América Mineiro vs Athletic Club: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie B América Mineiro - Athletic Club
Result
0:1
07/07/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie B Superbet - Round 15
  • Referee: Klein R. (Bra)
América Mineiro - Athletic Club - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.690.85
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1913
Shots on target
16
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
89
Passes
84% (370/439)78% (293/375)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.690.85
xG on target (xGOT)
0.081.30
Total shots
1913
Shots on target
16
Shots off target
114
Blocked Shots
73
Shots inside the Box
88
Shots outside the Box
115
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
89
Touches in opposition box
1723
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1114
Passes
84% (370/439)78% (293/375)
Long passes
41% (24/58)46% (25/54)
Passes in final third
62% (66/107)67% (72/108)
Crosses
25% (7/28)31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.700.67
Throw-ins
2321
Fouls
1411
Tackles
77% (10/13)70% (7/10)
Duels won
4045
Clearances
3033
Interceptions
1013
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
51
xGOT faced
1.300.08
Goals prevented
0.300.08

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 17', 0 - 1, Sidimar , Sandry (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Breno , Elizari F. ,
  • 51', Miqueias 🟨,
  • 60', Welinton Torrao , Matheus Guilherme ,
  • 69', Miqueias , Yago Santos ,
  • 75', Yago Santos 🟨,
  • 78', Paulinho , Arthur Sousa ,
  • 81', Tavares R. , Neto Costa ,
  • 81', Rodrigo Gelado , Yuri ,
  • 82', Miguelito , Yago Souza ,
  • 83', Stenio , Jhonnatan ,
  • 84', Yuri 🟨,
  • 86', Max , Alason Carioca ,
  • 87', Fabricio Isidoro , Martinez F. ,

Chances of winning


América Mineiro
52.4%
Draw
28.3%
Athletic Club
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56% 25.9% 18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1% 25% 17.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • América Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • Athletic Club has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for América Mineiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • América Mineiro - Athletic Club Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.76
    (1.66)
    3.34
    (3.58)
    4.99
    (5.13)
    6.8%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for América Mineiro - Athletic Club?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. América MG will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for América MG: 54%99.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. América MG (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Athletic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, América MG is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in América MG: Ale (Inactive) Breno (Injury) Fabinho (Red Card) Guilherme Pato (Inactive) Marlon (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Athletic: Amorim (Yellow Cards) Edson Miranda (Inactive) Lincoln (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Athletic: Alex Nascimento (Inactive)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, América MG won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, América MG won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between América Mineiro - Athletic Club were as follows:
    07.02.2023 Athletic Club - América Mineiro 1:1
    Latest results of América Mineiro
    Latest results of Athletic Club
    29.06.2025 Athletic Club - Remo 1:2
    23.06.2025 Goiás - Athletic Club 1:2
    09.06.2025 Amazonas - Athletic Club 1:0
    31.05.2025 Athletic Club - Cuiabá 0:2
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coritiba16103316:61033
    2Goias16103320:12833
    3Novorizontino1686221:111030
    4Remo1667318:14425
    5Avai1566319:13624
    6Chapecoense-SC1672720:16423
    7Athletico-PR1672719:20-123
    8Vila Nova FC1672714:15-123
    9Cuiaba1564515:16-122
    10Atletico GO1657418:16222
    11CRB1663715:15021
    12America MG1662817:20-320
    13Criciuma1655619:17220
    14Operario-PR1653817:19-218
    15Ferroviaria1646616:19-318
    16Botafogo SP1545612:17-517
    17Athletic Club15501014:23-915
    18Paysandu PA1636711:17-615
    19Volta Redonda153577:14-714
    20Amazonas1535712:20-814

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of América Mineiro - Athletic Club?
    It is being streamed on channel
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