Athletic Palermo vs ACR Messina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:0
04/01/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group I - Round 18
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyVivo Azzurro TV

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 25', 1 - 0, Anzelmo D. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 51', 2 - 0, Grillo P. ,
  • 60', 3 - 0, Grillo P. ,
  • 72', 4 - 0, Grillo P. ,

Chances of winning


Athletic Palermo
52%
Draw
27.9%
ACR Messina
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.4% 26.6% 35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8% 26.9% 34.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Athletic Palermo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Athletic Palermo's performance.
  • ACR Messina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and ACR Messina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Palermo than the current prediction. (-13.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Athletic Palermo that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for ACR Messina than the current prediction. (+14.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that ACR Messina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Athletic Palermo - ACR Messina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (2.35)
    3.26
    (3.4)
    4.52
    (2.58)
    9.9%
    (10.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, Athletic Palermo is the team to beat.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Athletic Palermo
    Latest results of ACR Messina
    21.12.2025 Milazzo - ACR Messina 0:0
    30.11.2025 Ragusa - ACR Messina 0:0
    23.11.2025 ACR Messina - Savoia 0:1
    Italian Serie D - Group I Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Savoia31179554:282660
    2Nissa31179543:251860
    3Reggina30166834:191554
    4Athletic Palermo31166953:411254
    5Gelbison31149840:31951
    6Igea Virtus301412445:271849
    7Sambiase311310834:25949
    8Milazzo301271130:32-243
    9Gela311341439:39042
    10Vigor Lamezia301061437:32536
    11Enna308111147:45235
    12USD Ragusa317111322:32-1032
    13AS Acireale317111336:47-1131
    14Castrumfavara31871630:43-1331
    15Vibonese307101327:41-1431
    16ACR Messina3110111025:31-627
    17Sancataldese31761830:45-1527
    18Paterno31472020:63-4319

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )
          Relegation