Athletic Palermo vs ACR Messina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:0
04/01/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group I - Round 18
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyVivo Azzurro TV

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 25', 1 - 0, Anzelmo D. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 51', 2 - 0, Grillo P. ,
  • 60', 3 - 0, Grillo P. ,
  • 72', 4 - 0, Grillo P. ,

Chances of winning


Athletic Palermo
52%
Draw
27.9%
ACR Messina
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.4% 26.6% 35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8% 26.9% 34.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Athletic Palermo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Athletic Palermo's performance.
  • ACR Messina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and ACR Messina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Palermo than the current prediction. (-13.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Athletic Palermo that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for ACR Messina than the current prediction. (+14.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that ACR Messina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Athletic Palermo - ACR Messina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (2.35)
    3.26
    (3.4)
    4.52
    (2.58)
    9.9%
    (10.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, Athletic Palermo is the team to beat.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Athletic Palermo
    Latest results of ACR Messina
    21.12.2025 Milazzo - ACR Messina 0:0
    30.11.2025 Ragusa - ACR Messina 0:0
    23.11.2025 ACR Messina - Savoia 0:1
    Italian Serie D - Group I Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Savoia26148447:252250
    2Igea Virtus261311241:212050
    3Athletic Palermo25146546:291748
    4Reggina26145731:181347
    5Nissa26138533:24947
    6Gelbison26117833:27640
    7Milazzo261151027:28-138
    8Gela261221235:34137
    9Sambiase2699825:21436
    10Vigor Lamezia261051134:25935
    11Enna2579941:39230
    12USD Ragusa26691120:28-827
    13Vibonese26681225:39-1426
    14Sancataldese26661427:37-1024
    15ACR Messina26910723:26-323
    16AS Acireale26591232:44-1223
    17Castrumfavara26561521:38-1721
    18Paterno26451715:53-3817

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )
          Relegation