Result
 
                    0:1
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        23/06/2025 at  11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Premier League - Round 36
                    
                    
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 51% | 49% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 2 | 8 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 1 | 4 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 3 | 3 | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 0 | 2 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 2 | 8 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 1 | 4 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 1 | 4 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 3 | 3 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 3 | 1 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 49', 0 - 1, Shamena B. ⚽, 
- 80',  🟨, 
- 90+1',  🟨, 
  
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Hadiya Hossana 39.2%
 | Draw 32.2%
 | Arba Minch 28.6%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Hadiya Hossana - Arba Minch Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 2.3 ↑ (2.2)
 | 2.79 ↓ (3.3)
 | 3.14 ↑ (2.9)
 | 11.2% (10.2%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 and 11).
- Hadiya Hossana has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Arba Minch is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Arba Minch may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hadiya Hossana won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 2:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hadiya Hossana won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 3:2).                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Hadiya Hossana won against Arba Minch?
                    
                    
                        
                            Hadiya Hossana has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Arba Minch won against Hadiya Hossana?
                    
                    
                        
                             Arba Minch has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Hadiya Hossana - Arba Minch were as follows:
                                                        
                                04.02.2025 
                                Arba Minch 
                                - 
                                Hadiya Hossana 
                                3:3
                            
        
                                                        
                                14.04.2023 
                                Hadiya Hossana 
                                - 
                                Arba Minch 
                                2:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                19.10.2022 
                                Arba Minch 
                                - 
                                Hadiya Hossana 
                                0:0
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Hadiya Hossana                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Arba Minch                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Ethiopian Premier League Table
2025/26|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Mechal | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 7 | 
| 2 | Ethio Electric | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 7 | 
| 3 | Fasil Kenema | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 7 | 
| 4 | Sidama Bunna | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 6 | 
| 5 | Hawassa | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 | 
| 6 | St. George | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 | 
| 7 | Dire Dawa | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 6 | 
| 8 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 5 | 
| 9 | Shire Endaselassie | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 5 | 
| 10 | Ethiopia Bunna | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 | 
| 11 | Adama City | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 3 | 
| 12 | Arba Menche | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 2 | 
| 13 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 | 
| 14 | Hadiya Hossana | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 2 | 
| 15 | Ethiopian Insurance | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 | 
| 16 | Sheger Ketema | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 1 | 
| 17 | Mekelle 70 Enderta | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 1 | 
| 18 | Negele Arsi Ketema | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 | 
| 19 | Welwalo Adigrat | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 1 | 
| 20 | Welayta Dicha | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 | 
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