Result
0:2
30/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 18
- Referee: Karabaev S. (Kaz)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 32', Tokhtarov N. 🟨,
- 36', 0 - 1, Gripshi N. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Geoffrey C. ↓, Karimov R. ↑,
- 46', Oralbay E. ↓, Chunchukov T. ↑,
- 46', Sapanov M. ↓, Gadrani G. ↑,
- 58', Smykov K. ↓, Tsitskishvili Z. ↑,
- 62', Kaplenko N. 🟨,
- 65', Kazukolovas K. ↓, Kalaica B. ↑,
- 65', Ebong M. ↓, Amanovic A. ↑,
- 71', 0 - 2, Tomasov M. ⚽, Camara O. (A),
- 76', Tomasov M. ↓, Basmanov S. ↑,
- 76', Kaldybekov E. ↓, Dzhumatov R. ↑,
- 77', Basmanov S. 🟨,
- 80', Camara O. ↓, Astanov E. ↑,
- 87', Trufanov Y. ↓, Kozlov E. ↑,
- 88', Astanov E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Atyrau
12.9% | Draw
19.4% | Astana
67.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atyrau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Astana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atyrau than the current prediction. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Astana than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Astana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Atyrau - Astana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.06 ↓
(8.72) |
4.69 ↓
(5.01) |
1.35 ↑
(1.32) |
9.8%
(7.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Atyrau - Astana?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Astana will win (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation ~ First League and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches Atyrau won 1.
- Atyrau has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games, wins - 0).
- Astana in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games, wins - 4).
- Astana could have advantage in physical - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match, Astana is absolute favorite.
- Our prediction is that Astana will win today's game, with odds 1.33.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atyrau won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 12:48 (average 0.6:2.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams, Atyrau won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 4:14 (average 0.4:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Atyrau won against Astana?
Atyrau has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Astana won against Atyrau?
Astana has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atyrau - Astana were as follows:
26.04.2025
Astana
-
Atyrau
2:1
30.10.2024
Astana
-
Atyrau
3:2
18.05.2024
Atyrau
-
Astana
1:0
22.07.2023
Astana
-
Atyrau
0:0
28.05.2023
Atyrau
-
Astana
0:0
Kazakh Premier League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kairat Almaty | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 41:17 | 24 | 43 |
| 2 | FC Astana | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 41:16 | 25 | 40 |
| 3 | Tobol | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 32:16 | 16 | 38 |
| 4 | Yelimay Semey | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 31:22 | 9 | 35 |
| 5 | Aktobe | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 27:16 | 11 | 33 |
| 6 | Okzhetpes | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 29:25 | 4 | 32 |
| 7 | Ordabasy | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 22:16 | 6 | 28 |
| 8 | Zhenis | 20 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 23:17 | 6 | 28 |
| 9 | Kyzylzhar | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 21:27 | -6 | 21 |
| 10 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 15:31 | -16 | 19 |
| 11 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 20 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 19:32 | -13 | 18 |
| 12 | Turan | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 15:39 | -24 | 15 |
| 13 | Ulytau | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 11:26 | -15 | 14 |
| 14 | Atyrau | 20 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 13:40 | -27 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ First League
