Result
1:1
29/03/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 28
- Referee: Mammadov I. (Aze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 3', 1 - 0, Sambou B. ⚽,
- 5', Kuc E. 🟨,
- 6', 1 - 1, Paro I. ⚽,
- 22', Wanderson 🟨,
- 40', Yuri Matias 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 53', Camalov E. 🟨,
- 59', Seck M. ↓, Safarov E. ↑,
- 59', Sambou B. ↓, Darboe D. ↑,
- 64', Wanderson ↓, Abdullayev V. ↑,
- 71', Ohori R. ↓, Alex Fernandes ↑,
- 76', Haqverdi H. 🟨,
- 79', Rodrigues N. ↓, Meza Colli C. ↑,
- 82', Abdullayev V. 🟨,
- 88', Allach A. ↓, Carlos Jatoba ↑,
- 90+3', Igor Ribeiro 🟨,
Chances of winning
Neftchi Baku
43% | Draw
30.3% | Araz Naxçıvan
26.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Neftchi Baku has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)Araz Naxçıvan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftchi Baku than the current prediction. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Araz Naxçıvan than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Neftchi Baku - Araz Naxçıvan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.11 ↓
(2.36) |
2.99 ↑
(2.75) |
3.39 ↑
(3.1) |
10.3%
(11%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Neftchi won 1.
- Neftchi is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Araz Naxçıvan is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Araz Naxçıvan could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Neftchi will have a mini benefit in this match.
- Last 8 head-to-head matches Neftchi won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 6:10 (average 0.8:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Neftchi won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:2 (average 1.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Neftchi Baku won against Araz Naxçıvan?
Neftchi Baku has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Araz Naxçıvan won against Neftchi Baku?
Araz Naxçıvan has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Neftchi Baku - Araz Naxçıvan were as follows:
26.01.2025
Araz Naxçıvan
-
Neftchi Baku
2:1
01.11.2024
Neftchi Baku
-
Araz Naxçıvan
0:1
24.08.2024
Araz Naxçıvan
-
Neftchi Baku
1:1
13.04.2024
Neftchi Baku
-
Araz Naxçıvan
3:0
13.02.2024
Araz Naxçıvan
-
Neftchi Baku
1:0
Latest results of Neftchi Baku
Latest results of Araz Naxçıvan
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Turan Tovuz | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 10:4 | 6 | 15 |
| 2 | Araz | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10:9 | 1 | 14 |
| 3 | Qarabag | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:2 | 9 | 13 |
| 4 | Zira | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 14:7 | 7 | 13 |
| 5 | Sabah Baku | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 11 |
| 6 | Sumqayit | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 11 |
| 7 | Shamakhi | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 | Neftci Baku | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 | Karvan | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4:13 | -9 | 5 |
| 11 | Gabala | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:9 | -3 | 4 |
| 12 | Kapaz | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2:20 | -18 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
