Athletic Club vs América Mineiro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B Athletic Club - América Mineiro
Result
0:2
25/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 34
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.581.53
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
514
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
74
Passes
80% (313/391)77% (277/360)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
0.581.53
xG on target (xGOT)
0.191.53
Total shots
514
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
27
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
57
Shots outside the Box
07
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
74
Touches in opposition box
1618
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1413
Passes
80% (313/391)77% (277/360)
Long passes
56% (28/50)62% (37/60)
Passes in final third
65% (63/97)57% (56/99)
Crosses
18% (4/22)33% (3/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.461.37
Throw-ins
2518
Fouls
1314
Tackles
40% (2/5)70% (14/20)
Duels won
3145
Clearances
1720
Interceptions
99
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
1.530.19
Goals prevented
-0.470.19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 10', Ricardo Silva 🟨,
  • 22', Kaua Diniz 🟨,
  • 26', Sandry 🟨,
  • 40', Yuri 🟨,
  • 45+1', Gustavo 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Julio Cesar , Maguinho ,
  • 60', 0 - 1, Miguelito , Willian Bigode (A),
  • 61', Douglas Pele , Wesley Gasolina ,
  • 61', David Braga , Chico Geraldes ,
  • 62', Da Cruz A. , Ezequiel ,
  • 64', Maguinho 🟨,
  • 66', Kaua Diniz , Miqueias ,
  • 69', Sandry , Neto Costa ,
  • 70', Miguelito , David da Hora ,
  • 71', Ortiz C. , Jhosefer ,
  • 73', Neto Costa 🟨,
  • 74', 0 - 2, Felipe Amaral ,
  • 77', Yuri , Guilherme Cachoeira ,
  • 83', Yago Souza , Emerson Santos ,

Chances of winning


Athletic Club
38.1%
Draw
30.5%
América Mineiro
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.7% 30% 29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42% 31% 28.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Athletic Club has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • Athletic Club - América Mineiro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.5
    (2.33)
    3.08
    (3.16)
    2.97
    (3.24)
    6.2%
    (5.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Athletic Club - América Mineiro?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Athletic will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). América MG will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Athletic (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 16 and 14)
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Athletic: Edson Miranda (Inactive) Max (Inactive)
    • There will not play in América MG: Ale (Knee Injury) Dalbert (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Athletic: Joao Miguel (Injury) Luiz Filipe (Injury)
    • There are questionable in América MG: Willian Bigode (Injury)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Athletic won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Athletic Club - América Mineiro were as follows:
    07.07.2025 América Mineiro - Athletic Club 0:1
    07.02.2023 Athletic Club - América Mineiro 1:1
    Latest results of Athletic Club
    18.10.2025 Remo - Athletic Club 3:1
    11.10.2025 Athletic Club - Goiás 1:1
    03.10.2025 Athletic Club - Amazonas 2:2
    28.09.2025 Cuiabá - Athletic Club 2:1
    Latest results of América Mineiro
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coritiba34179835:211460
    2Remo341512745:331257
    3Goias341510939:33655
    4Novorizontino341413737:28955
    5Chapecoense-SC331661147:321554
    6Criciuma341591044:321254
    7Athletico-PR331481145:42350
    8Cuiaba3413111041:40150
    9CRB331461339:34548
    10Avai3412121043:36748
    11Atletico GO331212936:33348
    12Vila Nova FC3311101232:34-243
    13Operario-PR331191334:37-342
    14America MG341181537:40-341
    15Ferroviaria338141138:44-638
    16Athletic Club341071738:49-1137
    17Botafogo SP348111530:50-2035
    18Volta Redonda348101623:37-1434
    19Amazonas337111533:48-1532
    20Paysandu PA345121731:44-1327

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