Arouca vs Braga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Liga Portugal
Result
0:4
01/12/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal - Round 12
  • Referee: Nogueira M. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaZAP
bulgariaBulgariaRing, Voyo
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
kuwaitKuwaitKTV Sport
portugalPortugalSport TV1
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.062.92
Ball Possession
16%84%
Total shots
318
Shots on target
16
Big Chances
07
Corner Kicks
06
Passes
67% (117/174)94% (875/930)
Yellow Cards
40
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.062.92
xG on target (xGOT)
0.021.88
Total shots
318
Shots on target
16
Shots off target
210
Blocked Shots
02
Shots inside the Box
013
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
03
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
07
Corner Kicks
06
Touches in opposition box
040
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
911
Passes
67% (117/174)94% (875/930)
Long passes
36% (15/42)69% (31/45)
Passes in final third
33% (7/21)87% (234/269)
Expected assists (xA)
0.012.27
Throw-ins
912
Fouls
119
Tackles
63% (5/8)50% (3/6)
Duels won
2631
Clearances
187
Interceptions
117
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
1.880.02
Goals prevented
-0.120.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 13', Fontan J. 🟨,
  • 15', Fontan J. 🟨,
  • 20', Sola A. ↓, Fayed O. ↑,
  • 25', Alex Pinto 🟨,
  • 26', Horta R. (Pen),
  • 26', 0 - 1, Mantl N. (Own goal),
  • 31', 0 - 2, Horta R. ⚽, Gomez V. (A),
  • 45+2', 0 - 3, Alex Pinto (Own goal),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Simao D. ↓, van Ee E. ↑,
  • 46', Lee H. ↓, Puche ↑,
  • 46', Alex Pinto ↓, Dante A. ↑,
  • 60', Gorby ↓, Rodrigues D. ↑,
  • 60', Gomez V. ↓, Lelo L. ↑,
  • 60', Horta R. ↓, Moutinho J. ↑,
  • 71', 0 - 4, Lagerbielke G. ⚽, Rodrigues D. (A),
  • 72', Vitor Carvalho ↓, Oliveira P. ↑,
  • 73', Nandin D. ↓, Trezza A. ↑,
  • 78', Grillitsch F. ↓, Gabriel Moscardo ↑,
  • 84', Tiago Esgaio 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Arouca
14.2%		Draw
21.9%		Braga
63.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
17.8% 23.1% 59.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.4% 22.6% 60.6%

Arouca - Braga Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 6.52 ↑
(5.33)		 4.36 ↑
(4.1)		 1.49 ↓
(1.6)		 5.5%
(5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Arouca - Braga?
  • Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Arouca will win (votes: 5 - 18.5%). Braga will win (votes: 21 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Braga: 62.1% – 93.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Braga (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1.25 - Arouca (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1 - Arouca (2.06) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Arouca (votes: 2 - 40%). Braga (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arouca won 1.
    • Recent form of Arouca has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Braga has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Braga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Arouca has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Braga is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Arouca: Flores M. (Knee Injury) Rocha M. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Braga: Noro J. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Zalazar R. (Yellow Cards)
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Arouca won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 12:36. (average 0.6:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Arouca won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:17. (average 0.4:2.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arouca - Braga were as follows:
    29.03.2025 Braga - Arouca 2:1
    03.11.2024 Arouca - Braga 1:2
    06.04.2024 Braga - Arouca 0:3
    12.11.2023 Arouca - Braga 0:1
    19.02.2023 Braga - Arouca 2:0
    Latest results of Arouca
    23.11.2025 Fafe - Arouca 2:1
    07.11.2025 Estoril Praia - Arouca 4:3 ✺
    02.11.2025 Arouca - Moreirense 0:2 ✺
    25.10.2025 Benfica - Arouca 5:0 ✺
    18.10.2025 Portimonense - Arouca 1:2
    Latest results of Braga
    27.11.2025 Glasgow Rangers - Braga 1:1 ✺
    23.11.2025 Braga - Nacional 4:2 ✺
    09.11.2025 Braga - Moreirense 2:1 ✺
    06.11.2025 Braga - Genk 3:4 ✺
    02.11.2025 Porto - Braga 2:1 ✺
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Porto18171037:43352
    2Sporting CP18143150:94145
    3Benfica18126038:112742
    4Gil Vicente1887324:131131
    5Braga1886432:181430
    6Moreirense1883725:26-127
    7Famalicao1875621:14726
    8Vitoria Guimaraes1874718:23-525
    9Estoril1865733:29423
    10Alverca1872919:28-923
    11Rio Ave1848622:31-920
    12Estrela1847723:32-919
    13Santa Clara1845914:20-617
    14Nacional1845922:28-617
    15Arouca1845919:42-2317
    16Casa Pia18351017:35-1814
    17Tondela18331212:30-1812
    18AFS18041411:44-334

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
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          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Liga Portugal (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2

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