Neftchi Baku vs Araz Naxçıvan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Azerbaijan Premier League Neftchi Baku - Araz Naxçıvan
Result
2:2
19/10/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 8
  • Referee: Hajiyev F. (Aze)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
azerbaijanAzerbaijanCBC Sport

Match Stats

Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
85
Shots on target
32
Corner Kicks
72
Yellow Cards
41
Total shots
85
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
53
Corner Kicks
72

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 19', 1 - 0, Sambou B. ,
  • 28', Igor Ribeiro 🟨,
  • 29', Santos F. 🟨,
  • 33', D'Almeida S. 🟨,
  • 36', 1 - 1, Simakala B. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 47', 1 - 2, Simakala B. ,
  • 55', 2 - 2, Mahmudov E. ,
  • 60', D'Almeida S. , Mathew I. ,
  • 62', Vargas F. 🟨,
  • 65', Santos F. , Keyta H. ,
  • 65', Diniyev C. , Cohen B. ,
  • 69', Ahmadzada M. , Rodrigues N. ,
  • 69', Hasanalizada B. , Wanderson ,
  • 77', Rezabala J. , Ortiz L. ,
  • 78', Ortiz L. 🟨,
  • 88', Faraj I. , Mammadov M. ,
  • 88', Sambou B. , Salyanskiy A. ,
  • 90+4', Alxasov , Bruno Franco ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Neftchi Baku
50.4%
Draw
29.1%
Araz Naxçıvan
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.9% 29.6% 26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46% 31% 25.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Neftchi Baku has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Neftchi Baku's performance.
  • Araz Naxçıvan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Araz Naxçıvan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftchi Baku than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Araz Naxçıvan than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • Neftchi Baku - Araz Naxçıvan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.86
    (2.09)
    3.22
    (3.1)
    4.57
    (3.45)
    6.8%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Neftchi Baku - Araz Naxçıvan?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Neftchi (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Users Predictions: Neftchi Baku will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 4).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neftchi won 1.
    • In recent matches, Neftchi has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Araz is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Neftchi will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Neftchi won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.8:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Neftchi won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Neftchi Baku - Araz Naxçıvan were as follows:
    29.03.2025 Neftchi Baku - Araz Naxçıvan 1:1
    26.01.2025 Araz Naxçıvan - Neftchi Baku 2:1
    01.11.2024 Neftchi Baku - Araz Naxçıvan 0:1
    24.08.2024 Araz Naxçıvan - Neftchi Baku 1:1
    13.04.2024 Neftchi Baku - Araz Naxçıvan 3:0
    Latest results of Neftchi Baku
    03.10.2025 Zira - Neftchi Baku 2:2
    27.09.2025 Neftchi Baku - Karvan 0:0
    21.09.2025 Sumgayit - Neftchi Baku 0:2
    14.09.2025 Neftchi Baku - Sabah 0:0
    29.08.2025 Neftchi Baku - Turan Tovuz 0:1
    Latest results of Araz Naxçıvan
    Azerbaijan Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Turan Tovuz960313:7618
    2Qarabag852113:31017
    3Zira944115:10516
    4Araz944114:13116
    5Sabah Baku843112:5715
    6Sumqayit942313:9414
    7Neftci Baku92619:6312
    8Imisli FK933310:9112
    9Shamakhi924310:11-110
    10Gabala91268:13-55
    11Karvan91266:19-135
    12Kapaz91086:24-183

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