Result
1:4
09/02/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 21
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 3)
- 6', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 20', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 21', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 45+1', 1 - 3, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 78', 1 - 4, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Aretxabaleta
21.9% | Draw
25.9% | Basconia
52.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aretxabaleta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aretxabaleta's form might have worsened.Basconia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Basconia's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aretxabaleta than the current prediction. (+10.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aretxabaleta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basconia than the current prediction. (-13.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Basconia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Aretxabaleta - Basconia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.14 ↑
(2.81) |
3.5 ↑
(3.2) |
1.73 ↓
(2.32) |
10.4%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )).
- Recent matches Aretxabaleta is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Basconia is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recently Basconia have a series of home games.
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- Recently, the teams did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Aretxabaleta won against Basconia?
Aretxabaleta has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Basconia won against Aretxabaleta?
Basconia has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aretxabaleta - Basconia were as follows:
Latest results of Aretxabaleta
Latest results of Basconia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portugalete | 27 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 58:17 | 41 | 67 |
| 2 | Leioa | 27 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 40:25 | 15 | 52 |
| 3 | Touring KE | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 36:26 | 10 | 47 |
| 4 | Lagun Onak | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 41:26 | 15 | 46 |
| 5 | Derio | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 45:31 | 14 | 46 |
| 6 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 35:31 | 4 | 46 |
| 7 | Alaves C | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 44:31 | 13 | 42 |
| 8 | San Ignacio | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 27:20 | 7 | 42 |
| 9 | UD Aretxabaleta | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 44:44 | 0 | 38 |
| 10 | Durango | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 29:28 | 1 | 36 |
| 11 | Real Sociedad C | 27 | 11 | 3 | 13 | 29:35 | -6 | 36 |
| 12 | Santurtzi | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 27:35 | -8 | 31 |
| 13 | Pasaia | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 20:32 | -12 | 28 |
| 14 | Eibar C | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 30:43 | -13 | 27 |
| 15 | Anorga | 27 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 26:49 | -23 | 27 |
| 16 | Zamudio | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 28:43 | -15 | 26 |
| 17 | Zarautz KE | 27 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 22:50 | -28 | 22 |
| 18 | SD Deusto | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 18:33 | -15 | 21 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
