Moralo vs Arroyo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Moralo - Arroyo
Result
5:0
17/04/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Silva E. ,
  • 18', 2 - 0, Barranco F. ,
  • 23', 3 - 0, Smekhunov A. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 76', 4 - 0, Parada J. ,
  • 86', 5 - 0, Kinateder A. ,

Chances of winning


Moralo
58.5%
Draw
23.9%
Arroyo
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.9% 23.9% 17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3% 16.7% 24.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Moralo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Arroyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moralo than the current prediction. (-17.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Moralo that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arroyo than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arroyo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Moralo - Arroyo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.55
    (1.54)
    3.8
    (3.8)
    5.14
    (5.3)
    10.3%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Moralo won 3.
    • Recent matches Moralo is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Arroyo is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • In this match Moralo is a favorite.
    • Last 10 head-to-head matches Moralo won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 22:9 (average 2.2:0.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Moralo won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10:1 (average 2:0.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Moralo - Arroyo were as follows:
    07.12.2024 Arroyo - Moralo 2:3
    14.01.2024 Arroyo - Moralo 2:1
    11.03.2023 Moralo - Arroyo 1:1
    06.11.2022 Arroyo - Moralo 0:4
    Latest results of Moralo
    12.04.2025 Llerenense - Moralo 3:1
    06.04.2025 Moralo - Olivenza 1:0
    30.03.2025 Jerez - Moralo 3:2
    23.03.2025 Moralo - Santa Amalia 0:1
    16.03.2025 Calamonte - Moralo 1:2
    Latest results of Arroyo
    13.04.2025 Arroyo - Diocesano 1:2
    06.04.2025 Azuaga - Arroyo 3:1
    30.03.2025 Arroyo - Castuera 2:2
    23.03.2025 Trujillo - Arroyo 0:0
    16.03.2025 Arroyo - Pueblonuevo 1:2
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SocuellamosCayon2 : 0, 1 : 1
    2CastellonenseBurgos CF B0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3CortesBeasain0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Girona BSan Fernando2 : 0, 1 : 0
    5PulpilenoSarriana2 : 3, 0 : 0
    6LlerenenseLealtad1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Atletico CentralJaen1 : 2, 0 : 1
    8PorreresAtletico Monzon2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9VareaRayo Vallecano B0 : 3, 1 : 2