Portugalete vs Aretxabaleta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
16/11/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 20', 0 - 1, ,
  • 21', 1 - 1, Cuello Y. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 66', 2 - 1, ,
  • 81', 2 - 2, ,
  • 89', 3 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Portugalete
58.4%
Draw
24.1%
Aretxabaleta
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.7% 22.7% 14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64% 22.2% 14.3%

Portugalete - Aretxabaleta Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.6
(1.45)
3.87
(4)
5.33
(6.22)
7.2%
(10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
  • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 6).
  • Portugalete is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
  • Aretxabaleta has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
  • Aretxabaleta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • In this match, Portugalete is a strong favorite.
  • We predict that Portugalete will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.
  • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Portugalete won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
  • Including home match between the teams, Portugalete won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Portugalete - Aretxabaleta were as follows:
10.05.2025 Portugalete - Aretxabaleta 2:1
12.01.2025 Aretxabaleta - Portugalete 0:2
Latest results of Portugalete
08.11.2025 Zamudio - Portugalete 0:3
02.11.2025 Portugalete - Santurtzi 4:1
29.10.2025 Portugalete - Valladolid 1:0
18.10.2025 Portugalete - Pasaia 0:1
Latest results of Aretxabaleta
09.11.2025 Aretxabaleta - San Ignacio 0:0
31.10.2025 Derio - Aretxabaleta 1:0
26.10.2025 Aretxabaleta - Touring KE 1:1
05.10.2025 Leioa - Aretxabaleta 2:4
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26
PlWDLDiffPts
1Portugalete13102131:112032
2Touring KE1365216:7923
3Aurrera de Vitoria1364314:13122
4Lagun Onak1370625:151021
5San Ignacio1363412:8421
6Derio1262418:12620
7Leioa1262417:11620
8Durango1347210:9119
9UD Aretxabaleta1353520:17318
10Alaves C1353517:14318
11Real Sociedad C1260615:15018
12Pasaia135359:12-318
13SD Deusto1343611:14-315
14Santurtzi1234511:17-613
15Zamudio1333714:20-612
16Zarautz KE1333710:24-1412
17Eibar C1332814:23-911
18Anorga131397:29-226

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