Result
10/05/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Burnley
18.4% | Draw
22.8% | Aston Villa
58.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Burnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Aston Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Burnley - Aston Villa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.15 ↑
(5.15) |
4.26 ↑
(4.13) |
1.64 ↑
(1.62) |
3.8%
(5.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- Burnley is Relegated to Championship
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burnley won 0.
- Burnley is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Aston Villa has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Aston Villa is a strong favorite.
- We predict that Aston Villa will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Burnley won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:19. (average 1.3:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Burnley won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1.4:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Burnley won against Aston Villa?
Burnley has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aston Villa won against Burnley?
Aston Villa has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Burnley - Aston Villa were as follows:
05.10.2025
Aston Villa
-
Burnley
2:1
30.12.2023
Aston Villa
-
Burnley
3:2
27.08.2023
Burnley
-
Aston Villa
1:3
Latest results of Burnley
Latest results of Aston Villa
English Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arsenal ✔ | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 67:26 | 41 | 76 |
| 2 | Manchester City ✔ | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 66:29 | 37 | 70 |
| 3 | Manchester Utd ✔ | 35 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 63:48 | 15 | 64 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 59:47 | 12 | 58 |
| 5 | Aston Villa | 35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 48:44 | 4 | 58 |
| 6 | Bournemouth | 35 | 12 | 16 | 7 | 55:52 | 3 | 52 |
| 7 | Brentford | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 52:46 | 6 | 51 |
| 8 | Brighton | 35 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 49:42 | 7 | 50 |
| 9 | Chelsea | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 53:45 | 8 | 48 |
| 10 | Fulham | 35 | 14 | 6 | 15 | 44:49 | -5 | 48 |
| 11 | Everton | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 41:41 | 0 | 47 |
| 12 | Sunderland | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 37:46 | -9 | 47 |
| 13 | Newcastle | 35 | 13 | 6 | 16 | 49:51 | -2 | 45 |
| 14 | Leeds | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 47:52 | -5 | 43 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 36:42 | -6 | 43 |
| 16 | Nottingham | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 41:45 | -4 | 39 |
| 17 | Tottenham | 35 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 45:54 | -9 | 37 |
| 18 | West Ham | 35 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 42:61 | -19 | 36 |
| 19 | Burnley ✔ | 35 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 35:71 | -36 | 20 |
| 20 | Wolves ✔ | 35 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 25:63 | -38 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Championship
Clinched Spots for Teams
Arsenal is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
Manchester City is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
Manchester Utd is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
Burnley is Relegated to Championship
Wolves is Relegated to Championship
