Radomiak Radom vs Arka Gdynia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
05/03/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 19
  • Referee: Przybyl J. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 3
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
polandPolandCANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport, Ekstraklasa TV
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.361.13
Ball possession
49%51%
Total shots
1214
Shots on target
58
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
37
Passes
76% (256/338)75% (266/355)
Yellow cards
33
Expected goals (xG)
1.361.13
xG on target (xGOT)
1.192.53
Total shots
1214
Shots on target
58
Shots off target
73
Blocked shots
03
Shots inside the box
612
Shots outside the box
62
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
01
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
37
Touches in opposition box
2327
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
13
Free kicks
1823
Passes
76% (256/338)75% (266/355)
Long passes
32% (14/44)36% (18/50)
Passes in final third
64% (75/118)62% (64/104)
Crosses
42% (5/12)28% (5/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.010.56
Throw ins
1014
Fouls
2318
Tackles
67% (6/9)67% (4/6)
Duels won
4564
Clearances
3016
Interceptions
88
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
72
xGOT faced
2.531.19
Goals prevented
1.53-1.81

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Wolski R. ,
  • 8', 2 - 0, Capita , Donis C. (A),
  • 11', Perea L. , Jakubczyk K. ,
  • 22', Donis C. , Camara I. ,
  • 32', Gojny D. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Rusyn N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Navarro M. , Kocyla D. ,
  • 49', Wolski R. 🟨,
  • 55', Kingue S. 🟨,
  • 56', 2 - 1, Gojny D. ,
  • 63', Rusyn N. , Szysz P. ,
  • 75', Lopes V. , Joao Pedro ,
  • 75', Capita , Tapsoba A. ,
  • 75', Wolski R. , Baro R. ,
  • 77', 3 - 1, Baro R. ,
  • 80', Kerk S. , Sidibe A. ,
  • 80', Gutkovskis V. , Espiau Hernandez E. D. ,
  • 84', Zie Ouattara 🟨,
  • 90+1', Nguiamba A. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Grzesik J. , Leandro ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Radomiak Radom
53.6%
Draw
25%
Arka Gdynia
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57% 24.1% 19%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Radomiak Radom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • Arka Gdynia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • Radomiak Radom - Arka Gdynia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (1.67)
    3.76
    (3.95)
    4.4
    (5.02)
    6.5%
    (5.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Radomiak Radom - Arka Gdynia?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +0.5 - Radomiak (1.23) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +0.25 - Radomiak (1.30) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH 0 - Radomiak (1.33) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • AH +1.5 - Radomiak (1.03) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +0.75 - Radomiak (1.16) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.5 - Radomiak (1.78) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Radomiak (2.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Radomiak (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Radomiak (2.36) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Arka (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Radomiak (1.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Radomiak Radom will win (78 of 85 users predict this - 91.76%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 85.91%97.61%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Radomiak Radom will win (34 of 35 users predict this - 97.14%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 55 high ROI users predict this event. Radomiak (votes: 51 - 92.7%). Arka (votes: 4 - 7.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 12).
    • In this match, Radomiak is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Radomiak: Camara I. (Suspended)
    • There will not play in Arka: Zator D. (Red Card)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Radomiak won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Radomiak won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Radomiak Radom - Arka Gdynia were as follows:
    25.07.2025 Arka Gdynia - Radomiak Radom 1:1
    Latest results of Radomiak Radom
    Latest results of Arka Gdynia
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lech Poznan27129646:37945
    2Jagiellonia27119743:34942
    3Gornik Zabrze27126939:32742
    4Zaglebie27118841:33841
    5Wisla Plock27109828:26239
    6Rakow271161036:34239
    7GKS Katowice271231236:35139
    8Motor Lublin27911736:39-338
    9Lechia Gdansk27126955:50537
    10Korona Kielce271061135:33236
    11Cracovia2799931:31036
    12Piast Gliwice271051234:36-235
    13Radomiak Radom27810943:41234
    14Pogon Szczecin271041336:42-634
    15Legia27712832:31133
    16Arka Gdynia27961228:45-1733
    17Widzew Lodz27861332:35-330
    18Termalica B-B27671433:50-1725

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
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          Relegation ~ Division 1