Piast Gliwice vs Arka Gdynia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
27/04/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 30
  • Referee: Marciniak S. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 6
ukraineUkraineSport 1
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.461.22
Ball possession
64%36%
Total shots
247
Shots on target
123
Big chances
42
Corner kicks
65
Passes
83% (423/512)67% (191/284)
Yellow cards
22
Expected goals (xG)
2.461.22
xG on target (xGOT)
2.510.97
Total shots
247
Shots on target
123
Shots off target
63
Blocked shots
61
Shots inside the box
165
Shots outside the box
82
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
20
Big chances
42
Corner kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
5012
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free kicks
711
Passes
83% (423/512)67% (191/284)
Long passes
36% (18/50)33% (21/64)
Passes in final third
78% (121/155)48% (41/86)
Crosses
53% (9/17)31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.680.81
Throw ins
1222
Fouls
117
Tackles
47% (7/15)53% (10/19)
Duels won
4457
Clearances
2920
Interceptions
211
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
28
xGOT faced
0.972.51
Goals prevented
-0.03-1.49

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 7', Nguiamba A. 🟨,
  • 8', Dziczek P. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 10', 1 - 0, Boisgard Q. , Sanca L. (A),
  • 23', Kubiak O. , Kocyla D. ,
  • 41', Lewicki J. 🟨,
  • 45', Gutkovskis V. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 46', Nguiamba A. , Jakubczyk K. ,
  • 47', 2 - 0, Borowski F. ,
  • 54', 2 - 1, Kocyla D. , Gutkovskis V. (A),
  • 60', Lewicki J. , Fikaj E. ,
  • 60', Sanca L. , Vallejo H. ,
  • 68', Boisgard Q. , Barkovskiy G. ,
  • 68', Lokilo J. , Lesniak O. ,
  • 68', Navarro M. , Zator D. ,
  • 68', Rusyn N. , Oliveira J. ,
  • 69', Dziczek P. 🟨,
  • 78', Tomasiewicz G. , Chrapek M. ,
  • 81', 3 - 1, Drapinski I. , Chrapek M. (A),
  • 82', Perea L. , Espiau Hernandez E. D. ,
  • 90+1', 4 - 1, Vallejo H. , Chrapek M. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Piast Gliwice
49.9%
Draw
27.7%
Arka Gdynia
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.1% 27.4% 24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4% 28.7% 23.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Piast Gliwice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • Arka Gdynia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Piast Gliwice than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • Piast Gliwice - Arka Gdynia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.87
    (1.84)
    3.35
    (3.23)
    4.14
    (3.61)
    7.4%
    (13%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Piast Gliwice - Arka Gdynia?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Piast will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Arka will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Piast: 57.1%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Arka (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Arka (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Piast won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Arka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Piast is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Piast: Czerwinski J. (Yellow Cards) Plach F. (Knee Injury) Twumasi E. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Arka: Weglarz D. (Back Injury)
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Piast won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:13. (average 1.6:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Piast won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Piast Gliwice - Arka Gdynia were as follows:
    25.10.2025 Arka Gdynia - Piast Gliwice 2:1
    30.10.2024 Arka Gdynia - Piast Gliwice 1:3
    06.07.2023 Arka Gdynia - Piast Gliwice 2:3
    Latest results of Piast Gliwice
    Latest results of Arka Gdynia
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lech Poznan311510656:411555
    2Gornik Zabrze30147943:34949
    3GKS Katowice311451248:42647
    4Jagiellonia301210848:371146
    5Rakow301371043:37646
    6Zaglebie311291043:36745
    7Wisla Plock311291032:31145
    8Pogon Szczecin311251443:45-241
    9Piast Gliwice311171340:41-140
    10Legia31913935:36-140
    11Radomiak Radom3010101046:43340
    12Korona Kielce311091238:37139
    13Cracovia319121035:38-339
    14Motor Lublin319121039:46-739
    15Lechia Gdansk301271157:54338
    16Widzew Lodz311061536:38-236
    17Arka Gdynia30971431:54-2334
    18Termalica B-B31771737:60-2328

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1