Aston Villa vs Manchester City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
26/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 9
  • Referee: Oliver M. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, Supersport Action, SuperSport MaXimo 1
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 3
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 2, Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Mix
azerbaijanAzerbaijanSetanta Sports 1
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 2
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 4 DRM
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicCANAL+ Sport
denmarkDenmarkTV3+, Viaplay
europeEuropeGo3 Extra Sports Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
finlandFinlandViaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
franceFranceCanal+ Live 2
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, Sky Sport Mix, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Premier League
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live
hungaryHungaryMatch 4
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport 2
indiaIndiaDisney+ Hotstar
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
irelandIrelandNOW
israelIsraelSport 1
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio
japanJapanU-NEXT
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3
kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanSetanta Sports 1
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 2, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 1
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 1
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 3
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
nepalNepalKantipur Max
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 4
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Action, Supersport Maximo 1
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 3
portugalPortugalDAZN 3, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaVoyo
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
singaporeSingaporeHub Premier 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 2
south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Variety 3
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN 1 Bar Espana, DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana, M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Mix
taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 4
tajikistanTajikistanFutbol TV, Setanta Sports 1
thailandThailandAIS PLAY
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 1
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomNOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaNBC Sports App, NBC, SiriusXM FC, Telemundo, USA Network
uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 1
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamK+ Sport 2, K+, TV 360
worldWorldSport 24 Extra

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.571.05
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
918
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
56
Passes
86% (378/441)90% (442/492)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
0.571.05
xG on target (xGOT)
0.550.21
Total shots
918
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
15
Blocked Shots
59
Shots inside the Box
614
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
2433
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
168
Passes
86% (378/441)90% (442/492)
Long passes
39% (23/59)50% (10/20)
Passes in final third
60% (52/87)81% (140/173)
Crosses
25% (3/12)33% (7/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.531.10
Throw-ins
1314
Fouls
816
Tackles
56% (10/18)57% (8/14)
Duels won
4241
Clearances
1918
Interceptions
711
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
0.210.55
Goals prevented
0.21-0.45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 19', 1 - 0, Cash M. , Buendia E. (A),
  • 29', Buendia E. , Sancho J. ,
  • 40', Savinho 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 54', Reijnders T. 🟨,
  • 61', Silva B. , Nico ,
  • 61', Bobb O. , Doku J. ,
  • 61', Stones J. , O'Reilly N. ,
  • 64', Nico 🟨,
  • 74', McGinn J. , Barkley R. ,
  • 74', Sancho J. , Guessand E. ,
  • 76', Reijnders T. , Cherki R. ,
  • 80', Foden P. 🟨,
  • 81', Kamara B. 🟨,
  • 84', Savinho , Marmoush O. ,
  • 86', Watkins O. , Malen D. ,
  • 86', Digne L. , Maatsen I. ,

Chances of winning


Aston Villa
35.7%
Draw
33.9%
Manchester City
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.9% 25.6% 49.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4% 27.2% 52.8%

Aston Villa - Manchester City Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.54
(3.83)
3.9
(3.73)
4.96
(1.92)
-26%
(5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Aston Villa - Manchester City?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.5 - Man City (1.75) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • DC - Aston Villa (1.98) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1 - Aston Villa (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 4 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 4.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Manchester City will win (96 of 115 users predict this - 83.48%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 76.69%90.27%. The data is statistically significant.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Manchester City will win (26 of 30 users predict this - 86.67%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 36 high ROI users predict this event. Aston Villa (votes: 4 - 11.1%). Man City (votes: 29 - 80.6%). Tie (votes: 3 - 8.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 2.
    • Aston Villa is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Man City is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Aston Villa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Man City is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Aston Villa: Garcia A. (Injury) Tielemans Y. (Calf Injury)
    • There will not play in Man City: Khusanov A. (Ankle Injury) Rodri (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Aston Villa: Digne L. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Man City: Nico (Foot Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 18:50. (average 0.9:2.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Aston Villa won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:22. (average 1:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aston Villa - Manchester City were as follows:
    22.04.2025 Manchester City - Aston Villa 2:1
    21.12.2024 Aston Villa - Manchester City 2:1
    03.04.2024 Manchester City - Aston Villa 4:1
    06.12.2023 Aston Villa - Manchester City 1:0
    12.02.2023 Manchester City - Aston Villa 3:1
    Latest results of Aston Villa
    05.10.2025 Aston Villa - Burnley 2:1
    02.10.2025 Feyenoord - Aston Villa 0:2
    28.09.2025 Aston Villa - Fulham 3:1
    Latest results of Manchester City
    English Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal22155240:142650
    2Manchester City22134545:212443
    3Aston Villa22134533:25843
    4Liverpool22106633:29436
    5Manchester Utd2298538:32635
    6Chelsea2297636:241234
    7Brentford22103935:30533
    8Newcastle2296732:27533
    9Sunderland2289523:23033
    10Everton2295824:25-132
    11Fulham2294930:31-131
    12Brighton2279632:29330
    13Crystal Palace2277823:25-228
    14Tottenham2276931:29227
    15Bournemouth2269735:41-627
    16Leeds2267930:37-725
    17Nottingham22641221:34-1322
    18West Ham22451324:44-2017
    19Burnley22351423:42-1914
    20Wolves22151615:41-268

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Championship