Result
0:1
07/07/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 15
- Referee: Klein R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.69 | 0.85 |
Ball Possession |
---|
54% | 46% |
Total shots |
---|
19 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 6 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 9 |
Passes |
---|
84% (370/439) | 78% (293/375) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.69 | 0.85 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.08 | 1.30 |
Total shots |
---|
19 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 6 |
Shots off target |
---|
11 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
7 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
11 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 9 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
17 | 23 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 14 |
Passes |
---|
84% (370/439) | 78% (293/375) |
Long passes |
---|
41% (24/58) | 46% (25/54) |
Passes in final third |
---|
62% (66/107) | 67% (72/108) |
Crosses |
---|
25% (7/28) | 31% (4/13) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.70 | 0.67 |
Throw-ins |
---|
23 | 21 |
Fouls |
---|
14 | 11 |
Tackles |
---|
77% (10/13) | 70% (7/10) |
Duels won |
---|
40 | 45 |
Clearances |
---|
30 | 33 |
Interceptions |
---|
10 | 13 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
5 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.30 | 0.08 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.30 | 0.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 17', 0 - 1, Sidimar ⚽, Sandry (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Breno ↓, Elizari F. ↑,
- 51', Miqueias 🟨,
- 60', Welinton Torrao ↓, Matheus Guilherme ↑,
- 69', Miqueias ↓, Yago Santos ↑,
- 75', Yago Santos 🟨,
- 78', Paulinho ↓, Arthur Sousa ↑,
- 81', Tavares R. ↓, Neto Costa ↑,
- 81', Rodrigo Gelado ↓, Yuri ↑,
- 82', Miguelito ↓, Yago Souza ↑,
- 83', Stenio ↓, Jhonnatan ↑,
- 84', Yuri 🟨,
- 86', Max ↓, Alason Carioca ↑,
- 87', Fabricio Isidoro ↓, Martinez F. ↑,
Chances of winning
América Mineiro 52.4% | Draw 28.3% | Athletic Club 19.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
América Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)Athletic Club has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for América Mineiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
América Mineiro - Athletic Club Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.76 ↑ (1.66) |
3.34 ↓ (3.58) |
4.99 ↓ (5.13) |
6.8% (7.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for América Mineiro - Athletic Club?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. América MG will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for América MG: 54% – 99.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. América MG (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Athletic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, América MG is the team to beat.
- There will not play in América MG: Ale
(Inactive)
Breno
(Injury)
Fabinho
(Red Card)
Guilherme Pato
(Inactive)
Marlon
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Athletic: Amorim
(Yellow Cards)
Edson Miranda
(Inactive)
Lincoln
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Athletic: Alex Nascimento
(Inactive)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, América MG won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, América MG won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has América Mineiro won against Athletic Club?
América Mineiro has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Athletic Club won against América Mineiro?
Athletic Club has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between América Mineiro - Athletic Club were as follows:
07.02.2023
Athletic Club
-
América Mineiro
1:1
Latest results of América Mineiro
Latest results of Athletic Club
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Coritiba | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 24:15 | 9 | 42 |
2 | Goias | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 28:20 | 8 | 41 |
3 | Chapecoense-SC | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 34:20 | 14 | 40 |
4 | Criciuma | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 30:21 | 9 | 36 |
5 | Novorizontino | 23 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 25:21 | 4 | 36 |
6 | Remo | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 24:20 | 4 | 34 |
7 | Vila Nova FC | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 22:20 | 2 | 33 |
8 | Avai | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 29:21 | 8 | 33 |
9 | Cuiaba | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 25:25 | 0 | 32 |
10 | CRB | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 24:21 | 3 | 31 |
11 | Ferroviaria | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 25:24 | 1 | 29 |
12 | Operario-PR | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 23:22 | 1 | 27 |
13 | Athletico-PR | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 28:32 | -4 | 27 |
14 | Atletico GO | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 22:24 | -2 | 27 |
15 | Athletic Club | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 24:33 | -9 | 25 |
16 | America MG | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 23:31 | -8 | 22 |
17 | Volta Redonda | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 14:24 | -10 | 22 |
18 | Botafogo SP | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 15:31 | -16 | 22 |
19 | Paysandu PA | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 21 |
20 | Amazonas | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 23:31 | -8 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )