Korona Kielce vs Arka Gdynia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

22/03/2026 at 07:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Exbud Arena (Kielce).

Ekstraklasa - Round 26
Referee: Przybyl J. (Pol)
Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Canada	beIN Connect
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	CANAL+ 360, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
3.09	0.92
Ball possession
54%	46%
Total shots
25	10
Shots on target
4	5
Big chances
4	1
Corner kicks
7	3
Passes
77% (318/412)	77% (274/354)
Yellow cards
1	1
Expected goals (xG)
3.09	0.92
xG on target (xGOT)
2.68	1.05
Total shots
25	10
Shots on target
4	5
Shots off target
9	4
Blocked shots
12	1
Shots inside the box
19	7
Shots outside the box
6	3
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Headed goals
1	0
Big chances
4	1
Corner kicks
7	3
Touches in opposition box
39	20
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	1
Free kicks
16	14
Passes
77% (318/412)	77% (274/354)
Long passes
31% (16/52)	29% (14/49)
Passes in final third
68% (65/96)	64% (48/75)
Crosses
45% (9/20)	31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.32	0.79
Throw ins
15	17
Fouls
14	16
Tackles
53% (9/17)	38% (6/16)
Duels won
60	55
Clearances
15	22
Interceptions
6	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
5	1
xGOT faced
1.05	2.68
Goals prevented
1.05	-0.32

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (3 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Pieczek M. ⚽, Blanik D. (A),
24', 2 - 0, Davidovic S. ⚽, Blanik D. (A),
44', 3 - 0, Stepinski M. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sidibe A. ↓, Nguiamba A. ↑,
46', Kubiak O. ↓, Gaprindashvili T. ↑,
46', Gutkovskis V. ↓, Rusyn N. ↑,
59', Szota S. ↓, Zator D. ↑,
70', Blanik D. ↓, Cebula M. ↑,
74', Rubezic S. 🟨,
74', Gaprindashvili T. 🟨,
76', Stepinski M. ↓, Antonin ↑,
76', Remacle M. ↓, Gustafson S. ↑,
80', Kerk S. ↓, Rzuchowski M. ↑,
84', Davidovic S. ↓, Zwozny H. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Korona Kielce
49.5%

Draw
28.5%

Arka Gdynia
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

26.2%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

24.5%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Korona Kielce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Korona Kielce's form might have worsened.

Arka Gdynia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Korona Kielce than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Korona Kielce - Arka Gdynia Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.59)	3.32 ↓ (3.41)	4.22 ↓ (5.1)	6.5% (11.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Korona Kielce - Arka Gdynia?

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Korona will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Arka will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Korona: 19% – 81%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Arka (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -0.5 - Arka (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Arka (votes: 2 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 13 and 15)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Korona won 0.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Arka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Korona is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Korona: Matuszewski K. (Inactive)
There will not play in Arka: Perea L. (Inactive)
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Korona won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 14:24. (average 0.8:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Korona won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1.1:1.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Korona Kielce won against Arka Gdynia?

Korona Kielce has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Arka Gdynia won against Korona Kielce?

Arka Gdynia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Korona Kielce - Arka Gdynia were as follows:

20.09.2025 Arka Gdynia - Korona Kielce 0:0

Latest results of Korona Kielce

16.03.2026 Pogoń Szczecin - Korona Kielce 2:1 ✺

07.03.2026 Korona Kielce - Termalica Nieciecza 2:1 ✺

28.02.2026 Motor Lublin - Korona Kielce 2:0 ✺

22.02.2026 Korona Kielce - Lech Poznań 1:2 ✺

13.02.2026 Radomiak Radom - Korona Kielce 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Arka Gdynia

15.03.2026 Arka Gdynia - Widzew Łódź 0:0 ✺

09.03.2026 Wisła Płock - Arka Gdynia 0:3 ✺

05.03.2026 Radomiak Radom - Arka Gdynia 3:1 ✺

27.02.2026 Arka Gdynia - Lechia Gdańsk 2:2 ✺

22.02.2026 Arka Gdynia - GKS Katowice 2:1 ✺

Polish Ekstraklasa Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lech Poznan	26	12	8	6	46:37	9	44
2	Zaglebie	26	11	8	7	40:30	10	41
3	Jagiellonia	26	11	8	7	43:34	9	41
4	Gornik Zabrze	26	11	6	9	36:32	4	39
5	Wisla Plock	26	10	9	7	28:25	3	39
6	Rakow	26	11	5	10	35:33	2	38
7	Motor Lublin	26	9	10	7	35:38	-3	37
8	Korona Kielce	26	10	6	10	33:29	4	36
9	Cracovia	26	9	9	8	31:28	3	36
10	GKS Katowice	26	11	3	12	35:35	0	36
11	Piast Gliwice	26	10	5	11	32:33	-1	35
12	Lechia Gdansk	26	11	6	9	51:48	3	34
13	Pogon Szczecin	26	10	4	12	36:40	-4	34
14	Radomiak Radom	26	8	9	9	42:40	2	33
15	Legia	26	6	12	8	30:31	-1	30
16	Arka Gdynia	26	8	6	12	25:44	-19	30
17	Widzew Lodz	26	8	5	13	31:34	-3	29
18	Termalica B-B	26	5	7	14	30:48	-18	22

      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Division 1