Korona Kielce vs Arka Gdynia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Ekstraklasa
Result
3:0
22/03/2026 at 07:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 26
  • Referee: Przybyl J. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
polandPolandCANAL+ 360, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
3.090.92
Ball possession
54%46%
Total shots
2510
Shots on target
45
Big chances
41
Corner kicks
73
Passes
77% (318/412)77% (274/354)
Yellow cards
11
Expected goals (xG)
3.090.92
xG on target (xGOT)
2.681.05
Total shots
2510
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
94
Blocked shots
121
Shots inside the box
197
Shots outside the box
63
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
41
Corner kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
3920
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free kicks
1614
Passes
77% (318/412)77% (274/354)
Long passes
31% (16/52)29% (14/49)
Passes in final third
68% (65/96)64% (48/75)
Crosses
45% (9/20)31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.320.79
Throw ins
1517
Fouls
1416
Tackles
53% (9/17)38% (6/16)
Duels won
6055
Clearances
1522
Interceptions
68
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
51
xGOT faced
1.052.68
Goals prevented
1.05-0.32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 22', 1 - 0, Pieczek M. ⚽, Blanik D. (A),
  • 24', 2 - 0, Davidovic S. ⚽, Blanik D. (A),
  • 44', 3 - 0, Stepinski M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Sidibe A. ↓, Nguiamba A. ↑,
  • 46', Kubiak O. ↓, Gaprindashvili T. ↑,
  • 46', Gutkovskis V. ↓, Rusyn N. ↑,
  • 59', Szota S. ↓, Zator D. ↑,
  • 70', Blanik D. ↓, Cebula M. ↑,
  • 74', Rubezic S. 🟨,
  • 74', Gaprindashvili T. 🟨,
  • 76', Stepinski M. ↓, Antonin ↑,
  • 76', Remacle M. ↓, Gustafson S. ↑,
  • 80', Kerk S. ↓, Rzuchowski M. ↑,
  • 84', Davidovic S. ↓, Zwozny H. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Korona Kielce
49.5%		Draw
28.5%		Arka Gdynia
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.2% 26.2% 17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6% 24.5% 18.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Korona Kielce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Korona Kielce's form might have worsened.
  • Arka Gdynia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Korona Kielce than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
    •

    Korona Kielce - Arka Gdynia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.9 ↑
    (1.59)    		 3.32 ↓
    (3.41)    		 4.22 ↓
    (5.1)    		 6.5%
    (11.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Korona Kielce - Arka Gdynia?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Korona will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Arka will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Korona: 19% – 81%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Arka (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -0.5 - Arka (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Arka (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 13 and 15)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Korona won 0.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Arka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Korona is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Korona: Matuszewski K. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Arka: Perea L. (Inactive)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Korona won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 14:24. (average 0.8:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Korona won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1.1:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Korona Kielce - Arka Gdynia were as follows:
    20.09.2025 Arka Gdynia - Korona Kielce 0:0
    Latest results of Korona Kielce
    16.03.2026 Pogoń Szczecin - Korona Kielce 2:1 ✺
    07.03.2026 Korona Kielce - Termalica Nieciecza 2:1 ✺
    28.02.2026 Motor Lublin - Korona Kielce 2:0 ✺
    22.02.2026 Korona Kielce - Lech Poznań 1:2 ✺
    13.02.2026 Radomiak Radom - Korona Kielce 0:2 ✺
    Latest results of Arka Gdynia
    15.03.2026 Arka Gdynia - Widzew Łódź 0:0 ✺
    09.03.2026 Wisła Płock - Arka Gdynia 0:3 ✺
    05.03.2026 Radomiak Radom - Arka Gdynia 3:1 ✺
    27.02.2026 Arka Gdynia - Lechia Gdańsk 2:2 ✺
    22.02.2026 Arka Gdynia - GKS Katowice 2:1 ✺
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lech Poznan281210649:40946
    2Zaglebie28128842:33944
    3Jagiellonia281110744:35943
    4Gornik Zabrze28127940:33743
    5Wisla Plock28119829:26342
    6Rakow281171037:35240
    7GKS Katowice281241239:38140
    8Motor Lublin28912737:40-339
    9Lechia Gdansk281261055:51437
    10Korona Kielce281071136:34237
    11Cracovia28910933:33037
    12Pogon Szczecin281141338:42-437
    13Piast Gliwice281051334:38-435
    14Legia28713833:32134
    15Radomiak Radom288101043:42134
    16Arka Gdynia28971230:47-1734
    17Widzew Lodz28961333:35-233
    18Termalica B-B28671533:51-1825

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1

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