Astana vs Vitoria Guimarães – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League Astana - Vitoria Guimarães
Result
1:1
28/11/2024 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 4
  • Referee: Dabanovic N. (Mne)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 9
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 1
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceCANAL+ Foot
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
icelandIcelandViaplay
israelIsraelSport 1
norwayNorwayViaplay
portugalPortugalDAZN 1
swedenSwedenDisney+
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdombeIN Sports MENA English 2, Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 2
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.602.25
Ball Possession
35%65%
Goal Attempts
634
Shots on Goal
47
Shots off Goal
218
Blocked Shots
09
Free Kicks
1112
Corner Kicks
111
Offsides
30
Throw-ins
2121
Goalkeeper Saves
63
Fouls
1211
Yellow Cards
54
Total Passes
301537
Completed Passes
214456
Crosses Completed
310
Interceptions
710

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 40', 1 - 0, Kalaica B. , Bartolec K. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 58', Tiago Silva 🟨,
  • 64', Geoffrey C. 🟨,
  • 64', Miguel Maga , Mendes J. ,
  • 64', Oliveira N. , Ramirez J. ,
  • 64', Mendes J. , Bica ,
  • 77', Costa A. 🟨,
  • 79', Tiago Silva , Handel T. ,
  • 79', Kaio Cesar , Arcanjo T. ,
  • 81', Ebong M. 🟨,
  • 82', Geoffrey C. , Karimov R. ,
  • 86', Gripshi N. , Osei B. ,
  • 89', 1 - 1, Ramirez J. , Arcanjo T. (A),
  • 90', Condric J. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Handel T. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Ebong M. , Marochkin A. ,
  • 90+4', Bartolec K. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Amanovic A. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Mendes J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Astana
23.7%
Draw
27.6%
Vitoria Guimarães
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.7% 26.1% 52.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.3% 25.4% 50.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Astana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • Vitoria Guimarães has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Astana than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • Astana - Vitoria Guimarães Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.03
    (4.2)
    3.39
    (3.5)
    1.94
    (1.75)
    6%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Astana - Vitoria Guimarães?
  • Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Astana will win (votes: 4 - 11.4%). Guimarães will win (votes: 27 - 77.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 11.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Guimarães: 63.2%91%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • In this match Guimarães is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Guimarães: Fernandes J. (Shoulder Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Astana
    23.11.2024 Zhenis - Astana 0:2
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    07.11.2024 Paphos - Astana 1:0
    03.11.2024 Tobol Kostanay - Astana 1:0
    30.10.2024 Astana - Atyrau 3:2
    Latest results of Vitoria Guimarães
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Zrinjski11005:053
    2AEK Larnaca11004:043
    3Sparta Prague11004:133
    4Lech Poznan11004:133
    5Lausanne11003:033
    6Celje11003:123
    7Crystal Palace11002:023
    8Rayo Vallecano11002:023
    9Fiorentina11002:023
    10Rakow11002:023
    11Shakhtar Donetsk11003:213
    12Strasbourg11002:113
    13Mainz11001:013
    14Samsunspor11001:013
    15Jagiellonia11001:013
    16Noah11001:013
    17Drita10101:101
    18KuPS10101:101
    19Hacken10100:001
    20Shelbourne10100:001
    21Aberdeen10012:3-10
    22Slovan Bratislava10011:2-10
    23Rijeka10010:1-10
    24Omonia10010:1-10
    25Legia10010:1-10
    26Hamrun10010:1-10
    27AEK Athens FC10011:3-20
    28Sigma Olomouc10010:2-20
    29Dyn. Kyiv10010:2-20
    30Shkendija10010:2-20
    31Univ. Craiova10010:2-20
    32SK Rapid10011:4-30
    33Shamrock Rovers10011:4-30
    34Breidablik10010:3-30
    35AZ Alkmaar10010:4-40
    36Lincoln Red Imps10010:5-50

          Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
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