Result
5:2
19/10/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 7
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 15', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 28', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (5 - 0)
- 58', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 60', 2 - 2, ⚽,
- 78', 3 - 2, ⚽,
- 90+3', 4 - 2, ⚽,
- 90+5', 5 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Arosa 46% | Draw 28.5% | Noia 25.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arosa's performance.Noia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Noia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arosa than the current prediction. (-6.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arosa that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Noia than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Noia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Arosa - Noia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2 ↓ (2.32) |
3.23 ↑ (3.14) |
3.6 ↑ (2.87) |
8.9% (9.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: ) and 10).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Arosa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Arosa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Arosa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Arosa won against Noia?
Arosa has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Noia won against Arosa?
Noia has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arosa - Noia were as follows:
02.02.2025
Noia
-
Arosa
0:0
22.09.2024
Arosa
-
Noia
0:2
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Compostela | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 37:19 | 18 | 46 |
| 2 | Arosa SC | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 40:26 | 14 | 43 |
| 3 | Racing Club Villalbes | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 26:14 | 12 | 38 |
| 4 | Somozas | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 23:17 | 6 | 37 |
| 5 | Alondras | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 32:29 | 3 | 33 |
| 6 | Celtiga | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 35:30 | 5 | 31 |
| 7 | Boiro | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 25:20 | 5 | 30 |
| 8 | Gran Pena | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 28:25 | 3 | 30 |
| 9 | Montaneros | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 27:25 | 2 | 30 |
| 10 | Lugo B | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 26:27 | -1 | 30 |
| 11 | Estradense | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 27:22 | 5 | 29 |
| 12 | Atletico Arteixo | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 30:28 | 2 | 29 |
| 13 | Barco | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 21:23 | -2 | 29 |
| 14 | Viveiro | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 19:26 | -7 | 27 |
| 15 | Cambados | 22 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 15:18 | -3 | 20 |
| 16 | Silva SD | 22 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 15:32 | -17 | 18 |
| 17 | Noia | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 18:37 | -19 | 17 |
| 18 | Barbadas-Bentraces | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 12:38 | -26 | 15 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )
Relegation