Result
3:2
15/10/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 12
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 11', 0 - 1, Espinoza J. ⚽,
- 16', 1 - 1, Casas D. ⚽,
- 43', Chavez G. 🟨,
- 45', Casas D. 🟨,
- 45', Sosa M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 67', 2 - 1, Fernandez E. (Own goal),
- 74', Ceballos M. ↓, Morales V. ↑,
- 74', Navarro A. ↓, Joj J. ↑,
- 74', Chavez G. ↓, Macareno K. ↑,
- 74', Sagastume S. ↓, Garzaro S. ↑,
- 77', Amaya W. ↓, de Leon B. ↑,
- 77', Chuc D. ↓, Vasquez E. ↑,
- 82', Robinson A. ↓, Fernandez D. ↑,
- 82', Bradley D. ↓, Daly J. ↑,
- 84', 2 - 2, Macareno K. ⚽,
- 86', Flores Barrios R. D. ↓, Carbonell J. ↑,
- 90+2', 3 - 2, Casas D. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Marquense
32.3% | Draw
32.2% | Antigua GFC
35.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Antigua GFC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marquense than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Antigua GFC than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Marquense - Antigua GFC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.9 ↑
(2.71) |
2.92 ↓
(3.19) |
2.65 ↑
(2.57) |
6.5%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Marquense - Antigua GFC?
Users Predictions:
Antigua GFC will win
(7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Antigua GFC will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marquense won 1.
- Marquense has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Antigua is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Marquense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Marquense won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:31. (average 1.3:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Marquense won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:8. (average 1.1:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Marquense won against Antigua GFC?
Marquense has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Antigua GFC won against Marquense?
Antigua GFC has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Marquense - Antigua GFC were as follows:
19.07.2025
Antigua GFC
-
Marquense
3:0
05.04.2025
Antigua GFC
-
Marquense
1:3
01.02.2025
Marquense
-
Antigua GFC
0:0
12.10.2024
Antigua GFC
-
Marquense
4:2
Latest results of Marquense
Latest results of Antigua GFC
Guatemala Liga Nacional Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Deportivo Mixco | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 25:15 | 10 | 35 |
| 2 | Municipal | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 30:12 | 18 | 33 |
| 3 | Aurora F.C | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 27:19 | 8 | 32 |
| 4 | Antigua | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 29:20 | 9 | 29 |
| 5 | Deportivo Achuapa | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19:20 | -1 | 19 |
| 6 | Mictlan | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:17 | -3 | 19 |
| 7 | Xelaju | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 24:20 | 4 | 18 |
| 8 | Coban Imperial | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18:21 | -3 | 18 |
| 9 | Marquense | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 13:23 | -10 | 18 |
| 10 | Malacateco | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 19:28 | -9 | 16 |
| 11 | Comunicaciones | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11:20 | -9 | 13 |
| 12 | Guastatoya | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 12:26 | -14 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
