Arka Gdynia vs Raków Częstochowa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:4
30/11/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 17
  • Referee: Arys K. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.721.66
Ball Possession
37%63%
Total shots
617
Shots on target
26
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
75% (224/298)88% (445/506)
Yellow Cards
13
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.721.66
xG on target (xGOT)
0.451.90
Total shots
617
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
06
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
19
Shots outside the Box
58
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
821
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1412
Passes
75% (224/298)88% (445/506)
Long passes
28% (13/46)46% (21/46)
Passes in final third
58% (53/92)85% (77/91)
Crosses
0% (0/14)27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.660.57
Throw-ins
1118
Fouls
1214
Tackles
46% (6/13)70% (7/10)
Duels won
4740
Clearances
1424
Interceptions
56
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
20
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
1.900.45
Goals prevented
-2.10-0.55

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Diaby-Fadiga L. ,
  • 26', Barath P. 🟨,
  • 33', Konstantopoulos A. 🟨,
  • 40', Zator D. 🟥,
  • 43', Navarro M. 🟨,
  • 45', 0 - 2, Ameyaw M. ,
  • 45+3', 0 - 3, Brunes J. , Ameyaw M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Adriano , Pienko T. ,
  • 46', Rusyn N. , Hermoso K. ,
  • 46', Gaprindashvili T. , Predenkiewicz M. ,
  • 57', 0 - 4, Brunes J. , Makuch P. (A),
  • 58', Diaby-Fadiga L. , Lopez I. ,
  • 58', Makuch P. , Mircetic B. ,
  • 64', Espiau Hernandez E. D. , Szysz P. ,
  • 64', Kerk S. , Percan ,
  • 70', Ameyaw M. , Rondic I. ,
  • 71', 1 - 4, Navarro M. ,
  • 82', Repka O. 🟨,
  • 83', Sidibe A. , Perea L. ,
  • 83', Repka O. , Bulat M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Arka Gdynia
20.9%
Draw
28.2%
Raków Częstochowa
50.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.8% 28.9% 39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6% 28.7% 39.6%

Arka Gdynia - Raków Częstochowa Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
4.51
(2.81)
3.33
(3.09)
1.85
(2.27)
6.2%
(12%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Arka Gdynia - Raków Częstochowa?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Arka will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Raków will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Raków: 46.1%91.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 8).
    • Arka has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Raków is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Arka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Raków is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Arka: Nguiamba A. (Red Card) Oliveira J. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Raków: Arsenic Z. (Leg Injury) Kochergin V. (Knee Injury) Otieno E. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Struski K. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Raków: Mosor A. (Inactive) Silva J. C. (Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arka won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 1.2:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Arka won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).
    Latest results of Arka Gdynia
    Latest results of Raków Częstochowa
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla Plock1879221:12930
    2Gornik Zabrze1893629:24530
    3Jagiellonia1785429:21829
    4Rakow1892726:23329
    5Zaglebie1877431:24728
    6Cracovia1876525:21427
    7Radomiak Radom1875635:30526
    8Lech Poznan1768329:26326
    9Korona Kielce1866621:19224
    10Pogon Szczecin1863928:32-421
    11Motor Lublin1849523:28-521
    12Arka Gdynia1863915:32-1721
    13Lechia Gdansk1874737:37020
    14Piast Gliwice1755719:19020
    15Widzew Lodz18621026:28-220
    16GKS Katowice1762923:28-520
    17Legia1847719:21-219
    18Termalica B-B1854924:35-1119

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1