Arka Gdynia vs Korona Kielce – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
20/09/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 9
  • Referee: Piszczelok M. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
ukraineUkraineSport 1, Sport 3
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
worldWorldSport 1 Baltic

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.440.45
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
119
Shots on target
30
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
80% (268/335)80% (277/345)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
0.440.45
xG on target (xGOT)
0.110.00
Total shots
119
Shots on target
30
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
35
Shots inside the Box
35
Shots outside the Box
84
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
817
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1512
Passes
80% (268/335)80% (277/345)
Long passes
28% (11/39)41% (19/46)
Passes in final third
56% (40/71)62% (54/87)
Crosses
33% (4/12)12% (2/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.400.21
Throw-ins
1820
Fouls
1215
Tackles
46% (6/13)57% (8/14)
Duels won
5147
Clearances
3120
Interceptions
138
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
03
xGOT faced
0.000.11
Goals prevented
0.000.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 6', Jakubczyk K. 🟨,
  • 25', Nguiamba A. 🟨,
  • 43', Nono 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Nono , Davidovic S. ,
  • 63', Kerk S. , Szysz P. ,
  • 63', Oliveira J. , Rusyn N. ,
  • 77', Antonin , Nikolov V. ,
  • 77', Remacle M. , Strzebonski M. ,
  • 77', Kocyla D. , Predenkiewicz M. ,
  • 77', Nguiamba A. , Sidibe A. ,
  • 80', Smolarczyk B. 🟨,
  • 83', Hermoso K. 🟨,
  • 84', Zator D. , Abramowicz D. ,
  • 90+3', Blanik D. , Niski N. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Arka Gdynia
33.1%
Draw
29.5%
Korona Kielce
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.7% 26.3% 32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8% 27% 31.3%

Arka Gdynia - Korona Kielce Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.85
(2.24)
3.19
(3.55)
2.6
(2.91)
5%
(7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Arka Gdynia - Korona Kielce?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Arka will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Korona will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Korona: 15.4%84.6%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Korona (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Korona (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0, 1st Half - Korona (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Korona Kielce will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Korona (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arka won 3.
    • Recent performances by Arka have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Korona is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Arka: Celestine J. (Yellow Cards) Gojny D. (Inactive)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Arka won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:14. (average 1.4:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Arka won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 1.3:0.5).
    Latest results of Arka Gdynia
    Latest results of Korona Kielce
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
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    18Termalica B-B20551025:37-1220

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1