Arenas Club de Getxo vs Real Madrid Castilla – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
10/01/2026 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 19
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball possession
41%59%
Total shots
77
Shots on target
54
Corner kicks
53
Yellow cards
42
Total shots
77
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
23
Corner kicks
53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (4 - 1)
  • 18', 1 - 0, Mattheus C. ,
  • 29', 2 - 0, Diocou B. ,
  • 32', 3 - 0, Garcia P. ,
  • 42', 3 - 1, Yanez D. ,
  • 45+1', 4 - 1, Vizcay T. ,
  • 45+2', Verde A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 53', Sillero J. , Alvarez P. ,
  • 60', Martinez J. 🟨,
  • 60', Boriko S. 🟨,
  • 60', 🟨,
  • 65', Vizcay T. , Vazquez A. ,
  • 82', Vazquez A. 🟨,
  • 83', Diocou B. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Arenas Club de Getxo
33%
Draw
30%
Real Madrid Castilla
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.9% 28.2% 35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1% 28.4% 35.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arenas Club de Getxo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Real Madrid Castilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenas Club de Getxo than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • Arenas Club de Getxo - Real Madrid Castilla Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.77
    (2.59)
    2.99
    (3.3)
    2.46
    (2.59)
    10.1%
    (7.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).
    • Recent performances by Arenas have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Real Madrid Castilla is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Arenas won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Arenas won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
    Latest results of Arenas Club de Getxo
    Latest results of Real Madrid Castilla
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife342010455:203570
    2Celta Vigo B341710756:431361
    3Zamora341510946:38855
    4Real Madrid B341581154:431153
    5Pontevedra341314743:261753
    6Ponferradina341491138:29951
    7Barakaldo341312944:341051
    8Unionistas3413101147:44349
    9AD Merida341391244:47-348
    10Arenas Getxo341451540:49-947
    11Lugo3411131032:37-546
    12Racing Club Ferrol341371438:43-546
    13Ath Bilbao B341291334:38-445
    14Real Aviles341191449:56-742
    15Ourense CF349111438:40-238
    16CF Talavera34991633:43-1036
    17Guadalajara34991637:52-1536
    18Cacereno347141331:45-1435
    19Osasuna B34891724:39-1533
    20Arenteiro34691929:46-1727

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