Result
1:0
27/02/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 26
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 12 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 37', Gift E. 🟨,
- 38', 1 - 0, Reniero N. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Lete E. ↓, Garcia B. ↑,
- 67', Sanz I. ↓, Hierro A. ↑,
- 77', Reniero N. ↓, Junior L. ↑,
- 77', Haro P. ↓, Unzueta I. ↑,
- 90+3', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lugo
52% | Draw
33.6% | Athletic Bilbao B
14.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lugo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lugo's performance.Athletic Bilbao B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Athletic Bilbao B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (-11.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lugo that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao B than the current prediction. (+13.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Athletic Bilbao B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Lugo - Athletic Bilbao B Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.1 ↓
(2.27) |
3.4 ↑
(2.91) |
8.6 ↑
(3.19) |
-11.3%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lugo won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lugo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Lugo won against Athletic Bilbao B?
Lugo has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Athletic Bilbao B won against Lugo?
Athletic Bilbao B has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lugo - Athletic Bilbao B were as follows:
29.11.2025
Athletic Bilbao B
-
Lugo
2:0
21.02.2025
Athletic Bilbao B
-
Lugo
2:2
02.11.2024
Lugo
-
Athletic Bilbao B
1:0
Latest results of Athletic Bilbao B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 55:20 | 35 | 70 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 56:43 | 13 | 61 |
| 3 | Zamora | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 46:38 | 8 | 55 |
| 4 | Real Madrid B | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 54:43 | 11 | 53 |
| 5 | Pontevedra | 34 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 43:26 | 17 | 53 |
| 6 | Ponferradina | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 38:29 | 9 | 51 |
| 7 | Barakaldo | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 44:34 | 10 | 51 |
| 8 | Unionistas | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 47:44 | 3 | 49 |
| 9 | AD Merida | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 44:47 | -3 | 48 |
| 10 | Arenas Getxo | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 40:49 | -9 | 47 |
| 11 | Lugo | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 32:37 | -5 | 46 |
| 12 | Racing Club Ferrol | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 38:43 | -5 | 46 |
| 13 | Ath Bilbao B | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 34:38 | -4 | 45 |
| 14 | Real Aviles | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 49:56 | -7 | 42 |
| 15 | Ourense CF | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 38:40 | -2 | 38 |
| 16 | CF Talavera | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 33:43 | -10 | 36 |
| 17 | Guadalajara | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 37:52 | -15 | 36 |
| 18 | Cacereno | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 31:45 | -14 | 35 |
| 19 | Osasuna B | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 24:39 | -15 | 33 |
| 20 | Arenteiro | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 29:46 | -17 | 27 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
