Result
5:1
28/11/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.16 | 3.11 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 28 | 19 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 17.86% (5/28) | 5.26% (1/19) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 18 | 23 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 94.74% (18/19) | 82.14% (23/28) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 50% (1/2) | 0% (0/2) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (2/2) | 50% (1/2) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 22 | 23 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 48.89 | 51.11 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (4 - 0)
- 04:14, 1 - 0, Olofsson J. (G), Nurmi P. (A), Viljanen V. (A2)
- 12:19, 2 - 0, Noiva N. (G), Jarvinen J. (A), Nilsson O. (A2)
- 15:47, 3 - 0, Olofsson J. (G), Tiivola P. (A), Nyman L. (A2)
- 17:04, 4 - 0, Maatta R. (G), Sebok B. (A), Martel D. (A2)
- 17:04, Lekkas S. ↓, Kerkola P. ↑,
- 17:36, Curry P. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (0 - 1)
- 04:58, 4 - 1, Borchardt C. (G), Curry P. (A), Ketola J. (A2)
- 12:48, Martel D. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (1 - 0)
- 11:56, Maatta R. (2 min),
- 13:20, Curry P. (2 min),
- 15:10, 5 - 1, Jarvinen J. (G), Noiva N. (A), Ylitalo O. (A2)
Chances of winning
Ässät
40.4% | Draw
24.6% | KalPa
34.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Ässät - KalPa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.34 ↓
(2.52) |
3.74 ↑
(3.58) |
2.71 ↑
(2.62) |
6.4%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ässät won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- KalPa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, KalPa has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ässät won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 48:48. (average 2.4:2.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ässät won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:19. (average 2.4:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Ässät won against KalPa?
Ässät has won 9 of their last 20 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has KalPa won against Ässät?
KalPa has won 11 of their last 20 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ässät - KalPa were as follows:
24.09.2025
KalPa
-
Ässät
4:7
09.04.2025
KalPa
-
Ässät
3:2
07.04.2025
Ässät
-
KalPa
5:0
04.04.2025
KalPa
-
Ässät
0:2
02.04.2025
Ässät
-
KalPa
1:2
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 30 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 106:71 | 60 |
| 2 | Assat | 31 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 95:77 | 55 |
| 3 | Lukko | 30 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 94:76 | 55 |
| 4 | KooKoo | 30 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 103:81 | 53 |
| 5 | JYP | 27 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 104:82 | 52 |
| 6 | SaiPa | 30 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 103:81 | 52 |
| 7 | KalPa | 29 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 92:95 | 46 |
| 8 | Ilves | 29 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 81:86 | 44 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 31 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 81:91 | 44 |
| 10 | TPS Turku | 32 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 75:82 | 43 |
| 11 | Pelicans | 29 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 60:69 | 41 |
| 12 | Jukurit | 31 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 69:85 | 39 |
| 13 | IFK Helsinki | 31 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 63:100 | 37 |
| 14 | Hameenlinna | 30 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 73:83 | 37 |
| 15 | Karpat | 30 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 92:103 | 33 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 28 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 63:92 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
