Result
1:4
30/11/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 17
- Referee: Arys K. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 1.66 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (224/298) | 88% (445/506) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 1.66 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 1.90 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (224/298) | 88% (445/506) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (13/46) | 46% (21/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (53/92) | 85% (77/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/14) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.57 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 46% (6/13) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.90 | 0.45 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -2.10 | -0.55 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 10', 0 - 1, Diaby-Fadiga L. ⚽,
- 26', Barath P. 🟨,
- 33', Konstantopoulos A. 🟨,
- 40', Zator D. 🟥,
- 43', Navarro M. 🟨,
- 45', 0 - 2, Ameyaw M. ⚽,
- 45+3', 0 - 3, Brunes J. ⚽, Ameyaw M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Adriano ↓, Pienko T. ↑,
- 46', Rusyn N. ↓, Hermoso K. ↑,
- 46', Gaprindashvili T. ↓, Predenkiewicz M. ↑,
- 57', 0 - 4, Brunes J. ⚽, Makuch P. (A),
- 58', Diaby-Fadiga L. ↓, Lopez I. ↑,
- 58', Makuch P. ↓, Mircetic B. ↑,
- 64', Espiau Hernandez E. D. ↓, Szysz P. ↑,
- 64', Kerk S. ↓, Percan ↑,
- 70', Ameyaw M. ↓, Rondic I. ↑,
- 71', 1 - 4, Navarro M. ⚽,
- 82', Repka O. 🟨,
- 83', Sidibe A. ↓, Perea L. ↑,
- 83', Repka O. ↓, Bulat M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Arka Gdynia
20.9% | Draw
28.2% | Raków Częstochowa
50.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arka Gdynia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arka Gdynia's form might have worsened.Raków Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Raków Częstochowa's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (+10.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arka Gdynia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (-11.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Raków Częstochowa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Arka Gdynia - Raków Częstochowa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.51 ↑
(2.81) |
3.33 ↑
(3.09) |
1.85 ↓
(2.27) |
6.2%
(12%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Arka Gdynia - Raków Częstochowa?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Arka will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Raków will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Raków: 46.1% – 91.5%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Raków Częstochowa will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 8).
- Arka has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Raków is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Arka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Raków is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Arka: Nguiamba A.
(Red Card)
Oliveira J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Raków: Arsenic Z.
(Leg Injury)
Kochergin V.
(Knee Injury)
Otieno E.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Struski K.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Raków: Mosor A.
(Inactive)
Silva J. C.
(Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arka won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 1.2:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Arka won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Arka Gdynia won against Raków Częstochowa?
Arka Gdynia has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Raków Częstochowa won against Arka Gdynia?
Raków Częstochowa has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arka Gdynia - Raków Częstochowa were as follows:
Latest results of Arka Gdynia
Latest results of Raków Częstochowa
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 46:37 | 9 | 44 |
| 2 | Zaglebie | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40:30 | 10 | 41 |
| 3 | Jagiellonia | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43:34 | 9 | 41 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 36:32 | 4 | 39 |
| 5 | Wisla Plock | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 28:25 | 3 | 39 |
| 6 | Rakow | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 35:33 | 2 | 38 |
| 7 | Motor Lublin | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 35:38 | -3 | 37 |
| 8 | Korona Kielce | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 33:29 | 4 | 36 |
| 9 | Cracovia | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 31:28 | 3 | 36 |
| 10 | GKS Katowice | 26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 35:35 | 0 | 36 |
| 11 | Piast Gliwice | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 32:33 | -1 | 35 |
| 12 | Lechia Gdansk | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 51:48 | 3 | 34 |
| 13 | Pogon Szczecin | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 36:40 | -4 | 34 |
| 14 | Radomiak Radom | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 42:40 | 2 | 33 |
| 15 | Legia | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 30:31 | -1 | 30 |
| 16 | Arka Gdynia | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 25:44 | -19 | 30 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 31:34 | -3 | 29 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 30:48 | -18 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
