Result
2:3 OT
30/01/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.11 | 2.47 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 27 | 20 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 7.41% (2/27) | 15% (3/20) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 17 | 25 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 89.47% (17/19) | 92.59% (25/27) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 100% (2/2) | 0% (0/2) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (2/2) | 0% (0/2) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 25 | 26 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 49.02 | 50.98 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (2 - 0)
- 07:32, Nyman L. (2 min),
- 08:29, 1 - 0, Curry P. (G), Lappalainen L. (A), Rissanen J. (A2)
- 10:47, Fabre D. (2 min),
- 11:39, 2 - 0, Saarelainen J. (G), Westerlund F. (A), Kapanen K. (A2)
- 2nd Period (0 - 0)
- 3rd Period (0 - 2)
- 01:25, 2 - 1, Viljanen V. (G),
- 06:04, Borchardt C. (2 min),
- 14:12, Mononen V. (2 min),
- 17:15, 2 - 2, Knihti F. (G), Jarvinen J. (A), Viljanen V. (A2)
- Overtime (0 - 1)
- 01:08, 2 - 3, Maatta R. (G), Alasiurua A. (A), Fabre D. (A2)
Chances of winning
KalPa
55.7% | Draw
21.2% | Ässät
23.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
KalPa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in KalPa's performance.Ässät has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for KalPa than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with KalPa that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ässät than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
KalPa - Ässät Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.67 ↓
(1.85) |
4.33 ↑
(3.94) |
4.06 ↑
(3.63) |
7.8%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
What is the prediction for KalPa - Ässät?
Users Predictions:
2 users predict this event. KalPa will win (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KalPa won 1.
- KalPa is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Ässät's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- KalPa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, KalPa is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, KalPa won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 48:50. (average 2.4:2.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, KalPa won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 29:26. (average 2.6:2.4).
How many head-to-head matches has KalPa won against Ässät?
KalPa has won 11 of their last 21 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ässät won against KalPa?
Ässät has won 10 of their last 21 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between KalPa - Ässät were as follows:
28.11.2025
Ässät
-
KalPa
5:1
24.09.2025
KalPa
-
Ässät
4:7
09.04.2025
KalPa
-
Ässät
3:2
07.04.2025
Ässät
-
KalPa
5:0
04.04.2025
KalPa
-
Ässät
0:2
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 51 | 31 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 188:125 | 100 |
| 2 | KooKoo | 50 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 181:123 | 96 |
| 3 | SaiPa | 51 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 173:139 | 94 |
| 4 | Lukko | 52 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 160:132 | 92 |
| 5 | KalPa | 51 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 153:144 | 90 |
| 6 | Ilves | 51 | 24 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 158:129 | 90 |
| 7 | JYP | 49 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 165:147 | 88 |
| 8 | Assat | 52 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 145:143 | 82 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 51 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 128:145 | 71 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 51 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 113:135 | 69 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 52 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 123:143 | 67 |
| 12 | IFK Helsinki | 50 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 116:162 | 66 |
| 13 | Hameenlinna | 52 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 124:145 | 64 |
| 14 | Karpat | 53 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 157:172 | 60 |
| 15 | Jukurit | 51 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 115:140 | 59 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 51 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 99:174 | 39 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
