Puebla de la Calzada vs Arroyo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
09/03/2025 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 6', 1 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Puebla de la Calzada
50.5%
Draw
27%
Arroyo
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45% 28% 27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8% 21.1% 35.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Puebla de la Calzada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Puebla de la Calzada's performance.
  • Arroyo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puebla de la Calzada than the current prediction. (-16.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Puebla de la Calzada that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arroyo than the current prediction. (+13.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arroyo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Puebla de la Calzada - Arroyo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.81
    (2.02)
    3.38
    (3.25)
    4.06
    (3.37)
    9.5%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
    • Recent matches Puebla is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Arroyo is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Puebla could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Puebla will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Puebla won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Puebla de la Calzada - Arroyo were as follows:
    27.10.2024 Arroyo - Puebla de la Calzada 2:0
    Latest results of Puebla de la Calzada
    Latest results of Arroyo
    02.03.2025 CD Extremadura - Arroyo 3:0
    23.02.2025 Jaraíz - Arroyo 1:1
    16.02.2025 Arroyo - Badajoz 0:2
    09.02.2025 Arroyo - Llerenense 1:5
    02.02.2025 Olivenza - Arroyo 1:1
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Don Benito24156350:153551
    2Moralo24128438:241444
    3Jaraiz24119439:231642
    4Cabeza del Buey241011330:171341
    5CD Badajoz24135632:201241
    6Azuaga24117634:241040
    7Villanovense2498726:24235
    8Llerenense241041025:25034
    9Jerez CF24615338:29933
    10Villafranca2496928:29-133
    11Montijo24941126:27-131
    12Puebla24611724:28-429
    13Santa Amalia24851123:32-929
    14Gevora24581122:36-1423
    15Diocesano23481122:37-1520
    16CD Calamonte243101118:29-1119
    17Montehermoso24361517:44-2715
    18Pueblonuevo23351517:46-2914

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