Aston Villa vs Manchester City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English Premier League Aston Villa - Manchester City
26/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Aston Villa
24%
Draw
24.8%
Manchester City
51.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.9% 25.6% 49.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4% 27.2% 52.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aston Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Manchester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester City than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • Aston Villa - Manchester City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.01
    (3.83)
    3.94
    (3.73)
    1.9
    (1.92)
    3%
    (5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Aston Villa - Manchester City?
  • Users Predictions: Manchester City will win (16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 82.94%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Manchester City will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 2.
    • Both teams have recently enjoyed a winning streak.
    • Man City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Man City is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 18:50. (average 0.9:2.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Aston Villa won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:22. (average 1:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aston Villa - Manchester City were as follows:
    22.04.2025 Manchester City - Aston Villa 2:1
    21.12.2024 Aston Villa - Manchester City 2:1
    03.04.2024 Manchester City - Aston Villa 4:1
    06.12.2023 Aston Villa - Manchester City 1:0
    12.02.2023 Manchester City - Aston Villa 3:1
    Latest results of Aston Villa
    05.10.2025 Aston Villa - Burnley 2:1
    02.10.2025 Feyenoord - Aston Villa 0:2
    28.09.2025 Aston Villa - Fulham 3:1
    Latest results of Manchester City
    English Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal861115:31219
    2Manchester City851217:61116
    3Liverpool850314:11315
    4Bournemouth843114:11315
    5Chelsea842216:9714
    6Tottenham842214:7714
    7Sunderland84229:6314
    8Crystal Palace834112:8413
    9Manchester Utd841311:12-113
    10Brighton833212:11112
    11Aston Villa83328:8012
    12Everton83239:9011
    13Brentford831411:12-110
    14Newcastle82337:709
    15Fulham82248:12-48
    16Leeds82247:13-68
    17Burnley82159:15-67
    18Nottingham81255:15-105
    19West Ham81166:18-124
    20Wolves80265:16-112

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Championship