Result
0:1
07/07/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 15
- Referee: Klein R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.85 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (370/439) | 78% (293/375) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.85 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.08 | 1.30 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (370/439) | 78% (293/375) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (24/58) | 46% (25/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (66/107) | 67% (72/108) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (7/28) | 31% (4/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.67 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.08 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.30 | 0.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 17', 0 - 1, Sidimar ⚽, Sandry (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Breno ↓, Elizari F. ↑,
- 51', Miqueias 🟨,
- 60', Welinton Torrao ↓, Matheus Guilherme ↑,
- 69', Miqueias ↓, Yago Santos ↑,
- 75', Yago Santos 🟨,
- 78', Paulinho ↓, Arthur Sousa ↑,
- 81', Tavares R. ↓, Neto Costa ↑,
- 81', Rodrigo Gelado ↓, Yuri ↑,
- 82', Miguelito ↓, Yago Souza ↑,
- 83', Stenio ↓, Jhonnatan ↑,
- 84', Yuri 🟨,
- 86', Max ↓, Alason Carioca ↑,
- 87', Fabricio Isidoro ↓, Martinez F. ↑,
Chances of winning
América Mineiro
52.4% | Draw
28.3% | Athletic Club
19.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
América Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)Athletic Club has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for América Mineiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
América Mineiro - Athletic Club Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.76 ↑
(1.66) |
3.34 ↓
(3.58) |
4.99 ↓
(5.13) |
6.8%
(7.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for América Mineiro - Athletic Club?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. América MG will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for América MG: 54% – 99.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. América MG (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Athletic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, América MG is the team to beat.
- There will not play in América MG: Ale
(Inactive)
Breno
(Injury)
Fabinho
(Red Card)
Guilherme Pato
(Inactive)
Marlon
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Athletic: Amorim
(Yellow Cards)
Edson Miranda
(Inactive)
Lincoln
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Athletic: Alex Nascimento
(Inactive)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, América MG won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, América MG won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has América Mineiro won against Athletic Club?
América Mineiro has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Athletic Club won against América Mineiro?
Athletic Club has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between América Mineiro - Athletic Club were as follows:
07.02.2023
Athletic Club
-
América Mineiro
1:1
Latest results of América Mineiro
Latest results of Athletic Club
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coritiba | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 28:16 | 12 | 47 |
| 2 | Goias | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 32:25 | 7 | 45 |
| 3 | Criciuma | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 33:21 | 12 | 43 |
| 4 | Chapecoense-SC | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 36:24 | 12 | 41 |
| 5 | Remo | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 27:22 | 5 | 38 |
| 6 | Cuiaba | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 30:29 | 1 | 37 |
| 7 | Novorizontino | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 27:24 | 3 | 37 |
| 8 | Athletico-PR | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 34:34 | 0 | 36 |
| 9 | Avai | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 32:26 | 6 | 36 |
| 10 | Vila Nova FC | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 25:25 | 0 | 35 |
| 11 | CRB | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 26:23 | 3 | 34 |
| 12 | Operario-PR | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 27:24 | 3 | 34 |
| 13 | Atletico GO | 25 | 7 | 11 | 7 | 27:27 | 0 | 32 |
| 14 | Ferroviaria | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 27:30 | -3 | 31 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 27:34 | -7 | 29 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 21:36 | -15 | 28 |
| 17 | Volta Redonda | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 16:27 | -11 | 27 |
| 18 | America MG | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 26:33 | -7 | 26 |
| 19 | Amazonas | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 26:37 | -11 | 24 |
| 20 | Paysandu PA | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 21:31 | -10 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
