Result
1:0
14/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 3
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2', 1 - 0, Sanz I. ⚽,
- 13', Lete E. 🟨,
- 29', Cestero Sancho J. 🟨,
- 35', Sanz I. 🟨,
- 37', Cestero Sancho J. 🟨,
- 37', 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 53', Bujan E. 🟨,
- 57', Lete E. ↓, Gibelalde M. ↑,
- 58', Dunabeitia A. 🟨,
- 62', Louis-Jean J. ↓, Nomayo W. ↑,
- 62', Perez A. ↓, Gift E. ↑,
- 75', Sanz I. ↓, Conde A. ↑,
- 75', Bujan E. ↓, Hierro A. ↑,
- 81', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Athletic Bilbao B
56.7% | Draw
24.4% | Real Madrid Castilla
18.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Athletic Bilbao B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Athletic Bilbao B's performance.Real Madrid Castilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Madrid Castilla might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao B than the current prediction. (-17.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Athletic Bilbao B that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (+13.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Madrid Castilla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Athletic Bilbao B - Real Madrid Castilla Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.75 ↓
(2.38) |
4.59 ↑
(3.23) |
6.35 ↑
(2.76) |
-5.3%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Athletic Bilbao B - Real Madrid Castilla?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Athletic Bilbao B (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Athletic Bilbao B is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Real Madrid Castilla has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Real Madrid Castilla may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Athletic Bilbao B has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Real Madrid Castilla has had a series of home games.
- Athletic Bilbao B might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletic Bilbao B won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Athletic Bilbao B won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Athletic Bilbao B won against Real Madrid Castilla?
Athletic Bilbao B has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid Castilla won against Athletic Bilbao B?
Real Madrid Castilla has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Athletic Bilbao B - Real Madrid Castilla were as follows:
Latest results of Athletic Bilbao B
Latest results of Real Madrid Castilla
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16:2 | 14 | 18 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Racing Club Ferrol | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 11 |
| 4 | Guadalajara | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 10 |
| 5 | Barakaldo | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 | Real Aviles | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:11 | 0 | 10 |
| 7 | Pontevedra | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Zamora | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 9 |
| 9 | Ath Bilbao B | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | Osasuna B | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 | Arenteiro | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 8 |
| 12 | CF Talavera | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 8 |
| 13 | Lugo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:5 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 | Arenas Getxo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 7 |
| 15 | Cacereno | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 | Real Madrid B | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Merida AD | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 6 |
| 18 | Ponferradina | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 4 |
| 19 | Ourense CF | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 3 |
| 20 | Unionistas | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:10 | -6 | 3 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
