Result
3:2
16/11/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 11
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 20', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 21', 1 - 1, Cuello Y. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 66', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 81', 2 - 2, ⚽,
- 89', 3 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Portugalete 58.4% | Draw 24.1% | Aretxabaleta 17.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Portugalete - Aretxabaleta Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.6 ↑ (1.45) |
3.87 ↓ (4) |
5.33 ↓ (6.22) |
7.2% (10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 6).
- Portugalete is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Aretxabaleta has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Aretxabaleta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Portugalete is a strong favorite.
- We predict that Portugalete will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Portugalete won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Portugalete won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Portugalete won against Aretxabaleta?
Portugalete has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aretxabaleta won against Portugalete?
Aretxabaleta has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Portugalete - Aretxabaleta were as follows:
10.05.2025
Portugalete
-
Aretxabaleta
2:1
12.01.2025
Aretxabaleta
-
Portugalete
0:2
Latest results of Portugalete
Latest results of Aretxabaleta
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portugalete | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 36:12 | 24 | 35 |
| 2 | Touring KE | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18:8 | 10 | 27 |
| 3 | San Ignacio | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 15:9 | 6 | 25 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad C | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 20:16 | 4 | 25 |
| 5 | Durango | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 25 |
| 6 | Lagun Onak | 15 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 26:16 | 10 | 24 |
| 7 | Derio | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 22:16 | 6 | 24 |
| 8 | Leioa | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 18:12 | 6 | 24 |
| 9 | Alaves C | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21:16 | 5 | 24 |
| 10 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 16:18 | -2 | 22 |
| 11 | UD Aretxabaleta | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 21:19 | 2 | 21 |
| 12 | Santurtzi | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 15:20 | -5 | 19 |
| 13 | Pasaia | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 9:15 | -6 | 18 |
| 14 | SD Deusto | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 12:16 | -4 | 16 |
| 15 | Zamudio | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 15:23 | -8 | 13 |
| 16 | Eibar C | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 14:28 | -14 | 12 |
| 17 | Zarautz KE | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 12:28 | -16 | 12 |
| 18 | Anorga | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9:31 | -22 | 9 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )
Relegation