Arosa vs Noia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 Arosa - Noia
Result
5:2
19/10/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 7

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 15', 0 - 1, ,
  • 28', 0 - 2, ,
  • 2nd Half (5 - 0)
  • 58', 1 - 2, ,
  • 60', 2 - 2, ,
  • 78', 3 - 2, ,
  • 90+3', 4 - 2, ,
  • 90+5', 5 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Arosa
46%
Draw
28.5%
Noia
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.3% 29% 31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3% 29% 31.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arosa's performance.
  • Noia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Noia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arosa than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arosa that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Noia than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Noia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Arosa - Noia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2
    (2.32)
    3.23
    (3.14)
    3.6
    (2.87)
    8.9%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: ) and 10).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Arosa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Arosa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Arosa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arosa - Noia were as follows:
    02.02.2025 Noia - Arosa 0:0
    22.09.2024 Arosa - Noia 0:2
    Latest results of Arosa
    11.10.2025 RC Villalbes - Arosa 3:1
    05.10.2025 Arosa - Barbadás 3:0
    28.09.2025 Alondras - Arosa 0:2
    21.09.2025 Arosa - Lugo B 2:2
    14.09.2025 Gran Peña - Arosa 2:2
    Latest results of Noia
    12.10.2025 Noia - Atlético Arteixo 2:3
    05.10.2025 Viveiro - Noia 0:1
    28.09.2025 RC Villalbes - Noia 2:0
    21.09.2025 Noia - Barbadás 4:1
    13.09.2025 Alondras - Noia 1:0
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Compostela862016:61020
    2Somozas852111:6517
    3Estradense843112:4815
    4Arosa SC843119:12715
    5Racing Club Villalbes842211:6514
    6Lugo B833210:8212
    7Montaneros833210:10012
    8Boiro83237:6111
    9Gran Pena82518:9-111
    10Celtiga831412:11110
    11Alondras831410:13-310
    12Cambados82336:609
    13Atletico Arteixo82249:12-38
    14Viveiro82246:10-48
    15Barco82155:9-47
    16Noia821511:16-57
    17Barbadas-Bentraces81345:16-116
    18Silva SD81164:12-84

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation