Result
3:2
09/04/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liiga - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.67 | 3.14 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 28 | 23 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 22 | 14 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 10.71% (3/28) | 8.7% (2/23) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 21 | 25 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 91.3% (21/23) | 89.29% (25/28) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/1) | 100% (1/1) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/1) | 100% (1/1) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 26 | 28 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 48.15 | 51.85 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 0)
- 05:55, 1 - 0, Kapanen K. (G), Lappalainen L. (A), Kombe K. (A2)
- 2nd Period (2 - 0)
- 13:05, 2 - 0, Korhonen B. (G), Kiiskinen T. (A), Karjalainen J. (A2)
- 14:34, 3 - 0, Maenpaa J. (G), Westerlund F. (A), Okany A. (A2)
- 3rd Period (0 - 2)
- 05:39, 3 - 1, Ojantakanen K. (G), Viljanen V. (A), Lipiainen V. (A2)
- 07:50, Lappalainen L. (2 min),
- 08:54, 3 - 2, Talaja R. (G), Puutio K. (A), Hameenaho L. (A2)
- 17:39, Tammela J. (2 min),
Chances of winning
KalPa
49.4% | Draw
24% | Ässät
26.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
KalPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Ässät has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for KalPa than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ässät than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
KalPa - Ässät Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.91 ↑
(1.83) |
3.91 ↓
(4) |
3.52 ↓
(3.7) |
6.4%
(6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 4.50
Preview Facts
- 7th leg. Series tied 3-3.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches KalPa won 3.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- KalPa will have a small advantage in this match.
- Our prediction for today's KalPa to win the game is with odds 1.89.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches KalPa won 10 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 44:45 (average 2.2:2.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams KalPa won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 24:20 (average 2.4:2).
How many head-to-head matches has KalPa won against Ässät?
KalPa has won 10 of their last 18 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ässät won against KalPa?
Ässät has won 8 of their last 18 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between KalPa - Ässät were as follows:
07.04.2025
Ässät
-
KalPa
5:0
04.04.2025
KalPa
-
Ässät
0:2
02.04.2025
Ässät
-
KalPa
1:2
31.03.2025
KalPa
-
Ässät
4:1
28.03.2025
Ässät
-
KalPa
1:3
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Assat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 | Hameenlinna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | IFK Helsinki | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Ilves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 | JYP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 | KalPa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 | Lukko | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 | Pelicans | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 | SaiPa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 | Tappara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | Karpat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 | KooKoo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 | Vaasan Sport | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 | Jukurit | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 | Kiekko-Espoo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Liiga (Play Out: )
