Result
1:0
19/09/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 27
- Referee: Mendes F. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+, ESPN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.37 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (354/419) | 77% (255/330) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (354/419) | 77% (255/330) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 64% (46/72) | 42% (20/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (122/158) | 54% (34/63) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (11/40) | 9% (1/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.28 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 93% (14/15) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.05 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 5', Nathan Fogaca 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Marcelo Ajul ↓, Martinez F. ↑,
- 58', Nathan Fogaca ↓, Robson ↑,
- 58', David Braga ↓, Da Cruz A. ↑,
- 58', Neto Costa ↓, Tavares R. ↑,
- 59', Romulo ↓, Patrick Brey ↑,
- 62', Sidimar ↓, Alex Nascimento ↑,
- 68', Matheus Frizzo ↓, Airton ↑,
- 69', Bruno Jose ↓, Tavinho ↑,
- 75', Adriel 🟨,
- 75', Max ↓, Luiz Filipe ↑,
- 78', Fabio Matheus 🟨,
- 80', Jhonatan Silva 🟨,
- 88', Mayk ↓, Ruiz O. ↑,
- 89', Da Cruz A. 🟨,
- 90+2', 1 - 0, Ruiz O. ⚽,
- 90+5', Tavinho 🟨,
- 90+9', Alex Nascimento 🟥,
Chances of winning
Grêmio Novorizontino
52.2% | Draw
28.5% | Athletic Club
19.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grêmio Novorizontino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Athletic Club has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (+0.9%)The ML Model estimate for Athletic Club aligns with the current prediction.
Grêmio Novorizontino - Athletic Club Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81 ↑
(1.79) |
3.28 ↓
(3.3) |
4.86 ↑
(4.73) |
6.3%
(7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Grêmio Novorizontino - Athletic Club?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Novorizontino will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Athletic will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Novorizontino: 15.4% – 84.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 14).
- Novorizontino is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Athletic's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Novorizontino is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Novorizontino: Dantas
(Red Card)
Marlon
(Inactive)
Renato Palm
(Knee Injury)
Vitinho
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Athletic: Edson Miranda
(Inactive)
Lincoln
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Novorizontino: Airton
(Inactive)
Bruno Jose
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Athletic: Chico Geraldes
(Injury)
Joao Miguel
(Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Novorizontino won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio Novorizontino won against Athletic Club?
Grêmio Novorizontino has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Athletic Club won against Grêmio Novorizontino?
Athletic Club has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio Novorizontino - Athletic Club were as follows:
17.05.2025
Athletic Club
-
Grêmio Novorizontino
0:2
Latest results of Grêmio Novorizontino
Latest results of Athletic Club
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Goias | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 33:25 | 8 | 48 |
| 2 | Coritiba | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 28:17 | 11 | 47 |
| 3 | Criciuma | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 34:21 | 13 | 46 |
| 4 | Novorizontino | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 30:25 | 5 | 43 |
| 5 | Athletico-PR | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 39:36 | 3 | 42 |
| 6 | Chapecoense-SC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 38:28 | 10 | 41 |
| 7 | Cuiaba | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 32:30 | 2 | 41 |
| 8 | Remo | 27 | 9 | 12 | 6 | 28:24 | 4 | 39 |
| 9 | Atletico GO | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 30:28 | 2 | 38 |
| 10 | CRB | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 28:24 | 4 | 37 |
| 11 | Avai | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 35:30 | 5 | 37 |
| 12 | Vila Nova FC | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 26:28 | -2 | 36 |
| 13 | Operario-PR | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 29:26 | 3 | 36 |
| 14 | Athletic Club | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 29:35 | -6 | 32 |
| 15 | Ferroviaria | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 30:34 | -4 | 32 |
| 16 | America MG | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 27:33 | -6 | 30 |
| 17 | Botafogo SP | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 22:39 | -17 | 29 |
| 18 | Amazonas | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 27:39 | -12 | 27 |
| 19 | Volta Redonda | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 16:28 | -12 | 27 |
| 20 | Paysandu PA | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 21:32 | -11 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
