Astrakhan vs Chernomorets Novorossiysk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
24/09/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Russian Cup - Regions Path - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
russiaRussiaMatch TV

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 12', 0 - 1, Lozhkin V. ,
  • 26', Zolotorenko D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Maslennikov I. , Levchenkov I. ,
  • 46', Morozov K. , Tarba Z. ,
  • 62', Rodionov I. , Nikolaev O. ,
  • 62', Lozhkin V. , Kasimov T. ,
  • 62', Pomeshkin K. , Zhigulev I. ,
  • 64', 0 - 2, Sutugin I. ,
  • 75', Musaev B. , Zlobin N. ,
  • 75', Shatalov D. , Malysh M. ,
  • 81', Pacho , Predeus I. ,
  • 84', Zarypbekov E. , Alikberov T. ,

Chances of winning


Astrakhan
19.5%
Draw
25.5%
Chernomorets Novorossiysk
55%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
16.9% 23.3% 59.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.2% 21.6% 55.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Astrakhan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • Chernomorets Novorossiysk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Astrakhan than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chernomorets Novorossiysk than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Astrakhan - Chernomorets Novorossiysk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.74
    (5.82)
    3.62
    (4.22)
    1.68
    (1.64)
    8.1%
    (1.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Astrakhan is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Chernomorets has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Astrakhan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Chernomorets is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Astrakhan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Astrakhan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    Latest results of Astrakhan
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1ZenitDynamo Moscow1 : 0, 1 : 3
    2Spartak MoscowLokomotiv Moscow3 : 2, 3 : 1
    3Dynamo MakhachkalaCSKA Moscow1 : 3, 1 : 0
    4OrenburgKrasnodar0 : 4, 1 : 3

    Semi-finals
    1Dynamo MoscowSpartak Moscow
    2CSKA MoscowKrasnodar