Result
1:1
25/05/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera Nacional - Round 16
- Referee: Pafundi J. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | TyC Sports Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', 1 - 0, Vila J. ⚽,
- 32', Sosa A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 48', Minissale P. 🟨,
- 56', Martinez D. ↓, Juncos B. ↑,
- 60', Bordagaray F. ↓, Echevarria F. ↑,
- 60', Klusener G. ↓, Sabatini I. ↑,
- 65', 1 - 1, Recalde F. ⚽,
- 65', Rius C. ↓, Frascone N. ↑,
- 71', Rivero G. 🟨,
- 72', Perez B. ↓, Jara E. ↑,
- 73', Cocca M. ↓, Lucero M. ↑,
- 73', Purita E. ↓, Vera M. ↑,
- 82', Roselli N. 🟨,
- 90+3', Vera M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Arsenal Sarandí
23.1% | Draw
34.4% | Deportivo Madryn
42.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arsenal Sarandí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arsenal Sarandí's form might have worsened.Deportivo Madryn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Madryn's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arsenal Sarandí, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Madryn than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Madryn, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Arsenal Sarandí - Deportivo Madryn Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.05 ↑
(3.1) |
2.69 ↓
(2.7) |
2.18 ↓
(2.45) |
7.8%
(10.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
What is the prediction for Arsenal Sarandí - Deportivo Madryn?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Arsenal Sarandí will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 64.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
- Recent form of Arsenal Sarandí has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Deportivo Madryn has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Deportivo Madryn may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Deportivo Madryn is a strong favorite.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Arsenal Sarandí won against Deportivo Madryn?
Arsenal Sarandí has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Madryn won against Arsenal Sarandí?
Deportivo Madryn has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arsenal Sarandí - Deportivo Madryn were as follows:
Latest results of Arsenal Sarandí
Latest results of Deportivo Madryn
Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
2025Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Deportivo Madryn | 31 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 43:26 | 17 | 56 |
| 2 | Atletico Atlanta | 31 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 28:23 | 5 | 51 |
| 3 | San Miguel | 31 | 12 | 12 | 7 | 30:25 | 5 | 48 |
| 4 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 30:18 | 12 | 47 |
| 5 | San Martin T | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 29:25 | 4 | 47 |
| 6 | Tristan Suarez | 31 | 10 | 16 | 5 | 28:21 | 7 | 46 |
| 7 | Patronato | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 30:25 | 5 | 46 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 28:27 | 1 | 42 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 28:26 | 2 | 40 |
| 10 | Racing Cordoba | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 35:39 | -4 | 38 |
| 11 | Colegiales | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 21:25 | -4 | 38 |
| 12 | Quilmes | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 29:30 | -1 | 36 |
| 13 | All Boys | 31 | 7 | 15 | 9 | 23:25 | -2 | 36 |
| 14 | Almagro | 31 | 7 | 13 | 11 | 24:29 | -5 | 34 |
| 15 | Club A. Guemes | 31 | 6 | 15 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 33 |
| 16 | Ferro | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 19:32 | -13 | 32 |
| 17 | Arsenal Sarandi | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 31:43 | -12 | 31 |
| 18 | Alvarado | 31 | 5 | 14 | 12 | 17:28 | -11 | 29 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 30 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 31:15 | 16 | 56 |
| 2 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 31 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 32:18 | 14 | 56 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 31 | 14 | 12 | 5 | 32:15 | 17 | 54 |
| 4 | Deportivo Moron | 31 | 14 | 11 | 6 | 32:18 | 14 | 53 |
| 5 | CA Estudiantes | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 36:20 | 16 | 52 |
| 6 | Temperley | 31 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 26:19 | 7 | 51 |
| 7 | Chaco For Ever | 31 | 14 | 7 | 10 | 31:24 | 7 | 49 |
| 8 | Chacarita Juniors | 31 | 12 | 12 | 7 | 35:24 | 11 | 48 |
| 9 | Agropecuario | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 37:33 | 4 | 45 |
| 10 | Def. de Belgrano | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 26:24 | 2 | 42 |
| 11 | San Telmo | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 28:36 | -8 | 38 |
| 12 | Nueva Chicago | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 26:30 | -4 | 37 |
| 13 | CA Mitre | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 25:27 | -2 | 36 |
| 14 | Central Norte | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 24:36 | -12 | 33 |
| 15 | Almirante Brown | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 24:34 | -10 | 32 |
| 16 | Colon Santa Fe | 31 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 21:38 | -17 | 28 |
| 17 | Talleres (R.E) | 31 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 15:36 | -21 | 20 |
| 18 | Defensores Unidos | 31 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 17:51 | -34 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation
