Result
4:7
24/09/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2 |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.77 | 3.17 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 30 | 22 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 13.33% (4/30) | 31.82% (7/22) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 15 | 26 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 71.43% (15/21) | 86.67% (26/30) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 16.67% (1/6) | 40% (2/5) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 60% (3/5) | 83.33% (5/6) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 25 | 26 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 49.02 | 50.98 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 1)
- 00:09, Tammela J. (2 min),
- 07:54, 0 - 1, Vanhatalo L. (G), Tammela J. (A), Tiivola P. (A2)
- 14:51, Puutio K. (2 min),
- 18:33, Puutio K. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (2 - 3)
- 00:39, 1 - 1, Hartikainen T. (G), Maenpaa J. (A), Borchardt C. (A2)
- 04:20, 1 - 2, Maatta R. (G), Jarvinen J. (A), Tammela J. (A2)
- 05:21, Karlsson A. (2 min),
- 06:57, 1 - 3, Martel D. (G), Tiivola P. (A), Lipiainen V. (A2)
- 07:23, Curry P. (2 min),
- 07:29, 1 - 4, Puutio K. (G), Tammela J. (A), Jarvinen J. (A2)
- 10:58, Vanhatalo L. (2 min),
- 13:48, Ketola J. (2 min),
- 17:50, Nurmi P. (2 min),
- 19:27, 2 - 4, Ketola J. (G), Westerlund F. (A), Korhonen B. (A2)
- 3rd Period (2 - 3)
- 04:23, 3 - 4, Borchardt C. (G), Curry P. (A), Kanak L. (A2)
- 06:21, 3 - 5, Martel D. (G),
- 06:55, 3 - 6, Noiva N. (G), Sebok B. (A),
- 08:36, Gallet H. (2 min),
- 16:11, Korhonen B. (2 min),
- 16:37, 4 - 6, Rissanen J. (G), Kapanen K. (A),
- 18:44, 4 - 7, Tammela J. (G),
- 19:24, Nilsson O. (2 min),
Chances of winning
KalPa
44.7% | Draw
23.4% | Ässät
32% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
KalPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Ässät has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for KalPa than the current prediction. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ässät than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
KalPa - Ässät Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↑
(1.93) |
4.14 ↑
(3.95) |
2.95 ↓
(3.38) |
3.5%
(6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
What is the prediction for KalPa - Ässät?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. KalPa will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Ässät will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KalPa won 3.
- In recent matches, KalPa has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Ässät is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- KalPa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- KalPa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, KalPa won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 45:44. (average 2.3:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, KalPa won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:19. (average 2.5:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has KalPa won against Ässät?
KalPa has won 11 of their last 19 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ässät won against KalPa?
Ässät has won 8 of their last 19 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between KalPa - Ässät were as follows:
09.04.2025
KalPa
-
Ässät
3:2
07.04.2025
Ässät
-
KalPa
5:0
04.04.2025
KalPa
-
Ässät
0:2
02.04.2025
Ässät
-
KalPa
1:2
31.03.2025
KalPa
-
Ässät
4:1
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | TPS Turku | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17:13 | 15 |
| 2 | Kiekko-Espoo | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 21:16 | 14 |
| 3 | Assat | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:10 | 12 |
| 4 | Tappara | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:9 | 12 |
| 5 | JYP | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:14 | 12 |
| 6 | Lukko | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22:19 | 9 |
| 7 | KooKoo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:22 | 8 |
| 8 | KalPa | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:25 | 8 |
| 9 | SaiPa | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 19:20 | 7 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12:16 | 7 |
| 11 | Vaasan Sport | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14:15 | 6 |
| 12 | Karpat | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:18 | 6 |
| 13 | Jukurit | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:18 | 6 |
| 14 | Hameenlinna | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10:16 | 6 |
| 15 | Ilves | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17:23 | 5 |
| 16 | IFK Helsinki | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14:23 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Liiga (Play Out: )
