Result
0:0
20/09/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 9
- Referee: Piszczelok M. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Ukraine | Sport 1, Sport 3 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 World | Sport 1 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 0.45 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (268/335) | 80% (277/345) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 0.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.11 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (268/335) | 80% (277/345) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (11/39) | 41% (19/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (40/71) | 62% (54/87) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (4/12) | 12% (2/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.21 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 46% (6/13) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 6', Jakubczyk K. 🟨,
- 25', Nguiamba A. 🟨,
- 43', Nono 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Nono ↓, Davidovic S. ↑,
- 63', Kerk S. ↓, Szysz P. ↑,
- 63', Oliveira J. ↓, Rusyn N. ↑,
- 77', Antonin ↓, Nikolov V. ↑,
- 77', Remacle M. ↓, Strzebonski M. ↑,
- 77', Kocyla D. ↓, Predenkiewicz M. ↑,
- 77', Nguiamba A. ↓, Sidibe A. ↑,
- 80', Smolarczyk B. 🟨,
- 83', Hermoso K. 🟨,
- 84', Zator D. ↓, Abramowicz D. ↑,
- 90+3', Blanik D. ↓, Niski N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Arka Gdynia
33.1% | Draw
29.5% | Korona Kielce
37.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arka Gdynia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arka Gdynia's form might have worsened.Korona Kielce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Korona Kielce's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (+9.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arka Gdynia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Korona Kielce than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Korona Kielce, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Arka Gdynia - Korona Kielce Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.85 ↑
(2.24) |
3.19 ↓
(3.55) |
2.6 ↓
(2.91) |
5%
(7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Arka Gdynia - Korona Kielce?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Arka will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Korona will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Korona: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Korona (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arka won 3.
- Recent performances by Arka have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Korona is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Arka: Celestine J.
(Yellow Cards)
Gojny D.
(Inactive)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Arka won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:14. (average 1.4:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Arka won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 1.3:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Arka Gdynia won against Korona Kielce?
Arka Gdynia has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Korona Kielce won against Arka Gdynia?
Korona Kielce has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arka Gdynia - Korona Kielce were as follows:
Latest results of Arka Gdynia
Latest results of Korona Kielce
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cracovia | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:9 | 7 | 17 |
| 2 | Wisla Plock | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10:5 | 5 | 16 |
| 3 | Jagiellonia | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14:10 | 4 | 16 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11:5 | 6 | 15 |
| 5 | Korona Kielce | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 15 |
| 6 | Lech Poznan | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13:12 | 1 | 13 |
| 7 | Legia | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:6 | 5 | 11 |
| 8 | Radomiak Radom | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 11 |
| 9 | Widzew Lodz | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:9 | 2 | 10 |
| 10 | Pogon Szczecin | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 10 |
| 11 | Zaglebie | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 14:11 | 3 | 9 |
| 12 | Termalica B-B | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | Motor Lublin | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7:10 | -3 | 9 |
| 14 | Arka Gdynia | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 | Rakow | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 7 |
| 16 | GKS Katowice | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10:20 | -10 | 7 |
| 17 | Piast Gliwice | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 4 |
| 18 | Lechia Gdansk | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14:19 | -5 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
