Athletic Bilbao vs Qarabağ Agdam – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League
Football UEFA Champions League Athletic Bilbao - Qarabağ Agdam
Result
3:1
22/10/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - League phase - Round 3
  • Referee: Pajac I. (Cro)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 3, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Sports MENA 3
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 4
azerbaijanAzerbaijanCBC Sport, Ictimai TV
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 2
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, HBO Max, Sky+, TNT Sports, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaBTV Action, Voyo
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 2
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 MAX, Viaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
franceFranceCANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 2
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Universal
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
hungaryHungaryRTL+
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, SCTV, Vidio
israelIsrael5 PLUS Israel
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254, Sky Sport Arena
kazakhstanKazakhstanQazsport
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 1
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Canal+ Sport 1, Sooka
maldivesMaldivesMedianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 1
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 2
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 3
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand, TVWan Sports 2
nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte, RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaTDM Desporto
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 2
portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Variety 3
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
spainSpainLaLiga TV Bar, M+ Liga de Campeones
surinameSurinameATV Suriname
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 9, Blue Sport 9, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 2
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
turkeyTurkeyTabii Spor 1, Tabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, TNT Sports 4, Virgin Media More
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+, TUDN App, TUDN, Univision
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Football, ON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.250.52
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
219
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
83
Passes
85% (411/481)74% (247/335)
Expected Goals (xG)
3.250.52
xG on target (xGOT)
1.860.56
Total shots
219
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
81
Blocked Shots
84
Shots inside the Box
136
Shots outside the Box
83
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
83
Touches in opposition box
3616
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
514
Passes
85% (411/481)74% (247/335)
Long passes
59% (27/46)40% (26/65)
Passes in final third
78% (137/176)62% (56/91)
Crosses
18% (4/22)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.840.24
Throw-ins
2017
Fouls
145
Tackles
65% (17/26)58% (15/26)
Duels won
4754
Clearances
1322
Interceptions
1115
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.561.86
Goals prevented
-0.44-1.14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 1', 0 - 1, Leandro Andrade ⚽,
  • 38', Williams I. ↓, Berenguer A. ↑,
  • 40', 1 - 1, Guruzeta G. ⚽, Jauregizar M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 56', Pedro Bicalho ↓, Jankovic M. ↑,
  • 56', Leandro Andrade ↓, Addai E. ↑,
  • 65', Gorosabel A. ↓, Areso J. ↑,
  • 65', Rego A. ↓, Ruiz de Galarreta I. ↑,
  • 65', Williams N. ↓, Navarro R. ↑,
  • 67', Akhundzade N. ↓, Bayramov T. ↑,
  • 67', Duran C. ↓, Kashchuk O. ↑,
  • 70', 2 - 1, Navarro R. ⚽, Berenguer A. (A),
  • 79', Matheus Silva ↓, Dani Bolt ↑,
  • 81', Sancet O. ↓, Vesga M. ↑,
  • 88', 3 - 1, Guruzeta G. ⚽, Jauregizar M. (A),

Chances of winning


Athletic Bilbao
68.6%		Draw
19.2%		Qarabağ Agdam
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
71.5% 18.9% 9.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2% 15.1% 12%

Athletic Bilbao - Qarabağ Agdam Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 1.5 ↑
(1.34)		 5.18 ↑
(5.07)		 7.91 ↓
(9.97)		 -1.1%
(4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Athletic Bilbao - Qarabağ Agdam?
  • Users Predictions: 57 users predict this event. Athletic will win (votes: 37 - 64.9%). Qarabağ will win (votes: 13 - 22.8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 12.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Athletic: 52.5% – 77.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Athletic (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Qarabağ (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.5 - Qarabağ (1.94) (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In recent matches, Athletic has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Qarabağ is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Athletic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Athletic is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Athletic: Alvarez Y. (Doping) Egiluz U. (Knee Injury) Izeta (Inactive) Prados Diaz B. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Qarabağ: Montiel J. (Thigh Injury) Rzayev A. (Inactive) Sheydayev R. (Inactive)
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Athletic Bilbao
    19.10.2025 Elche - Athletic Bilbao 0:0 ✺
    04.10.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Mallorca 2:1 ✺
    01.10.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Athletic Bilbao 4:1 ✺
    27.09.2025 Villarreal - Athletic Bilbao 1:0 ✺
    23.09.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Girona 1:1 ✺
    Latest results of Qarabağ Agdam
    17.10.2025 Turan Tovuz - Qarabağ Agdam 1:2 ✺
    04.10.2025 Qarabağ Agdam - Kapaz 1:0
    01.10.2025 Qarabağ Agdam - Copenhagen 2:0 ✺
    26.09.2025 Qarabağ Agdam - Gabala 2:0 ✺
    21.09.2025 Araz Naxçıvan - Qarabağ Agdam 0:5
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich440014:31112
    2Arsenal440011:01112
    3Inter440011:11012
    4Manchester City431010:3710
    5PSG430114:599
    6Newcastle430110:289
    7Real Madrid43018:269
    8Liverpool43019:459
    9Galatasaray43018:629
    10Tottenham42207:258
    11Barcelona421112:757
    12Chelsea42119:637
    13Sporting CP42118:537
    14Dortmund421113:1127
    15Qarabag42118:717
    16Atalanta42113:5-27
    17Atl. Madrid420210:916
    18PSV41219:725
    19Monaco41214:6-25
    20Pafos41212:5-35
    21Bayer Leverkusen41216:10-45
    22Club Brugge KV41128:10-24
    23Eintracht Frankfurt41127:11-44
    24Napoli41124:9-54
    25Marseille41036:513
    26Juventus40317:8-13
    27Ath Bilbao41034:9-53
    28Royale Union SG41034:12-83
    29Bodo/Glimt40225:8-32
    30Slavia Prague40222:8-62
    31Olympiacos Piraeus40222:9-72
    32Villarreal40132:6-41
    33FC Copenhagen40134:12-81
    34Kairat Almaty40132:11-91
    35Benfica40042:8-60
    36Ajax40041:14-130

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