Real Madrid Castilla vs Athletic Bilbao B – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

13/02/2026 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Alfredo di Stéfano Stadium (Madrid).

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 24
Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+, Movistar Plus+

Match Stats


Ball possession
60%	40%
Total shots
7	9
Shots on target
4	5
Corner kicks
3	7
Yellow cards
1	2
Total shots
7	9
Shots on target
4	5
Shots off target
3	4
Corner kicks
3	7

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Sanchez I. ⚽,
22', 1 - 1, Fortuny P. ⚽,
28', Sanchez I. ↓, Korkut E. ↑,
28', Dunabeitia A. ↓, Izagirre Cestona A. ↑,
39', Huestamendia P. 🟨,
45+4', Garcia E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Perea C. ↓, Cestero Sancho J. ↑,
46', Huestamendia P. ↓, Perez A. ↑,
57', Iglesias Lois B. ↓, Palacios C. ↑,
66', Fortuny P. ↓, Leiva A. ↑,
73', Martinez J. 🟨,
77', Zuniga L. ↓, Martin R. ↑,
77', Yanez D. ↓, Mesonero D. ↑,
80', Gift E. ↓, Bujan E. ↑,
88', Sanz I. ↓, Pecina A. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 1, Palacios C. ⚽,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Real Madrid Castilla
40%

Draw
30.7%

Athletic Bilbao B
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

29%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

30%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid Castilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Madrid Castilla's form might have worsened.

Athletic Bilbao B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Madrid Castilla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao B than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Athletic Bilbao B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Real Madrid Castilla - Athletic Bilbao B Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2)	2.99 ↓ (3.2)	3.17 ↓ (3.78)	8.3% (7.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

Preview Facts

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid Castilla won 2.
Recent form of Real Madrid Castilla has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Athletic Bilbao B has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Real Madrid Castilla could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid Castilla won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 0.8:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Real Madrid Castilla won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid Castilla won against Athletic Bilbao B?

Real Madrid Castilla has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Athletic Bilbao B won against Real Madrid Castilla?

Athletic Bilbao B has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid Castilla - Athletic Bilbao B were as follows:

14.09.2025 Athletic Bilbao B - Real Madrid Castilla 1:0

Latest results of Real Madrid Castilla

08.02.2026 Pontevedra - Real Madrid Castilla 0:0 ✺

30.01.2026 Real Madrid Castilla - Osasuna B 1:1 ✺

25.01.2026 Tenerife - Real Madrid Castilla 4:2 ✺

18.01.2026 Real Madrid Castilla - Mérida AD 1:1 ✺

10.01.2026 Arenas Club de Getxo - Real Madrid Castilla 4:1 ✺

Latest results of Athletic Bilbao B

07.02.2026 Athletic Bilbao B - Tenerife 0:0 ✺

30.01.2026 Arenteiro - Athletic Bilbao B 1:1 ✺

25.01.2026 Athletic Bilbao B - Barakaldo 2:0 ✺

16.01.2026 Athletic Bilbao B - Real Avilés 0:1 ✺

10.01.2026 Ferrol - Athletic Bilbao B 0:1 ✺

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Tenerife	31	19	8	4	51:18	33	65
2	Celta Vigo B	31	15	9	7	47:42	5	54
3	Ponferradina	31	13	8	10	35:25	10	47
4	Barakaldo	31	12	11	8	40:32	8	47
5	Real Madrid B	31	13	7	11	46:41	5	46
6	Zamora	31	12	10	9	42:37	5	46
7	Pontevedra	31	11	13	7	35:23	12	46
8	Lugo	31	11	12	8	30:30	0	45
9	Unionistas	31	12	8	11	44:42	2	44
10	Ath Bilbao B	31	12	8	11	33:35	-2	44
11	AD Merida	31	12	8	11	41:44	-3	44
12	Arenas Getxo	31	13	5	13	38:42	-4	44
13	Racing Club Ferrol	31	12	6	13	35:36	-1	42
14	Real Aviles	31	10	7	14	45:53	-8	37
15	CF Talavera	31	9	8	14	32:40	-8	35
16	Guadalajara	31	9	8	14	35:46	-11	35
17	Ourense CF	31	8	10	13	32:35	-3	34
18	Cacereno	31	6	13	12	29:41	-12	31
19	Osasuna B	31	7	9	15	23:37	-14	30
20	Arenteiro	31	6	8	17	28:42	-14	26

      Promotion ~ LaLiga2
      Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
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