Aserrí vs Carmelita – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso Aserrí - Carmelita
Result
1:0
18/09/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Ascenso - Apertura - Round 7

Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 78', 🟥,
  • 90+2', 1 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Aserrí
43.7%
Draw
28%
Carmelita
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.7% 27.8% 29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5% 29% 28.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aserrí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • Carmelita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aserrí than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carmelita than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Aserrí - Carmelita Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.09
    (2.12)
    3.27
    (3.25)
    3.22
    (3.07)
    9.4%
    (10.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Ascenso (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Recent performances by Aserrí have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Carmelita is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Carmelita may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Aserrí might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Aserrí won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Aserrí won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
    Latest results of Aserrí
    15.09.2025 Santa Ana - Aserrí 1:2
    31.08.2025 Desamparados - Aserrí 2:1
    26.08.2025 Guadalupe - Aserrí 4:1
    14.08.2025 Aserrí - Guadalupe 4:2
    Latest results of Carmelita
    Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter San Carlos1172217:9823
    2ADR Jicaral1062216:7920
    3Quepos Cambute1153317:11618
    4Dep. Upala1244420:17316
    5Cofutpa1042417:20-314
    6AD Sarchi112549:15-611
    7Santa Cruz112368:17-99
    8Grecia1021716:24-87
    9Municipal Turrialba00000:000


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Escorpiones1182125:141126
    2Santa Ana1136213:12115
    3Consultants Desamparados842214:12214
    4Cariari Pococi1025314:13111
    5Carmelita1125410:13-311
    6Ad Aserri93247:10-311
    7Pitbulls112458:12-410
    8CS Uruguay1124512:17-510
    9Limon Black Star00000:000

          Promotion ~ Liga de Ascenso (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)