Derio vs Aretxabaleta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Derio - Aretxabaleta
Result
2:0
15/03/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 47', 1 - 0, Vegas M. ,
  • 79', 2 - 0, Torrico A. ,

Chances of winning


Derio
50.1%
Draw
27.2%
Aretxabaleta
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45% 28% 27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3% 27.2% 26.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Derio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Derio's performance.
  • Aretxabaleta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derio than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aretxabaleta than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • Derio - Aretxabaleta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.83
    (2.02)
    3.37
    (3.25)
    4.03
    (3.37)
    9.2%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 9).
    • Recent matches Derio is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Aretxabaleta is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Derio could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Derio will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Derio won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Derio - Aretxabaleta were as follows:
    01.11.2024 Aretxabaleta - Derio 0:1
    Latest results of Derio
    09.03.2025 San Viator - Derio 0:0
    01.03.2025 Derio - Portugalete 1:1
    23.02.2025 Eibar C - Derio 0:0
    15.02.2025 Derio - Touring KE 0:2
    08.02.2025 Deusto - Derio 1:2
    Latest results of Aretxabaleta
    09.03.2025 Aretxabaleta - Santurtzi 1:1
    23.02.2025 Aretxabaleta - Pasaia 2:1
    16.02.2025 San Ignacio - Aretxabaleta 4:1
    09.02.2025 Aretxabaleta - Basconia 1:4
    01.02.2025 Leioa - Aretxabaleta 2:1
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SocuellamosCayon2 : 0, 1 : 1
    2CastellonenseBurgos CF B0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3CortesBeasain0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Girona BSan Fernando2 : 0, 1 : 0
    5PulpilenoSarriana2 : 3, 0 : 0
    6LlerenenseLealtad1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Atletico CentralJaen1 : 2, 0 : 1
    8PorreresAtletico Monzon2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9VareaRayo Vallecano B0 : 3, 1 : 2