Real Jaén vs Arenas Armilla – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9 Real Jaén - Arenas Armilla
Result
2:1
16/02/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 23', 0 - 1, Cabello A. ,
  • 31', 1 - 1, Alonso A. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 87', 2 - 1, Rodriguez F. ,

Chances of winning


Real Jaén
64.5%
Draw
22.9%
Arenas Armilla
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.3% 26.7% 19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2% 27.7% 19.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Jaén has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Jaén's performance.
  • Arenas Armilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arenas Armilla might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Jaén than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Jaén that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenas Armilla than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arenas Armilla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Real Jaén - Arenas Armilla Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.4
    (1.63)
    3.95
    (3.25)
    7.15
    (4.36)
    10.7%
    (15.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 9).
    • Recent matches Jaén is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Arenas Armilla is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • In this match Jaén is a favorite.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Jaén won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:1 (average 1.8:0.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Jaén won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0 (average 1.5:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Jaén - Arenas Armilla were as follows:
    06.10.2024 Arenas Armilla - Real Jaén 1:3
    04.02.2024 Real Jaén - Arenas Armilla 2:0
    24.09.2023 Arenas Armilla - Real Jaén 0:2
    05.03.2023 Real Jaén - Arenas Armilla 1:0
    06.11.2022 Arenas Armilla - Real Jaén 0:1
    Latest results of Real Jaén
    09.02.2025 CP Almería - Real Jaén 0:1
    02.02.2025 Real Jaén - Martos 2:0
    26.01.2025 Real Jaén - Mancha Real 2:1
    12.01.2025 Malaga B - Real Jaén 2:0
    Latest results of Arenas Armilla
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SocuellamosCayon2 : 0, 1 : 1
    2CastellonenseBurgos CF B0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3CortesBeasain0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Girona BSan Fernando2 : 0, 1 : 0
    5PulpilenoSarriana2 : 3, 0 : 0
    6LlerenenseLealtad1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Atletico CentralJaen1 : 2, 0 : 1
    8PorreresAtletico Monzon2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9VareaRayo Vallecano B0 : 3, 1 : 2