Result
0:1
07/07/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 15
- Referee: Klein R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.69 | 0.85 |
Ball Possession |
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54% | 46% |
Total shots |
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19 | 13 |
Shots on target |
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1 | 6 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 9 |
Passes |
---|
84% (370/439) | 78% (293/375) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.69 | 0.85 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.08 | 1.30 |
Total shots |
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19 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 6 |
Shots off target |
---|
11 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
7 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
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8 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
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11 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
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0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
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8 | 9 |
Touches in opposition box |
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17 | 23 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
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2 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
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11 | 14 |
Passes |
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84% (370/439) | 78% (293/375) |
Long passes |
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41% (24/58) | 46% (25/54) |
Passes in final third |
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62% (66/107) | 67% (72/108) |
Crosses |
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25% (7/28) | 31% (4/13) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.70 | 0.67 |
Throw-ins |
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23 | 21 |
Fouls |
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14 | 11 |
Tackles |
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77% (10/13) | 70% (7/10) |
Duels won |
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40 | 45 |
Clearances |
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30 | 33 |
Interceptions |
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10 | 13 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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5 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
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1.30 | 0.08 |
Goals prevented |
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0.30 | 0.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 17', 0 - 1, Sidimar ⚽, Sandry (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Breno ↓, Elizari F. ↑,
- 51', Miqueias 🟨,
- 60', Welinton Torrao ↓, Matheus Guilherme ↑,
- 69', Miqueias ↓, Yago Santos ↑,
- 75', Yago Santos 🟨,
- 78', Paulinho ↓, Arthur Sousa ↑,
- 81', Tavares R. ↓, Neto Costa ↑,
- 81', Rodrigo Gelado ↓, Yuri ↑,
- 82', Miguelito ↓, Yago Souza ↑,
- 83', Stenio ↓, Jhonnatan ↑,
- 84', Yuri 🟨,
- 86', Max ↓, Alason Carioca ↑,
- 87', Fabricio Isidoro ↓, Martinez F. ↑,
Chances of winning
América Mineiro 52.4% | Draw 28.3% | Athletic Club 19.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
América Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)Athletic Club has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for América Mineiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
América Mineiro - Athletic Club Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.76 ↑ (1.66) |
3.34 ↓ (3.58) |
4.99 ↓ (5.13) |
6.8% (7.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for América Mineiro - Athletic Club?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. América MG will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for América MG: 54% – 99.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. América MG (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Athletic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, América MG is the team to beat.
- There will not play in América MG: Ale
(Inactive)
Breno
(Injury)
Fabinho
(Red Card)
Guilherme Pato
(Inactive)
Marlon
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Athletic: Amorim
(Yellow Cards)
Edson Miranda
(Inactive)
Lincoln
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Athletic: Alex Nascimento
(Inactive)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, América MG won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, América MG won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has América Mineiro won against Athletic Club?
América Mineiro has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Athletic Club won against América Mineiro?
Athletic Club has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between América Mineiro - Athletic Club were as follows:
07.02.2023
Athletic Club
-
América Mineiro
1:1
Latest results of América Mineiro
Latest results of Athletic Club
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Goias | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 26:17 | 9 | 38 |
2 | Coritiba | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 22:14 | 8 | 38 |
3 | Novorizontino | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 23:16 | 7 | 34 |
4 | Chapecoense-SC | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 25:18 | 7 | 30 |
5 | Remo | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 22:19 | 3 | 30 |
6 | Criciuma | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 23:18 | 5 | 29 |
7 | Cuiaba | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 22:22 | 0 | 28 |
8 | Avai | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:20 | 6 | 28 |
9 | Vila Nova FC | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 19:20 | -1 | 27 |
10 | Operario-PR | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 22:20 | 2 | 26 |
11 | CRB | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 20:18 | 2 | 25 |
12 | Athletico-PR | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 24:26 | -2 | 25 |
13 | Athletic Club | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 22:26 | -4 | 23 |
14 | Ferroviaria | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 20:22 | -2 | 23 |
15 | Atletico GO | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 23 |
16 | America MG | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 21:28 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Volta Redonda | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14:21 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Botafogo SP | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 14:28 | -14 | 21 |
19 | Paysandu PA | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 18:21 | -3 | 20 |
20 | Amazonas | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 20:27 | -7 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )