Result
2:3 penalties
31/07/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals
- Referee: Griffith I. A. (Wal)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Bulgaria | Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra |
Finland | HJK TV |
United-kingdom | Solidsport TV |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Ball Possession |
---|
58% | 42% |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 2 |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 2 |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
7 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 2 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
21 | 30 |
Throw-ins |
---|
22 | 23 |
Fouls |
---|
24 | 14 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 25', 0 - 1, Idowu D. ⚽,
- 38', 1 - 1, Meriluoto K. ⚽, Ring A. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 55', Meriluoto K. 🟨,
- 61', Lyons-Foster B. ↓, Simojoki K. ↑,
- 61', Meriluoto K. ↓, Hostikka S. ↑,
- 69', 2 - 1, Pukki T. ⚽, Ring A. (A),
- 76', Kovachev S. ↓, Shinyashiki A. ↑,
- 76', Yusein S. ↓, Vutov A. ↑,
- 86', 2 - 2, Karagaren B. ⚽,
- 90', Karagaren B. ↓, Mane I. ↑,
- 90+1', Shinyashiki A. 🟨,
- Extra Time (0 - 0)
- 91', Lingman L. ↓, Mentu P. ↑,
- 96', Antzoulas G. 🟨,
- 97', Ring A. 🟨,
- 104', Hostikka S. 🟨,
- 105+1', Nikolov G. ↓, Kazakov I. ↑,
- 105+1', Kallinen J. ↓, Besuijen V. ↑,
- 108', Gustavo Cascardo 🟨,
- Penalties (3 - 4)
- 1, Pukki T. (Pen),
- 1, Vutov A. (Pen),
- 2, Michel B. (Pen),
- 2, Velkovski D. (Pen),
- 3, Hostikka S. (Pen),
- 3, Kotev L. (Pen),
- 4, Ring A. (Pen),
- 4, Idowu D. (Pen),
- 5, Antzoulas G. (Pen),
- 5, Shinyashiki A. (Pen),
Chances of winning
HJK 57.4% | Draw 25.1% | Arda Kardzhali 17.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HJK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in HJK's performance.Arda Kardzhali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for HJK than the current prediction. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arda Kardzhali than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
HJK - Arda Kardzhali Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.62 ↓ (1.77) |
3.69 ↑ (3.19) |
5.29 ↑ (4.1) |
7.7% (12.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for HJK - Arda Kardzhali?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. HJK (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Users Predictions:
HJK will win
(25 of 30 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.99% – 96.67%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg.
- HJK is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Arda's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Arda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Arda has had a series of home games.
- In this match, HJK is considered a favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, HJK won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has HJK won against Arda Kardzhali?
HJK has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arda Kardzhali won against HJK?
Arda Kardzhali has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between HJK - Arda Kardzhali were as follows:
24.07.2025
Arda Kardzhali
-
HJK
0:0
Latest results of Arda Kardzhali
UEFA Europa Conference League Table
League phase | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Zrinjski | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 3 |
2 | AEK Larnaca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 3 |
3 | Sparta Prague | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 3 |
4 | Lech Poznan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 3 |
5 | Lausanne | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
6 | Celje | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
7 | Crystal Palace | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
8 | Rayo Vallecano | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
9 | Fiorentina | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
10 | Rakow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
11 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
12 | Strasbourg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
13 | Mainz | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
14 | Samsunspor | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
15 | Jagiellonia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
16 | Noah | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
17 | Drita | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
18 | KuPS | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
19 | Hacken | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
20 | Shelbourne | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
21 | Aberdeen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
22 | Slovan Bratislava | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
23 | Rijeka | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
24 | Omonia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
25 | Legia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
26 | Hamrun | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
27 | AEK Athens FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
28 | Sigma Olomouc | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
29 | Dyn. Kyiv | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
30 | Shkendija | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
31 | Univ. Craiova | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
32 | SK Rapid | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
33 | Shamrock Rovers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
34 | Breidablik | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
35 | AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
36 | Lincoln Red Imps | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)