Result
1:4
09/02/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 21
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 3)
- 6', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 20', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 21', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 45+1', 1 - 3, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 78', 1 - 4, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Aretxabaleta
21.9% | Draw
25.9% | Basconia
52.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aretxabaleta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aretxabaleta's form might have worsened.Basconia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Basconia's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aretxabaleta than the current prediction. (+10.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aretxabaleta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basconia than the current prediction. (-13.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Basconia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Aretxabaleta - Basconia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.14 ↑
(2.81) |
3.5 ↑
(3.2) |
1.73 ↓
(2.32) |
10.4%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )).
- Recent matches Aretxabaleta is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Basconia is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recently Basconia have a series of home games.
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- Recently, the teams did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Aretxabaleta won against Basconia?
Aretxabaleta has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Basconia won against Aretxabaleta?
Basconia has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aretxabaleta - Basconia were as follows:
Latest results of Aretxabaleta
Latest results of Basconia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portugalete | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17:7 | 10 | 19 |
| 2 | UD Aretxabaleta | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 18:9 | 9 | 17 |
| 3 | Pasaia | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 5:3 | 2 | 14 |
| 4 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 14 |
| 5 | Leioa | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:7 | 5 | 13 |
| 6 | Derio | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 13 |
| 7 | Lagun Onak | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16:11 | 5 | 12 |
| 8 | Touring KE | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 12 |
| 9 | San Ignacio | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:7 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 | Eibar C | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 10 |
| 11 | Durango | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 9 |
| 12 | Real Sociedad C | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8:9 | -1 | 9 |
| 13 | Santurtzi | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 9 |
| 14 | Zamudio | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 8 |
| 15 | SD Deusto | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 8 |
| 16 | Alaves C | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 8 |
| 17 | Zarautz KE | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4:16 | -12 | 8 |
| 18 | Anorga | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:16 | -11 | 5 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
