Result
0:2
17/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 8
- Referee: Goncalves K. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+, ESPN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.66 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (321/398) | 79% (273/345) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.66 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.24 | 0.63 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (321/398) | 79% (273/345) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (23/51) | 48% (28/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (109/151) | 58% (45/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (10/37) | 17% (1/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.78 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 33 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (7/15) | 70% (14/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.37 | 0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 12', Douglas Pele 🟨,
- 15', Leo Natel ↓, Waguininho ↑,
- 45', Rafael Donato ↓, Patrick ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Bruno Jose ↓, Ruiz O. ↑,
- 56', 0 - 1, Nathan Fogaca ⚽,
- 67', 0 - 2, Ruiz O. ⚽, Waguininho (A),
- 70', Diego Fumaca 🟨,
- 71', Amorim ↓, Gustavao ↑,
- 71', Yuri ↓, Alason Carioca ↑,
- 77', Luis Oyama ↓, Jean Irmer ↑,
- 77', Matheus Frizzo ↓, Marlon ↑,
- 79', Neto Costa ↓, Caick ↑,
- 83', Caick 🟨,
- 88', David Braga ↓, Carlito Thiago ↑,
- 88', Max ↓, Andrey ↑,
- 90', Waguininho 🟨,
Chances of winning
Athletic Club
27.4% | Draw
32.4% | Grêmio Novorizontino
40.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Athletic Club has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Athletic Club's form might have worsened.Grêmio Novorizontino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Grêmio Novorizontino's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (+11.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Athletic Club, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (-8.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Grêmio Novorizontino, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Athletic Club - Grêmio Novorizontino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.41 ↑
(2.45) |
2.89 ↓
(3.15) |
2.35 ↓
(2.75) |
6.5%
(8.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Athletic Club - Grêmio Novorizontino?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Athletic will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Novorizontino will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 15 and 14).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Recently, Novorizontino has had a series of home games.
- Novorizontino is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Athletic: Edson Miranda
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Novorizontino: Cesar Martins
(Injury)
Renato Palm
(Inactive)
Robson
(Injury)
Vitinho
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Athletic: Ezequiel
(Injury)
Matheus Guilherme
(Injury)
Wesley Gasolina
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Novorizontino: Airton
(Inactive)
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has Athletic Club won against Grêmio Novorizontino?
Athletic Club has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio Novorizontino won against Athletic Club?
Grêmio Novorizontino has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Athletic Club - Grêmio Novorizontino were as follows:
Latest results of Athletic Club
Latest results of Grêmio Novorizontino
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Goias | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 26:17 | 9 | 38 |
| 2 | Coritiba | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 22:14 | 8 | 38 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24:17 | 7 | 35 |
| 4 | Chapecoense-SC | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 28:20 | 8 | 33 |
| 5 | Cuiaba | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 24:22 | 2 | 31 |
| 6 | Remo | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 22:19 | 3 | 30 |
| 7 | Criciuma | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 23:18 | 5 | 29 |
| 8 | Avai | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 27:21 | 6 | 29 |
| 9 | Vila Nova FC | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 19:20 | -1 | 27 |
| 10 | Operario-PR | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 22:20 | 2 | 26 |
| 11 | Athletico-PR | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 25:27 | -2 | 26 |
| 12 | CRB | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 22:21 | 1 | 25 |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 23:27 | -4 | 24 |
| 14 | Atletico GO | 20 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 19:21 | -2 | 24 |
| 15 | Ferroviaria | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 20:22 | -2 | 23 |
| 16 | America MG | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 21:28 | -7 | 21 |
| 17 | Volta Redonda | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 14:23 | -9 | 21 |
| 18 | Botafogo SP | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 14:28 | -14 | 21 |
| 19 | Paysandu PA | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 19:22 | -3 | 21 |
| 20 | Amazonas | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 20:27 | -7 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
