Athletic Bilbao B vs Ponferradina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
04/01/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 18
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
129
Shots on target
65
Corner Kicks
63
Yellow Cards
12
Red Cards
01
Total shots
129
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
64
Corner Kicks
63

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 30', Jorrin M. 🟨,
  • 41', Barandalla M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Jorrin M. , Moreno D. ,
  • 57', 1 - 0, Garcia E. ,
  • 61', Vazquez B. 🟨,
  • 64', Sergio Benito , Keita A. ,
  • 64', Ferrer P. , Cortes J. ,
  • 64', Valle B. , Fernandez X. ,
  • 85', Aguilar Elizalde E. 🟥,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Athletic Bilbao B
43%
Draw
30.1%
Ponferradina
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.2% 28% 25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9% 26.5% 24.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Athletic Bilbao B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Ponferradina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao B than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Athletic Bilbao B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • Athletic Bilbao B - Ponferradina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.12
    (1.98)
    2.99
    (3.27)
    3.4
    (3.54)
    10%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletic Bilbao B won 2.
    • Recent performances by Athletic Bilbao B have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Ponferradina has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Athletic Bilbao B is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Athletic Bilbao B won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.8:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Athletic Bilbao B won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Athletic Bilbao B - Ponferradina were as follows:
    23.08.2025 Ponferradina - Athletic Bilbao B 0:1
    03.05.2025 Ponferradina - Athletic Bilbao B 2:0
    11.10.2024 Athletic Bilbao B - Ponferradina 0:0
    24.07.2024 Athletic Bilbao B - Ponferradina 0:1
    Latest results of Athletic Bilbao B
    Latest results of Ponferradina
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife32199452:193366
    2Celta Vigo B32169752:421057
    3Real Madrid B321471151:411049
    4Zamora321310943:37649
    5Pontevedra321213738:241449
    6Barakaldo321212841:33848
    7Ponferradina321381136:28847
    8Unionistas321381145:42347
    9Lugo321112932:34-245
    10AD Merida321291142:45-345
    11Arenas Getxo321351438:47-944
    12Ath Bilbao B321281233:36-344
    13Racing Club Ferrol321261435:41-642
    14Real Aviles321171446:53-740
    15Ourense CF329101336:37-137
    16CF Talavera32981532:41-935
    17Guadalajara32981535:47-1235
    18Cacereno327131230:41-1134
    19Osasuna B32791623:38-1530
    20Arenteiro32691729:43-1427

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