St. Pauli vs Arminia Bielefeld: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

29/04/2023 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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Chances of winning

St. Pauli
47.9%

Draw
26.3%

Arminia Bielefeld
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

24.6%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

24.3%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Pauli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Arminia Bielefeld has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for St. Pauli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

St. Pauli - Arminia Bielefeld Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.78)	3.61 ↓ (3.82)	3.69 ↓ (4.09)	5.3% (6.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for St. Pauli - Arminia Bielefeld?

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. St. Pauli will win (votes: 12 - 60%). Arminia will win (votes: 4 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for St. Pauli: 38.5% – 81.5%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 4 and 15).
St. Pauli has the most likely position - 5 (29.4%), project points - 55, currently - 47, not chance of relegated, a very small chance of promoted (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Arminia has the most likely position - 16 (24.37%), project points - 35, currently - 29, a chance of relegated (33%), not chance of promoted.
This event has quality 36, importance 33, match rating 35. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches St. Pauli won 1.
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
St. Pauli could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match St. Pauli is a favorite.
Last 14 head-to-head matches St. Pauli won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 16-19.
Including matches at home between the teams St. Pauli won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-7.

How many head-to-head matches has St. Pauli won against Arminia Bielefeld?

St. Pauli has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Arminia Bielefeld won against St. Pauli?

Arminia Bielefeld has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between St. Pauli - Arminia Bielefeld were as follows:

22.10.2022 Arminia Bielefeld - St. Pauli 2:0

Latest results of St. Pauli

21.04.2023 Hamburger SV - St. Pauli 4:3 ✺

16.04.2023 St. Pauli - Eintracht Braunschweig 1:2 ✺

08.04.2023 Heidenheim - St. Pauli 0:1 ✺

01.04.2023 St. Pauli - Jahn Regensburg 1:0 ✺

24.03.2023 St. Pauli - Hannover 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Arminia Bielefeld

22.04.2023 Arminia Bielefeld - Hannover 1:3 ✺

16.04.2023 Karlsruher - Arminia Bielefeld 4:2 ✺

09.04.2023 Arminia Bielefeld - Fortuna Düsseldorf 2:2 ✺

02.04.2023 Holstein Kiel - Arminia Bielefeld 2:3 ✺

22.03.2023 Arminia Bielefeld - Groningen 1:1 ✺

German 2 Bundesliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	SG Dynamo Dresden	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Braunschweig	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Dusseldorf	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Magdeburg	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Holstein Kiel	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Schalke	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Hannover	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Hertha Berlin	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Karlsruher SC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Bochum	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Arminia Bielefeld	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Nurnberg	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Greuther Furth	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Kaiserslautern	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Paderborn	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Darmstadt	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Preussen Munster	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Elversberg	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Bundesliga
      Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
      2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ 3. Liga

Which TV channels are streaming of St. Pauli - Arminia Bielefeld?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sky Bundesliga, Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Sweden	Viaplay