América Mineiro vs Athletic Club – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B América Mineiro - Athletic Club
Result
0:1
07/07/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 15
  • Referee: Klein R. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.690.85
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1913
Shots on target
16
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
89
Passes
84% (370/439)78% (293/375)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.690.85
xG on target (xGOT)
0.081.30
Total shots
1913
Shots on target
16
Shots off target
114
Blocked Shots
73
Shots inside the Box
88
Shots outside the Box
115
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
89
Touches in opposition box
1723
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1114
Passes
84% (370/439)78% (293/375)
Long passes
41% (24/58)46% (25/54)
Passes in final third
62% (66/107)67% (72/108)
Crosses
25% (7/28)31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.700.67
Throw-ins
2321
Fouls
1411
Tackles
77% (10/13)70% (7/10)
Duels won
4045
Clearances
3033
Interceptions
1013
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
51
xGOT faced
1.300.08
Goals prevented
0.300.08

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 17', 0 - 1, Sidimar , Sandry (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Breno , Elizari F. ,
  • 51', Miqueias 🟨,
  • 60', Welinton Torrao , Matheus Guilherme ,
  • 69', Miqueias , Yago Santos ,
  • 75', Yago Santos 🟨,
  • 78', Paulinho , Arthur Sousa ,
  • 81', Tavares R. , Neto Costa ,
  • 81', Rodrigo Gelado , Yuri ,
  • 82', Miguelito , Yago Souza ,
  • 83', Stenio , Jhonnatan ,
  • 84', Yuri 🟨,
  • 86', Max , Alason Carioca ,
  • 87', Fabricio Isidoro , Martinez F. ,

Chances of winning


América Mineiro
52.4%
Draw
28.3%
Athletic Club
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56% 25.9% 18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1% 25% 17.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • América Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • Athletic Club has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for América Mineiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • América Mineiro - Athletic Club Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.76
    (1.66)
    3.34
    (3.58)
    4.99
    (5.13)
    6.8%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for América Mineiro - Athletic Club?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. América MG will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for América MG: 54%99.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. América MG (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Athletic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, América MG is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in América MG: Ale (Inactive) Breno (Injury) Fabinho (Red Card) Guilherme Pato (Inactive) Marlon (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Athletic: Amorim (Yellow Cards) Edson Miranda (Inactive) Lincoln (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Athletic: Alex Nascimento (Inactive)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, América MG won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, América MG won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between América Mineiro - Athletic Club were as follows:
    07.02.2023 Athletic Club - América Mineiro 1:1
    Latest results of América Mineiro
    Latest results of Athletic Club
    29.06.2025 Athletic Club - Remo 1:2
    23.06.2025 Goiás - Athletic Club 1:2
    09.06.2025 Amazonas - Athletic Club 1:0
    31.05.2025 Athletic Club - Cuiabá 0:2
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coritiba30158732:191353
    2Goias30149734:26851
    3Criciuma30148839:261350
    4Athletico-PR29146943:36748
    5Chapecoense-SC301451142:301247
    6Novorizontino301211732:27547
    7Cuiaba301210837:34346
    8CRB301341334:30443
    9Remo291012733:28542
    10Atletico GO291012731:28342
    11Avai3010101036:33340
    12Operario-PR291091031:28339
    13Vila Nova FC301091130:32-239
    14America MG301061432:36-436
    15Ferroviaria308121034:39-536
    16Athletic Club30961532:42-1033
    17Volta Redonda307101319:31-1231
    18Botafogo SP30781525:46-2129
    19Amazonas306101431:46-1528
    20Paysandu PA305111426:36-1026

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )