Result
16/11/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 11
Chances of winning
Portugalete 62.1% | Draw 22.4% | Aretxabaleta 15.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Portugalete - Aretxabaleta Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.46 ↑ (1.45) |
4.04 ↑ (4) |
5.85 ↓ (6.22) |
10.5% (10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 6).
- Portugalete is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Aretxabaleta has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Aretxabaleta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Portugalete is a strong favorite.
- We predict that Portugalete will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Portugalete won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Portugalete won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Portugalete won against Aretxabaleta?
Portugalete has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aretxabaleta won against Portugalete?
Aretxabaleta has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Portugalete - Aretxabaleta were as follows:
10.05.2025
Portugalete
-
Aretxabaleta
2:1
12.01.2025
Aretxabaleta
-
Portugalete
0:2
Latest results of Portugalete
Latest results of Aretxabaleta
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portugalete | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 24:8 | 16 | 25 |
| 2 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14:13 | 1 | 20 |
| 3 | Derio | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17:11 | 6 | 19 |
| 4 | Touring KE | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 13:7 | 6 | 19 |
| 5 | Lagun Onak | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 22:12 | 10 | 18 |
| 6 | UD Aretxabaleta | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 18 |
| 7 | Leioa | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16:8 | 8 | 17 |
| 8 | San Ignacio | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 9:7 | 2 | 15 |
| 9 | Pasaia | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 15 |
| 10 | Alaves C | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:13 | 1 | 14 |
| 11 | Real Sociedad C | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 12:14 | -2 | 13 |
| 12 | Durango | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 12 |
| 13 | Zarautz KE | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9:19 | -10 | 12 |
| 14 | Santurtzi | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 10 |
| 15 | Eibar C | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 13:21 | -8 | 10 |
| 16 | SD Deusto | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 9 |
| 17 | Zamudio | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:18 | -6 | 8 |
| 18 | Anorga | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7:24 | -17 | 6 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )
Relegation