Result
21/03/2026 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Septemvri Sofia
21.6% | Draw
28.7% | Arda Kardzhali
49.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Septemvri Sofia have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Arda Kardzhali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Septemvri Sofia than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arda Kardzhali than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Septemvri Sofia - Arda Kardzhali Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.24
(4.24) |
3.2 ↓
(3.23) |
1.86 ↑
(1.84) |
8.5%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Septemvri Sofia - Arda Kardzhali?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Septemvri Sofia (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Septemvri Sofia won 2.
- Recent form of Septemvri Sofia has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Arda's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Arda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Arda is the team to beat.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Septemvri Sofia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:14. (average 0.8:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Septemvri Sofia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:6. (average 0:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Septemvri Sofia won against Arda Kardzhali?
Septemvri Sofia has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arda Kardzhali won against Septemvri Sofia?
Arda Kardzhali has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Septemvri Sofia - Arda Kardzhali were as follows:
20.10.2025
Arda Kardzhali
-
Septemvri Sofia
0:1
08.07.2025
Arda Kardzhali
-
Septemvri Sofia
1:2
07.04.2025
Septemvri Sofia
-
Arda Kardzhali
0:4
25.10.2024
Arda Kardzhali
-
Septemvri Sofia
2:1
12.02.2023
Septemvri Sofia
-
Arda Kardzhali
0:1
Latest results of Septemvri Sofia
Latest results of Arda Kardzhali
Bulgarian Parva Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Levski Sofia ✔ | 26 | 20 | 2 | 4 | 58:18 | 40 | 62 |
| 2 | Ludogorets | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 49:18 | 31 | 53 |
| 3 | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 42:26 | 16 | 50 |
| 4 | CSKA Sofia | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 36:22 | 14 | 46 |
| 5 | Cherno More | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 31:17 | 14 | 43 |
| 6 | Lok. Plovdiv | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 26:31 | -5 | 38 |
| 7 | Slavia Sofia | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 32:29 | 3 | 35 |
| 8 | Arda | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 26:24 | 2 | 35 |
| 9 | Botev Vratsa | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 20:21 | -1 | 34 |
| 10 | Lok. Sofia | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 34:31 | 3 | 34 |
| 11 | Botev Plovdiv | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 30:36 | -6 | 30 |
| 12 | Dobrudzha | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 21:35 | -14 | 25 |
| 13 | Spartak Varna | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 23:40 | -17 | 23 |
| 14 | Septemvri Sofia | 26 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 22:53 | -31 | 21 |
| 15 | Beroe ✔ | 26 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 17:39 | -22 | 19 |
| 16 | Montana ✔ | 26 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 14:41 | -27 | 16 |
Promotion ~ efbet League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: )
efbet League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Levski Sofia is Qualified for efbet League (Championship Group )
Beroe is efbet League (Relegation Group )
Montana is efbet League (Relegation Group )
