Aston Villa vs Manchester City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

26/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Villa Park (Birmingham).

Premier League - Round 9
Referee: Oliver M. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, Supersport Action, SuperSport MaXimo 1
Albania	SuperSport 3
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Mix
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 1
Belgium	Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 4 DRM
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport
Denmark	TV3+, Viaplay
Europe	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
France	Canal+ Live 2
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, Sky Sport Mix, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Premier League
Hong-kong	M Plus Live
Hungary	Match 4
Iceland	SÝN Sport 2
India	Disney+ Hotstar
Indonesia	Vidio
Ireland	NOW
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 2, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Mongolia	Premier Sports 3
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Nepal	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	Sky Sport 4
Nigeria	SuperSport Action, Supersport Maximo 1
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Canal+ Extra 3
Portugal	DAZN 3, DAZN / App
Romania	Voyo
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	Hub Premier 3
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Variety 3
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN 1 Bar Espana, DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana, M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	Sky Sport Mix
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 4
Tajikistan	Futbol TV, Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	AIS PLAY
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	NBC Sports App, NBC, SiriusXM FC, Telemundo, USA Network
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	K+ Sport 2, K+, TV 360
World	Sport 24 Extra

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.57	1.05
Ball Possession
47%	53%
Total shots
9	18
Shots on target
3	4
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
5	6
Passes
86% (378/441)	90% (442/492)
Yellow Cards
1	4
Expected Goals (xG)
0.57	1.05
xG on target (xGOT)
0.55	0.21
Total shots
9	18
Shots on target
3	4
Shots off target
1	5
Blocked Shots
5	9
Shots inside the Box
6	14
Shots outside the Box
3	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
5	6
Touches in opposition box
24	33
Accurate through passes
0	2
Offsides
1	3
Free Kicks
16	8
Passes
86% (378/441)	90% (442/492)
Long passes
39% (23/59)	50% (10/20)
Passes in final third
60% (52/87)	81% (140/173)
Crosses
25% (3/12)	33% (7/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.53	1.10
Throw-ins
13	14
Fouls
8	16
Tackles
56% (10/18)	57% (8/14)
Duels won
42	41
Clearances
19	18
Interceptions
7	11
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	2
xGOT faced
0.21	0.55
Goals prevented
0.21	-0.45

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Cash M. ⚽, Buendia E. (A),
29', Buendia E. ↓, Sancho J. ↑,
40', Savinho 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Reijnders T. 🟨,
61', Silva B. ↓, Nico ↑,
61', Bobb O. ↓, Doku J. ↑,
61', Stones J. ↓, O'Reilly N. ↑,
64', Nico 🟨,
74', McGinn J. ↓, Barkley R. ↑,
74', Sancho J. ↓, Guessand E. ↑,
76', Reijnders T. ↓, Cherki R. ↑,
80', Foden P. 🟨,
81', Kamara B. 🟨,
84', Savinho ↓, Marmoush O. ↑,
86', Watkins O. ↓, Malen D. ↑,
86', Digne L. ↓, Maatsen I. ↑,

Chances of winning

Aston Villa
35.7%

Draw
33.9%

Manchester City
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.9%

25.6%

49.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4%

27.2%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aston Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aston Villa's performance.

Manchester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Manchester City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aston Villa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester City than the current prediction. (+22.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Manchester City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Aston Villa - Manchester City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.54 ↓ (3.83)	3.9 ↑ (3.73)	4.96 ↑ (1.92)	-26% (5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Aston Villa - Manchester City?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Man City (1.75) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

DC - Aston Villa (1.98) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Aston Villa (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 4 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 4.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Manchester City will win (96 of 115 users predict this - 83.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.69% – 90.27%. The data is statistically significant.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Manchester City will win (53 of 58 users predict this - 91.38%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 64 Selected Experts predict this event. Aston Villa (votes: 4 - 6.3%). Man City (votes: 56 - 87.5%). Tie (votes: 4 - 6.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 2.
Aston Villa is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Man City is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Aston Villa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Man City is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Aston Villa: Garcia A. (Injury) Tielemans Y. (Calf Injury)
There will not play in Man City: Khusanov A. (Ankle Injury) Rodri (Hamstring Injury)
There are questionable in Aston Villa: Digne L. (Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in Man City: Nico (Foot Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 18:50. (average 0.9:2.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Aston Villa won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:22. (average 1:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Aston Villa won against Manchester City?

Aston Villa has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Manchester City won against Aston Villa?

Manchester City has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Aston Villa - Manchester City were as follows:

22.04.2025 Manchester City - Aston Villa 2:1

21.12.2024 Aston Villa - Manchester City 2:1

03.04.2024 Manchester City - Aston Villa 4:1

06.12.2023 Aston Villa - Manchester City 1:0

12.02.2023 Manchester City - Aston Villa 3:1

Latest results of Aston Villa

23.10.2025 Go Ahead Eagles - Aston Villa 2:1 ✺

19.10.2025 Tottenham Hotspur - Aston Villa 1:2 ✺

05.10.2025 Aston Villa - Burnley 2:1 ✺

02.10.2025 Feyenoord - Aston Villa 0:2 ✺

28.09.2025 Aston Villa - Fulham 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Manchester City

21.10.2025 Villarreal - Manchester City 0:2 ✺

18.10.2025 Manchester City - Everton 2:0 ✺

05.10.2025 Brentford - Manchester City 0:1 ✺

01.10.2025 Monaco - Manchester City 2:2 ✺

27.09.2025 Manchester City - Burnley 5:1 ✺

English Premier League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Arsenal	32	21	7	4	62:24	38	70
2	Manchester City	31	19	7	5	63:28	35	64
3	Manchester Utd	31	15	10	6	56:43	13	55
4	Aston Villa	32	16	7	9	43:38	5	55
5	Liverpool	32	15	7	10	52:42	10	52
6	Chelsea	32	13	9	10	53:41	12	48
7	Brentford	32	13	8	11	48:44	4	47
8	Everton	32	13	8	11	39:37	2	47
9	Brighton	32	12	10	10	43:37	6	46
10	Sunderland	32	12	10	10	33:36	-3	46
11	Bournemouth	32	10	15	7	48:49	-1	45
12	Fulham	32	13	5	14	43:46	-3	44
13	Crystal Palace	31	11	9	11	35:36	-1	42
14	Newcastle	32	12	6	14	45:47	-2	42
15	Leeds	31	7	12	12	37:48	-11	33
16	Nottingham	32	8	9	15	32:44	-12	33
17	West Ham	32	8	8	16	40:57	-17	32
18	Tottenham	32	7	9	16	40:51	-11	30
19	Burnley	32	4	8	20	33:63	-30	20
20	Wolves	32	3	8	21	24:58	-34	17

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Relegation ~ Championship