Result
2:1
13/02/2026 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 24
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+, Movistar Plus+ |
Match Stats
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| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
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| 7 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
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| 4 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 3 | 7 |
| Yellow cards |
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| 1 | 2 |
| Total shots |
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| 7 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
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| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
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| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 3 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', 0 - 1, Sanchez I. ⚽,
- 22', 1 - 1, Fortuny P. ⚽,
- 28', Sanchez I. ↓, Korkut E. ↑,
- 28', Dunabeitia A. ↓, Izagirre Cestona A. ↑,
- 39', Huestamendia P. 🟨,
- 45+4', Garcia E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Perea C. ↓, Cestero Sancho J. ↑,
- 46', Huestamendia P. ↓, Perez A. ↑,
- 57', Iglesias Lois B. ↓, Palacios C. ↑,
- 66', Fortuny P. ↓, Leiva A. ↑,
- 73', Martinez J. 🟨,
- 77', Zuniga L. ↓, Martin R. ↑,
- 77', Yanez D. ↓, Mesonero D. ↑,
- 80', Gift E. ↓, Bujan E. ↑,
- 88', Sanz I. ↓, Pecina A. ↑,
- 90+2', 2 - 1, Palacios C. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Real Madrid Castilla
40% | Draw
30.7% | Athletic Bilbao B
29.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Madrid Castilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Madrid Castilla's form might have worsened.Athletic Bilbao B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (+8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Madrid Castilla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao B than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Athletic Bilbao B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Real Madrid Castilla - Athletic Bilbao B Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.31 ↑
(2) |
2.99 ↓
(3.2) |
3.17 ↓
(3.78) |
8.3%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid Castilla won 2.
- Recent form of Real Madrid Castilla has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Athletic Bilbao B has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Real Madrid Castilla could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid Castilla won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 0.8:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Real Madrid Castilla won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid Castilla won against Athletic Bilbao B?
Real Madrid Castilla has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Athletic Bilbao B won against Real Madrid Castilla?
Athletic Bilbao B has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid Castilla - Athletic Bilbao B were as follows:
14.09.2025
Athletic Bilbao B
-
Real Madrid Castilla
1:0
Latest results of Real Madrid Castilla
Latest results of Athletic Bilbao B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 25 | 18 | 3 | 4 | 45:13 | 32 | 57 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 41:30 | 11 | 48 |
| 3 | Pontevedra | 25 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 32:20 | 12 | 40 |
| 4 | Ath Bilbao B | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 28:28 | 0 | 39 |
| 5 | AD Merida | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 35:33 | 2 | 38 |
| 6 | Real Madrid B | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 32:33 | -1 | 38 |
| 7 | Barakaldo | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 33:27 | 6 | 37 |
| 8 | Lugo | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 25:22 | 3 | 37 |
| 9 | Racing Club Ferrol | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 29:28 | 1 | 37 |
| 10 | Ponferradina | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 27:22 | 5 | 36 |
| 11 | Unionistas | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 34:30 | 4 | 36 |
| 12 | Zamora | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 32:30 | 2 | 35 |
| 13 | Real Aviles | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 37:43 | -6 | 31 |
| 14 | Arenas Getxo | 25 | 9 | 3 | 13 | 28:36 | -8 | 30 |
| 15 | Ourense CF | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 28:31 | -3 | 28 |
| 16 | Cacereno | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 22:31 | -9 | 27 |
| 17 | CF Talavera | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 25:36 | -11 | 25 |
| 18 | Arenteiro | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 23:31 | -8 | 24 |
| 19 | Guadalajara | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 22:39 | -17 | 24 |
| 20 | Osasuna B | 25 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 17:32 | -15 | 20 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
