Athletic Bilbao B vs Ponferradina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
04/01/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 18
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
129
Shots on target
65
Corner Kicks
63
Yellow Cards
12
Red Cards
01
Total shots
129
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
64
Corner Kicks
63

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 30', Jorrin M. 🟨,
  • 41', Barandalla M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Jorrin M. , Moreno D. ,
  • 57', 1 - 0, Garcia E. ,
  • 61', Vazquez B. 🟨,
  • 64', Sergio Benito , Keita A. ,
  • 64', Ferrer P. , Cortes J. ,
  • 64', Valle B. , Fernandez X. ,
  • 85', Aguilar Elizalde E. 🟥,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Athletic Bilbao B
43%
Draw
30.1%
Ponferradina
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.2% 28% 25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9% 26.5% 24.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Athletic Bilbao B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Ponferradina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao B than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Athletic Bilbao B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • Athletic Bilbao B - Ponferradina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.12
    (1.98)
    2.99
    (3.27)
    3.4
    (3.54)
    10%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletic Bilbao B won 2.
    • Recent performances by Athletic Bilbao B have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Ponferradina has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Athletic Bilbao B is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Athletic Bilbao B won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.8:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Athletic Bilbao B won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Athletic Bilbao B - Ponferradina were as follows:
    23.08.2025 Ponferradina - Athletic Bilbao B 0:1
    03.05.2025 Ponferradina - Athletic Bilbao B 2:0
    11.10.2024 Athletic Bilbao B - Ponferradina 0:0
    24.07.2024 Athletic Bilbao B - Ponferradina 0:1
    Latest results of Athletic Bilbao B
    Latest results of Ponferradina
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife26184447:153258
    2Celta Vigo B26147542:311149
    3Pontevedra261011532:201241
    4Lugo261010626:22440
    5Ponferradina26116928:22639
    6AD Merida26116936:34239
    7Ath Bilbao B26116928:29-139
    8Real Madrid B261151032:34-238
    9Barakaldo26910734:29537
    10Unionistas26107937:33437
    11Racing Club Ferrol261141130:31-137
    12Zamora2699833:31236
    13Arenas Getxo261031330:37-733
    14Real Aviles26951239:45-632
    15Ourense CF26871130:31-131
    16CF Talavera26841428:37-928
    17Cacereno266101025:34-928
    18Guadalajara26671323:40-1725
    19Arenteiro26661423:33-1024
    20Osasuna B26491317:32-1521

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