Result
1:1
26/10/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 8
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 45', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 68', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Aretxabaleta
50.4% | Draw
25.8% | Touring KE
23.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aretxabaleta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Touring KE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aretxabaleta than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Touring KE than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Aretxabaleta - Touring KE Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.79 ↓
(1.82) |
3.5
(3.5) |
3.8 ↑
(3.55) |
10.8%
(11.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: ) and 8).
- Aretxabaleta is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Touring has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Touring may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Aretxabaleta might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Aretxabaleta won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Aretxabaleta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Aretxabaleta won against Touring KE?
Aretxabaleta has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Touring KE won against Aretxabaleta?
Touring KE has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aretxabaleta - Touring KE were as follows:
27.04.2025
Touring KE
-
Aretxabaleta
0:0
15.12.2024
Aretxabaleta
-
Touring KE
3:2
Latest results of Aretxabaleta
Latest results of Touring KE
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portugalete | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17:7 | 10 | 19 |
| 2 | UD Aretxabaleta | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 18:9 | 9 | 17 |
| 3 | Pasaia | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 5:3 | 2 | 14 |
| 4 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 14 |
| 5 | Leioa | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:7 | 5 | 13 |
| 6 | Derio | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 13 |
| 7 | Lagun Onak | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16:11 | 5 | 12 |
| 8 | Touring KE | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 12 |
| 9 | San Ignacio | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:7 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 | Eibar C | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 10 |
| 11 | Durango | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 9 |
| 12 | Real Sociedad C | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8:9 | -1 | 9 |
| 13 | Santurtzi | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 9 |
| 14 | Zamudio | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 8 |
| 15 | SD Deusto | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 8 |
| 16 | Alaves C | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 8 |
| 17 | Zarautz KE | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4:16 | -12 | 8 |
| 18 | Anorga | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:16 | -11 | 5 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
