Result
0:1
08/03/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 24
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 10', 0 - 1, Gabri Palmas ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 86', 🟥,
Chances of winning
Noia
20.8% | Draw
27.5% | Arosa
51.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Noia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Arosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Noia than the current prediction. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arosa than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Noia - Arosa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.39 ↓
(4.54) |
3.32 ↓
(3.5) |
1.77 ↑
(1.68) |
9.4%
(10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )).
- Noia is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Arosa is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, Arosa is considered a favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Noia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Noia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Noia won against Arosa?
Noia has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arosa won against Noia?
Arosa has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Noia - Arosa were as follows:
19.10.2025
Arosa
-
Noia
5:2
02.02.2025
Noia
-
Arosa
0:0
22.09.2024
Arosa
-
Noia
0:2
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Compostela | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 41:20 | 21 | 53 |
| 2 | Arosa SC | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48:29 | 19 | 53 |
| 3 | Somozas | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 42 |
| 4 | Racing Club Villalbes | 26 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 29:19 | 10 | 41 |
| 5 | Atletico Arteixo | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 38:32 | 6 | 39 |
| 6 | Gran Pena | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 38:30 | 8 | 38 |
| 7 | Barco | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 27:27 | 0 | 38 |
| 8 | Estradense | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 34:26 | 8 | 37 |
| 9 | Lugo B | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 29:29 | 0 | 37 |
| 10 | Celtiga | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 38:32 | 6 | 36 |
| 11 | Boiro | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 29:23 | 6 | 36 |
| 12 | Alondras | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 34:36 | -2 | 34 |
| 13 | Montaneros | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 34:31 | 3 | 34 |
| 14 | Viveiro | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 20:32 | -12 | 29 |
| 15 | Silva SD | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 18:34 | -16 | 24 |
| 16 | Cambados | 26 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 17:26 | -9 | 21 |
| 17 | Noia | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 18:42 | -24 | 18 |
| 18 | Barbadas-Bentraces | 26 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 16:46 | -30 | 16 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
