Manchester City vs Aston Villa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

22/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Etihad Stadium (Manchester).

Premier League - Round 34
Referee: Pawson C. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, Showmax, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Arabia, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League, Sky Sport Austria Top Event
Belgium	Play Sports 1, VOOsport World 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport
Denmark	See, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 2
France	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 1
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Premier League
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now E, NOW Premier League 1, Now Sports Premier League TV
Hungary	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	Siminn Sport
India	Jiocinema
Indonesia	Vidio
Ireland	NOW, Shabake 3
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Sooka
Malta	TSN Malta 2
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	Sky Sport NOW
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Serbia	Arena Premium 1, Arena Premium 2
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	SuperSport Grandstand, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
South-america	ESPN South
South-korea	SPOTV Now
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 1
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	NBC Sports App, NBC Universo, NBC, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW, USA Network
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.09	1.68
Ball Possession
62%	38%
Total shots
14	7
Shots on target
6	3
Big Chances
2	4
Corner Kicks
10	2
Passes
90% (430/478)	81% (245/301)
Yellow Cards
3	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09	1.68
xG on target (xGOT)
1.42	1.23
Total shots
14	7
Shots on target
6	3
Shots off target
6	3
Blocked Shots
2	1
Shots inside the Box
10	6
Shots outside the Box
4	1
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
2	4
Corner Kicks
10	2
Touches in opposition box
24	23
Through passes
0% (0/1)	50% (1/2)
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
10	9
Passes
90% (430/478)	81% (245/301)
Long passes
40% (14/35)	48% (21/44)
Passes in final third
80% (131/163)	63% (38/60)
Crosses
38% (9/24)	20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.26	0.35
Fouls
9	10
Tackles
58% (7/12)	69% (11/16)
Duels won
34	41
Clearances Total
15	23
Interceptions
4	2
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	4
xGOT faced
1.23	1.42
Goals prevented
0.23	-0.58

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Silva B. ⚽,
18', 1 - 1, Rashford M. (Pen),
19', Guardiola P. 🟨,
35', Digne L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', Rogers M. 🟨,
61', Cash M. ↓, Disasi A. ↑,
61', Ramsey J. ↓, McGinn J. ↑,
70', Gvardiol J. 🟨,
74', McAtee J. ↓, Doku J. ↑,
76', Rashford M. ↓, Watkins O. ↑,
76', Onana A. ↓, Asensio M. ↑,
77', Nunes M. 🟨,
85', Watkins O. 🟨,
86', Rogers M. ↓, Malen D. ↑,
86', Silva B. 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 1, Nunes M. ⚽, Doku J. (A),
90+6', De Bruyne K. ↓, Akanji M. ↑,

Chances of winning

Manchester City
50.4%

Draw
24.4%

Aston Villa
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

22.3%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

21.4%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manchester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Manchester City's form might have worsened.

Aston Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester City than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manchester City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Manchester City - Aston Villa Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.72)	3.94 ↓ (4.29)	3.82 ↓ (4.36)	4% (4.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Manchester City - Aston Villa?

Users Predictions: 71 users predict this event. Man City will win (votes: 48 - 67.6%). Aston Villa will win (votes: 11 - 15.5%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 16.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Man City: 56.7% – 78.5%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 17 high ROI users predict this event. Man City (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Aston Villa (votes: 4 - 23.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

DC - Aston Villa (votes: 5 - 100%).

O/U 3 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).

AH -0.5 - Aston Villa (votes: 4 - 100%).

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Man City won 2.
Man City in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Aston Villa is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Aston Villa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Man City is a favorite.
There will not play in Man City: Ake N. (Ankle Injury) Ederson (Groin Injury) Haaland E. (Ankle Injury) Rodri (Knee Injury) Stones J. (Thigh Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Man City won 15 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 49:17 (average 2.5:0.9).
Including matches at home between the teams Man City won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 26:6 (average 3.3:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Manchester City won against Aston Villa?

Manchester City has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Aston Villa won against Manchester City?

Aston Villa has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Manchester City - Aston Villa were as follows:

21.12.2024 Aston Villa - Manchester City 2:1

03.04.2024 Manchester City - Aston Villa 4:1

06.12.2023 Aston Villa - Manchester City 1:0

12.02.2023 Manchester City - Aston Villa 3:1

03.09.2022 Aston Villa - Manchester City 1:1

Latest results of Manchester City

19.04.2025 Everton - Manchester City 0:2 ✺

12.04.2025 Manchester City - Crystal Palace 5:2 ✺

06.04.2025 Manchester United - Manchester City 0:0 ✺

02.04.2025 Manchester City - Leicester City 2:0 ✺

30.03.2025 Bournemouth - Manchester City 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Aston Villa

19.04.2025 Aston Villa - Newcastle United 4:1 ✺

15.04.2025 Aston Villa - Paris Saint-Germain 3:2 ✺

12.04.2025 Southampton - Aston Villa 0:3 ✺

09.04.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Aston Villa 3:1 ✺

05.04.2025 Aston Villa - Nottingham Forest 2:1 ✺

English Premier League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Chelsea	2	1	1	0	5:1	4	4
2	Manchester City	1	1	0	0	4:0	4	3
3	Sunderland	1	1	0	0	3:0	3	3
4	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	3:0	3	3
5	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	4:2	2	3
6	Nottingham	1	1	0	0	3:1	2	3
7	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	1:0	1	3
8	Leeds	1	1	0	0	1:0	1	3
9	Fulham	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
10	Brighton	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
11	Newcastle	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1
12	Crystal Palace	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1
13	Aston Villa	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1
14	Everton	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
15	Manchester Utd	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
16	Bournemouth	1	0	0	1	2:4	-2	0
17	Brentford	1	0	0	1	1:3	-2	0
18	Burnley	1	0	0	1	0:3	-3	0
19	Wolves	1	0	0	1	0:4	-4	0
20	West Ham	2	0	0	2	1:8	-7	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Relegation ~ Championship