Naft Al-Basra vs Arbil – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Iraqi Premier League Naft Al-Basra - Arbil
Result
4:3
04/07/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Stars League - Round 38
  • Where to Watch on TV:
iraqIraqAlmanasa, Iraqia Syriac

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Khalif Mohammed Q. (Pen),
  • 16', 2 - 0, Khalif Mohammed Q. ,
  • 20', 2 - 1, Luqman G. ,
  • 44', 2 - 2, Mansor S. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 52', 2 - 3, Safaa M. ,
  • 90+2', 3 - 3, Karrar J. ,
  • 90+8', 4 - 3, Ouro-Agoro I. (Pen),

Official Live

Chances of winning


Naft Al-Basra
37%
Draw
31.8%
Arbil
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40% 31.3% 28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3% 31.5% 28.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Naft Al-Basra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • Arbil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naft Al-Basra than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arbil than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • Naft Al-Basra - Arbil Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.44
    (2.28)
    2.84
    (2.91)
    2.91
    (3.17)
    10.5%
    (9.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 and 12).
    • Naft Al-Basra is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Arbil's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Arbil has had a series of home games.
    • Naft Al-Basra is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Naft Al-Basra won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Naft Al-Basra won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Naft Al-Basra - Arbil were as follows:
    03.11.2024 Arbil - Naft Al-Basra 4:1
    19.12.2023 Naft Al-Basra - Arbil 1:1
    27.01.2023 Arbil - Naft Al-Basra 1:1
    Latest results of Naft Al-Basra
    27.06.2025 Diyala - Naft Al-Basra 2:2
    14.06.2025 Zakho - Naft Al-Basra 2:1
    18.05.2025 Newroz - Naft Al-Basra 1:1
    12.05.2025 Naft Al-Basra - Najaf 0:0
    Latest results of Arbil
    29.06.2025 Arbil - Al-Karkh 1:3
    25.06.2025 Arbil - Duhok 2:1
    19.06.2025 Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Arbil 1:2
    14.06.2025 Arbil - Newroz 0:1
    20.05.2025 Arbil - Al-Talaba 1:0
    Draw
    Relegation

    Final
    1BaghdadNaft Al-Basra1 : 0