Result
2:2
19/10/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 8
- Referee: Hajiyev F. (Aze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 19', 1 - 0, Sambou B. ⚽,
- 28', Igor Ribeiro 🟨,
- 29', Santos F. 🟨,
- 33', D'Almeida S. 🟨,
- 36', 1 - 1, Simakala B. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 47', 1 - 2, Simakala B. ⚽,
- 55', 2 - 2, Mahmudov E. ⚽,
- 60', D'Almeida S. ↓, Mathew I. ↑,
- 62', Vargas F. 🟨,
- 65', Santos F. ↓, Keyta H. ↑,
- 65', Diniyev C. ↓, Cohen B. ↑,
- 69', Ahmadzada M. ↓, Rodrigues N. ↑,
- 69', Hasanalizada B. ↓, Wanderson ↑,
- 77', Rezabala J. ↓, Ortiz L. ↑,
- 78', Ortiz L. 🟨,
- 88', Faraj I. ↓, Mammadov M. ↑,
- 88', Sambou B. ↓, Salyanskiy A. ↑,
- 90+4', Alxasov ↓, Bruno Franco ↑,
Chances of winning
Neftchi Baku
50.4% | Draw
29.1% | Araz Naxçıvan
20.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Neftchi Baku has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Neftchi Baku's performance.Araz Naxçıvan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Araz Naxçıvan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftchi Baku than the current prediction. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Araz Naxçıvan than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
Neftchi Baku - Araz Naxçıvan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.86 ↓
(2.09) |
3.22 ↑
(3.1) |
4.57 ↑
(3.45) |
6.8%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Neftchi Baku - Araz Naxçıvan?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Neftchi (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Users Predictions:
Neftchi Baku will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neftchi won 1.
- In recent matches, Neftchi has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Araz is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Neftchi will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Neftchi won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Neftchi won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Neftchi Baku won against Araz Naxçıvan?
Neftchi Baku has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Araz Naxçıvan won against Neftchi Baku?
Araz Naxçıvan has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Neftchi Baku - Araz Naxçıvan were as follows:
29.03.2025
Neftchi Baku
-
Araz Naxçıvan
1:1
26.01.2025
Araz Naxçıvan
-
Neftchi Baku
2:1
01.11.2024
Neftchi Baku
-
Araz Naxçıvan
0:1
24.08.2024
Araz Naxçıvan
-
Neftchi Baku
1:1
13.04.2024
Neftchi Baku
-
Araz Naxçıvan
3:0
Latest results of Neftchi Baku
Latest results of Araz Naxçıvan
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Turan Tovuz | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 13:7 | 6 | 18 |
| 2 | Qarabag | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:3 | 10 | 17 |
| 3 | Zira | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15:10 | 5 | 16 |
| 4 | Araz | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 14:13 | 1 | 16 |
| 5 | Sabah Baku | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:5 | 7 | 15 |
| 6 | Sumqayit | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13:9 | 4 | 14 |
| 7 | Neftci Baku | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 12 |
| 8 | Imisli FK | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 12 |
| 9 | Shamakhi | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 | Gabala | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8:13 | -5 | 5 |
| 11 | Karvan | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6:19 | -13 | 5 |
| 12 | Kapaz | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6:24 | -18 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
