Result
1:4
21/03/2026 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- efbet League - Round 27
- Referee: Dimitrov D. (Bul)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 3', 0 - 1, Yusein S. ⚽, Kabov A. (A),
- 18', Hamdiji W. 🟨,
- 26', 1 - 1, Ribeiro E. ⚽, Baurenski Y. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 50', Viyachki E. 🟨,
- 53', Samake W. 🟨,
- 59', Gospodinov A. 🟨,
- 61', 1 - 2, Gustavo Cascardo ⚽, Kotev L. (A),
- 66', Kabov A. ↓, Kovachev S. ↑,
- 66', Ivanov G. ↓, Kolev K. ↑,
- 67', 1 - 3, Karagaren B. ⚽, Yusein S. (A),
- 71', Samake W. ↓, Patrick Luan ↑,
- 71', Yusein S. ↓, Vutov A. ↑,
- 73', Schouten R. ↓, Stojanovic S. ↑,
- 78', 1 - 4, Vutov A. ⚽, Karagaren B. (A),
- 83', Viyachki E. ↓, Paskalev M. ↑,
- 83', Gustavo Cascardo ↓, Velkovski D. ↑,
- 86', Fourrier B. ↓, Abou A. ↑,
- 86', Onasci K. ↓, Fontaine N. ↑,
- 86', Baurenski Y. ↓, Chelebiev D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Septemvri Sofia
21.2% | Draw
29.5% | Arda Kardzhali
49.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Septemvri Sofia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Arda Kardzhali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Septemvri Sofia than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arda Kardzhali than the current prediction. (+2%)
Septemvri Sofia - Arda Kardzhali Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.27 ↑
(4.24) |
3.14 ↓
(3.23) |
1.91 ↑
(1.84) |
7.5%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Septemvri Sofia - Arda Kardzhali?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Septemvri Sofia will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Arda will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arda: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Septemvri Sofia (votes: 1 - 50%). Arda (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Playing home matches at a different stadium - Stadion Dragalevtsi.
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: )).
- Septemvri Sofia is efbet League (Relegation Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Septemvri Sofia won 2.
- Recent form of Septemvri Sofia has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Arda has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Septemvri Sofia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Arda is a strong favorite.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Septemvri Sofia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:14. (average 0.8:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Septemvri Sofia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:6. (average 0:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Septemvri Sofia won against Arda Kardzhali?
Septemvri Sofia has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arda Kardzhali won against Septemvri Sofia?
Arda Kardzhali has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Septemvri Sofia - Arda Kardzhali were as follows:
20.10.2025
Arda Kardzhali
-
Septemvri Sofia
0:1
08.07.2025
Arda Kardzhali
-
Septemvri Sofia
1:2
07.04.2025
Septemvri Sofia
-
Arda Kardzhali
0:4
25.10.2024
Arda Kardzhali
-
Septemvri Sofia
2:1
12.02.2023
Septemvri Sofia
-
Arda Kardzhali
0:1
Latest results of Septemvri Sofia
Latest results of Arda Kardzhali
Bulgarian Parva Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Levski Sofia ✔ | 29 | 22 | 3 | 4 | 63:21 | 42 | 69 |
| 2 | Ludogorets ✔ | 29 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 57:19 | 38 | 60 |
| 3 | CSKA Sofia ✔ | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 42:22 | 20 | 55 |
| 4 | CSKA 1948 Sofia ✔ | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 45:31 | 14 | 53 |
| 5 | Lok. Plovdiv ✔ | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 30:33 | -3 | 45 |
| 6 | Cherno More ✔ | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 33:22 | 11 | 44 |
| 7 | Arda | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 32:27 | 5 | 41 |
| 8 | Slavia Sofia | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 35:31 | 4 | 38 |
| 9 | Lok. Sofia | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 38:36 | 2 | 37 |
| 10 | Botev Plovdiv | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 37:37 | 0 | 37 |
| 11 | Botev Vratsa | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 21:23 | -2 | 35 |
| 12 | Dobrudzha ✔ | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 23:39 | -16 | 26 |
| 13 | Spartak Varna ✔ | 28 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 24:50 | -26 | 23 |
| 14 | Beroe ✔ | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 19:44 | -25 | 22 |
| 15 | Septemvri Sofia ✔ | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 23:57 | -34 | 22 |
| 16 | Montana ✔ | 29 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 15:45 | -30 | 16 |
Promotion ~ efbet League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: )
efbet League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Levski Sofia is Qualified for efbet League (Championship Group )
Ludogorets is Qualified for efbet League (Championship Group )
CSKA Sofia is Qualified for efbet League (Championship Group )
CSKA 1948 Sofia is Qualified for efbet League (Championship Group )
Lok. Plovdiv is Qualified for efbet League (Conference League Group )
Cherno More is Qualified for efbet League (Conference League Group )
Dobrudzha is efbet League (Relegation Group )
Spartak Varna is efbet League (Relegation Group )
Beroe is efbet League (Relegation Group )
Septemvri Sofia is efbet League (Relegation Group )
Montana is efbet League (Relegation Group )
