Result
26/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Aston Villa
24% | Draw
24.8% | Manchester City
51.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aston Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Manchester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester City than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Aston Villa - Manchester City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.01 ↑
(3.83) |
3.94 ↑
(3.73) |
1.9 ↓
(1.92) |
3%
(5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Aston Villa - Manchester City?
Users Predictions:
Manchester City will win
(16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.94% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Manchester City will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 2.
- Both teams have recently enjoyed a winning streak.
- Man City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Man City is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 18:50. (average 0.9:2.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aston Villa won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:22. (average 1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Aston Villa won against Manchester City?
Aston Villa has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Manchester City won against Aston Villa?
Manchester City has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aston Villa - Manchester City were as follows:
22.04.2025
Manchester City
-
Aston Villa
2:1
21.12.2024
Aston Villa
-
Manchester City
2:1
03.04.2024
Manchester City
-
Aston Villa
4:1
06.12.2023
Aston Villa
-
Manchester City
1:0
12.02.2023
Manchester City
-
Aston Villa
3:1
Latest results of Aston Villa
Latest results of Manchester City
English Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arsenal | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15:3 | 12 | 19 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17:6 | 11 | 16 |
| 3 | Liverpool | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 15 |
| 4 | Bournemouth | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:11 | 3 | 15 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:9 | 7 | 14 |
| 6 | Tottenham | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:7 | 7 | 14 |
| 7 | Sunderland | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 14 |
| 8 | Crystal Palace | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 13 |
| 9 | Manchester Utd | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 13 |
| 10 | Brighton | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:11 | 1 | 12 |
| 11 | Aston Villa | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 | Everton | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 11 |
| 13 | Brentford | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 10 |
| 14 | Newcastle | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7:7 | 0 | 9 |
| 15 | Fulham | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 8 |
| 16 | Leeds | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:13 | -6 | 8 |
| 17 | Burnley | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:15 | -6 | 7 |
| 18 | Nottingham | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:15 | -10 | 5 |
| 19 | West Ham | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6:18 | -12 | 4 |
| 20 | Wolves | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5:16 | -11 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Championship
