Arka Gdynia vs Raków Częstochowa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:4
30/11/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 17
  • Referee: Arys K. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.721.66
Ball Possession
37%63%
Total shots
617
Shots on target
26
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
75% (224/298)88% (445/506)
Yellow Cards
13
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.721.66
xG on target (xGOT)
0.451.90
Total shots
617
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
06
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
19
Shots outside the Box
58
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
821
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1412
Passes
75% (224/298)88% (445/506)
Long passes
28% (13/46)46% (21/46)
Passes in final third
58% (53/92)85% (77/91)
Crosses
0% (0/14)27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.660.57
Throw-ins
1118
Fouls
1214
Tackles
46% (6/13)70% (7/10)
Duels won
4740
Clearances
1424
Interceptions
56
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
20
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
1.900.45
Goals prevented
-2.10-0.55

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Diaby-Fadiga L. ,
  • 26', Barath P. 🟨,
  • 33', Konstantopoulos A. 🟨,
  • 40', Zator D. 🟥,
  • 43', Navarro M. 🟨,
  • 45', 0 - 2, Ameyaw M. ,
  • 45+3', 0 - 3, Brunes J. , Ameyaw M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Adriano , Pienko T. ,
  • 46', Rusyn N. , Hermoso K. ,
  • 46', Gaprindashvili T. , Predenkiewicz M. ,
  • 57', 0 - 4, Brunes J. , Makuch P. (A),
  • 58', Diaby-Fadiga L. , Lopez I. ,
  • 58', Makuch P. , Mircetic B. ,
  • 64', Espiau Hernandez E. D. , Szysz P. ,
  • 64', Kerk S. , Percan ,
  • 70', Ameyaw M. , Rondic I. ,
  • 71', 1 - 4, Navarro M. ,
  • 82', Repka O. 🟨,
  • 83', Sidibe A. , Perea L. ,
  • 83', Repka O. , Bulat M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Arka Gdynia
20.9%
Draw
28.2%
Raków Częstochowa
50.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.8% 28.9% 39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6% 28.7% 39.6%

Arka Gdynia - Raków Częstochowa Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
4.51
(2.81)
3.33
(3.09)
1.85
(2.27)
6.2%
(12%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Arka Gdynia - Raków Częstochowa?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Arka will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Raków will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Raków: 46.1%91.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 8).
    • Arka has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Raków is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Arka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Raków is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Arka: Nguiamba A. (Red Card) Oliveira J. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Raków: Arsenic Z. (Leg Injury) Kochergin V. (Knee Injury) Otieno E. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Struski K. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Raków: Mosor A. (Inactive) Silva J. C. (Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arka won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 1.2:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Arka won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).
    Latest results of Arka Gdynia
    Latest results of Raków Częstochowa
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gornik Zabrze1893629:24530
    2Wisla Plock1778220:11929
    3Rakow1792626:22429
    4Jagiellonia1684428:20828
    5Cracovia1876525:21427
    6Radomiak Radom1875635:30526
    7Lech Poznan1768329:26326
    8Zaglebie1767430:24625
    9Korona Kielce1765620:18223
    10Pogon Szczecin1863928:32-421
    11Arka Gdynia1863915:32-1721
    12Lechia Gdansk1874737:37020
    13Widzew Lodz18621026:28-220
    14GKS Katowice1762923:28-520
    15Motor Lublin1748522:27-520
    16Legia1747619:20-119
    17Termalica B-B1854924:35-1119
    18Piast Gliwice1645718:19-117

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1