Aretxabaleta vs Basconia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Aretxabaleta - Basconia
Result
1:4
09/02/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 3)
  • 6', 0 - 1, ,
  • 20', 0 - 2, ,
  • 21', 1 - 2, ,
  • 45+1', 1 - 3, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 78', 1 - 4, ,

Chances of winning


Aretxabaleta
21.9%
Draw
25.9%
Basconia
52.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.4% 28.4% 39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5% 28.5% 39.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aretxabaleta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aretxabaleta's form might have worsened.
  • Basconia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Basconia's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aretxabaleta than the current prediction. (+10.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aretxabaleta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basconia than the current prediction. (-13.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Basconia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Aretxabaleta - Basconia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.14
    (2.81)
    3.5
    (3.2)
    1.73
    (2.32)
    10.4%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )).
    • Recent matches Aretxabaleta is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Basconia is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recently Basconia have a series of home games.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Aretxabaleta
    01.02.2025 Leioa - Aretxabaleta 2:1
    19.01.2025 Aretxabaleta - San Viator 2:1
    12.01.2025 Aretxabaleta - Portugalete 0:2
    22.12.2024 Eibar C - Aretxabaleta 0:0
    15.12.2024 Aretxabaleta - Touring KE 3:2
    Latest results of Basconia
    01.02.2025 Basconia - San Viator 7:0
    19.01.2025 Basconia - Eibar C 4:3
    11.01.2025 Basconia - Touring KE 2:2
    21.12.2024 Deusto - Basconia 1:0
    15.12.2024 Basconia - Durango 2:1
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SocuellamosCayon2 : 0, 1 : 1
    2CastellonenseBurgos CF B0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3CortesBeasain0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Girona BSan Fernando2 : 0, 1 : 0
    5PulpilenoSarriana2 : 3, 0 : 0
    6LlerenenseLealtad1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Atletico CentralJaen1 : 2, 0 : 1
    8PorreresAtletico Monzon2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9VareaRayo Vallecano B0 : 3, 1 : 2