18 | 36:57 | -21 | 34 |
| 15 | Eibar C | 33 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 41:53 | -12 | 33 |
| 16 | Zamudio | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 41:56 | -15 | 33 |
| 17 | Zarautz KE | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 30:59 | -29 | 30 |
| 18 | SD Deusto | 33 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 25:47 | -22 | 25 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
