Result
2:1
29/03/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 27
- Referee: Costa B. J. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Sport TV Africa, ZAP |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 7 |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Romania | AntenaPLAY |
 Serbia | Nova Sport |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 4 |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.63 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (386/470) | 81% (315/389) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.63 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 0.67 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 17 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (386/470) | 81% (315/389) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (32/56) | 53% (29/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (75/118) | 54% (48/89) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (9/27) | 31% (4/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.45 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (14/20) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 41 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 24 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.67 | 1.67 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.33 | -0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 39', 1 - 0, Horta R. ⚽, Racic U. (A),
- 41', Tiago Esgaio ↓, Alex Pinto ↑,
- 44', 2 - 0, Racic U. ⚽, Horta R. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 61', Racic U. 🟨,
- 64', Zalazar R. 🟨,
- 65', Jason ↓, Mansilla B. ↑,
- 65', Yalcin G. ↓, Araujo H. ↑,
- 68', 2 - 1, Trezza A. ⚽, Araujo H. (A),
- 71', El Ouazzani A. ↓, Patrao A. ↑,
- 71', Racic U. ↓, Gorby ↑,
- 78', Fukui T. 🟨,
- 82', Zalazar R. ↓, Furtado R. ↑,
- 87', Fontan J. 🟨,
- 88', Trezza A. ↓, Popovic B. ↑,
- 90+2', Martinez G. ↓, Vitor Carvalho ↑,
Chances of winning
Braga
56.7% | Draw
24.4% | Arouca
19% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Braga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)Arouca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braga than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arouca than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Braga - Arouca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.67 ↓
(1.7) |
3.87 ↑
(3.84) |
4.9 ↑
(4.69) |
6%
(6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Watch this match and Liga Portugal with fubo (for US customers) Network on : Gol (English)
What is the prediction for Braga - Arouca?
Users Predictions:
Braga will win
(16 of 16 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 13).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Braga won 4.
- The game of competitors is shaky now.
- In this match Braga is a favorite.
- There will not play in Braga: Fernandes R.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Arouca: Galovic N.
(Knee Injury)
Gozalbez P.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Braga: Navarro F.
(Injury)
- Last 18 head-to-head matches Braga won 12 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 34:11 (average 1.9:0.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Braga won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17:8 (average 1.7:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Braga won against Arouca?
Braga has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arouca won against Braga?
Arouca has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Braga - Arouca were as follows:
03.11.2024
Arouca
-
Braga
1:2
06.04.2024
Braga
-
Arouca
0:3
12.11.2023
Arouca
-
Braga
0:1
19.02.2023
Braga
-
Arouca
2:0
28.08.2022
Arouca
-
Braga
0:6
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting CP | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:1 | 11 | 9 |
| 2 | Moreirense | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | Braga | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 | 6 |
| 4 | FC Porto | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
| 5 | Benfica | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Arouca | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:10 | -4 | 4 |
| 8 | Gil Vicente | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Casa Pia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4:4 | 0 | 2 |
| 12 | Estrela | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | Estoril | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Nacional | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 1 |
| 15 | Santa Clara | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 16 | Alverca | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 17 | AFS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 | Tondela | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:7 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
