Result
1:1
25/05/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera Nacional - Round 16
- Referee: Pafundi J. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | TyC Sports Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', 1 - 0, Vila J. ⚽,
- 32', Sosa A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 48', Minissale P. 🟨,
- 56', Martinez D. ↓, Juncos B. ↑,
- 60', Bordagaray F. ↓, Echevarria F. ↑,
- 60', Klusener G. ↓, Sabatini I. ↑,
- 65', 1 - 1, Recalde F. ⚽,
- 65', Rius C. ↓, Frascone N. ↑,
- 71', Rivero G. 🟨,
- 72', Perez B. ↓, Jara E. ↑,
- 73', Cocca M. ↓, Lucero M. ↑,
- 73', Purita E. ↓, Vera M. ↑,
- 82', Roselli N. 🟨,
- 90+3', Vera M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Arsenal Sarandí
23.1% | Draw
34.4% | Deportivo Madryn
42.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arsenal Sarandí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arsenal Sarandí's form might have worsened.Deportivo Madryn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Madryn's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arsenal Sarandí, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Madryn than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Madryn, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Arsenal Sarandí - Deportivo Madryn Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.05 ↑
(3.1) |
2.69 ↓
(2.7) |
2.18 ↓
(2.45) |
7.8%
(10.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
What is the prediction for Arsenal Sarandí - Deportivo Madryn?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Arsenal Sarandí will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 64.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
- Recent form of Arsenal Sarandí has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Deportivo Madryn has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Deportivo Madryn may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Deportivo Madryn is a strong favorite.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Arsenal Sarandí won against Deportivo Madryn?
Arsenal Sarandí has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Madryn won against Arsenal Sarandí?
Deportivo Madryn has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arsenal Sarandí - Deportivo Madryn were as follows:
Latest results of Arsenal Sarandí
Latest results of Deportivo Madryn
Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
2025Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Martin T | 24 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 22:16 | 6 | 39 |
| 2 | Atletico Atlanta | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 21:15 | 6 | 39 |
| 3 | Deportivo Madryn | 23 | 9 | 10 | 4 | 27:19 | 8 | 37 |
| 4 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 22:14 | 8 | 36 |
| 5 | San Miguel | 23 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 22:15 | 7 | 36 |
| 6 | Tristan Suarez | 24 | 8 | 12 | 4 | 21:16 | 5 | 36 |
| 7 | Patronato | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 27:23 | 4 | 35 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 22:21 | 1 | 32 |
| 9 | Racing Cordoba | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 29:30 | -1 | 30 |
| 10 | Colegiales | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 14:19 | -5 | 30 |
| 11 | Los Andes | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23:24 | -1 | 28 |
| 12 | Quilmes | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 22:20 | 2 | 27 |
| 13 | Almagro | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 17:21 | -4 | 27 |
| 14 | All Boys | 24 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 19:21 | -2 | 26 |
| 15 | Ferro | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 15:22 | -7 | 26 |
| 16 | Club A. Guemes | 23 | 4 | 13 | 6 | 19:22 | -3 | 25 |
| 17 | Alvarado | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 13:22 | -9 | 21 |
| 18 | Arsenal Sarandi | 23 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 18:33 | -15 | 18 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Chacarita Juniors | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 32:17 | 15 | 43 |
| 2 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 23 | 11 | 10 | 2 | 24:11 | 13 | 43 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 22 | 10 | 10 | 2 | 22:11 | 11 | 40 |
| 4 | Deportivo Moron | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 25:13 | 12 | 39 |
| 5 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 23 | 9 | 11 | 3 | 23:14 | 9 | 38 |
| 6 | Temperley | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 22:17 | 5 | 38 |
| 7 | Chaco For Ever | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 25:18 | 7 | 37 |
| 8 | CA Estudiantes | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 23:18 | 5 | 36 |
| 9 | CA Mitre | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 17:16 | 1 | 31 |
| 10 | Agropecuario | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 26:27 | -1 | 31 |
| 11 | Def. de Belgrano | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 18:17 | 1 | 30 |
| 12 | Nueva Chicago | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 21:21 | 0 | 29 |
| 13 | Colon Santa Fe | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 20:25 | -5 | 27 |
| 14 | San Telmo | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 27 |
| 15 | Central Norte | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 20:29 | -9 | 25 |
| 16 | Almirante Brown | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 16:26 | -10 | 21 |
| 17 | Talleres (R.E) | 24 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 9:28 | -19 | 11 |
| 18 | Defensores Unidos | 23 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 9:38 | -29 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation
