Arosa vs Alondras – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
14/02/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 1', 0 - 1, ,
  • 19', 1 - 1, ,
  • 24', 2 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 87', 2 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Arosa
43.8%
Draw
29.2%
Alondras
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.7% 26.4% 24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4% 25.5% 24.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • Alondras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arosa than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arosa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alondras than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • Arosa - Alondras Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.21
    (1.87)
    3.32
    (3.45)
    3.59
    (3.65)
    3.3%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: ) and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arosa won 1.
    • Arosa is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Alondras is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Arosa is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Arosa won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.1:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Arosa won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arosa - Alondras were as follows:
    28.09.2025 Alondras - Arosa 0:2
    11.05.2025 Arosa - Alondras 3:3
    12.01.2025 Alondras - Arosa 2:0
    28.04.2024 Arosa - Alondras 1:1
    17.12.2023 Alondras - Arosa 1:1
    Latest results of Arosa
    08.02.2026 Lugo B - Arosa 1:2
    01.02.2026 Arosa - Gran Peña 1:0
    25.01.2026 Silva SD - Arosa 1:2
    18.01.2026 Céltiga - Arosa 3:4
    11.01.2026 Arosa - Juventud Cambados 1:1
    Latest results of Alondras
    01.02.2026 Noia - Alondras 2:1
    25.01.2026 Alondras - RC Villalbes 1:0
    18.01.2026 Alondras - Barbadás 2:0
    11.01.2026 Viveiro - Alondras 2:2
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Compostela22137237:191846
    2Arosa SC22127340:261443
    3Racing Club Villalbes22108426:141238
    4Somozas22107523:17637
    5Alondras2296732:29333
    6Celtiga2294935:30531
    7Boiro2286825:20530
    8Gran Pena2279628:25330
    9Montaneros2279627:25230
    10Lugo B2279626:27-130
    11Estradense2278727:22529
    12Atletico Arteixo2278730:28229
    13Barco2285921:23-229
    14Viveiro2276919:26-727
    15Cambados22311815:18-320
    16Silva SD22531415:32-1718
    17Noia22451318:37-1917
    18Barbadas-Bentraces22361312:38-2615

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation