Result
2:3 penalties
31/07/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals
- Referee: Griffith I. A. (Wal)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra |
 Finland | HJK TV |
 United-kingdom | Solidsport TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 30 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 24 | 14 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 25', 0 - 1, Idowu D. ⚽,
- 38', 1 - 1, Meriluoto K. ⚽, Ring A. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 55', Meriluoto K. 🟨,
- 61', Lyons-Foster B. ↓, Simojoki K. ↑,
- 61', Meriluoto K. ↓, Hostikka S. ↑,
- 69', 2 - 1, Pukki T. ⚽, Ring A. (A),
- 76', Kovachev S. ↓, Shinyashiki A. ↑,
- 76', Yusein S. ↓, Vutov A. ↑,
- 86', 2 - 2, Karagaren B. ⚽,
- 90', Karagaren B. ↓, Mane I. ↑,
- 90+1', Shinyashiki A. 🟨,
- Extra Time (0 - 0)
- 91', Lingman L. ↓, Mentu P. ↑,
- 96', Antzoulas G. 🟨,
- 97', Ring A. 🟨,
- 104', Hostikka S. 🟨,
- 105+1', Nikolov G. ↓, Kazakov I. ↑,
- 105+1', Kallinen J. ↓, Besuijen V. ↑,
- 108', Gustavo Cascardo 🟨,
- Penalties (3 - 4)
- 1, Pukki T. (Pen),
- 1, Vutov A. (Pen),
- 2, Michel B. (Pen),
- 2, Velkovski D. (Pen),
- 3, Hostikka S. (Pen),
- 3, Kotev L. (Pen),
- 4, Ring A. (Pen),
- 4, Idowu D. (Pen),
- 5, Antzoulas G. (Pen),
- 5, Shinyashiki A. (Pen),
Chances of winning
HJK
57.4% | Draw
25.1% | Arda Kardzhali
17.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HJK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in HJK's performance.Arda Kardzhali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for HJK than the current prediction. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arda Kardzhali than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
HJK - Arda Kardzhali Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.62 ↓
(1.77) |
3.69 ↑
(3.19) |
5.29 ↑
(4.1) |
7.7%
(12.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for HJK - Arda Kardzhali?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. HJK (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Arda (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - HJK (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
HJK will win
(25 of 30 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.99% – 96.67%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. HJK (votes: 6 - 60%). Arda (votes: 1 - 10%). Tie (votes: 3 - 30%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg.
- HJK is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Arda's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Arda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Arda has had a series of home games.
- In this match, HJK is considered a favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, HJK won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has HJK won against Arda Kardzhali?
HJK has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arda Kardzhali won against HJK?
Arda Kardzhali has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between HJK - Arda Kardzhali were as follows:
24.07.2025
Arda Kardzhali
-
HJK
0:0
Latest results of Arda Kardzhali
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | KuPS (21) | Lech Poznan (11) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Noah (19) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Zrinjski (23) | Crystal Palace (10) | 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Jagiellonia (17) | Fiorentina (15) | 0 : 3 |
| 5 | Shkendija (22) | Samsunspor (12) | 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Drita (20) | Celje (13) | 2 : 3 |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Lausanne (9) | 1 : 1 |
| 8 | Omonia (18) | Rijeka (16) | 0 : 1 |
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | Bye | |
| 10 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | Bye | |
| 11 | AEK Athens (3) | Bye | |
| 12 | Sparta Prague (4) | Bye | |
| 13 | Mainz (7) | Bye | |
| 14 | AEK Larnaca (8) | Bye | |
| 15 | Strasbourg (1) | Bye | |
| 16 | Rakow (2) | Bye | |
